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1055 VZ County Road 2106
C+ Composite 61.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1055 VZ County Road 2106 · Canton, TX 75103
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 535 Days on market
Built 1972 1.00 ac lot $105/sqft · 41% below area Est $204k · 41% under ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

Key facts

  • Remote garage doors
  • Two separate bays
  • Large kitchen

Tags

ONE ACRELARGE KITCHENSPRAY FOAM INSULATIONTWO SEPARATE BAYSREMOTE GARAGE DOORSGAMEROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.0% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#239 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Canton ISD (town): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #151 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 259 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Van Zandt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Van Zandt County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 535 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 45% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 535 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.01%
Cash-on-cash
6.15%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$203,957
List price
$120,000
Delta
-41.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-8,448
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$6,909
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75103

Home prices YoY
-14.3%
Active inventory
259
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,150/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$172

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,087
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 535 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 534 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 533 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 532 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 530 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 529 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 526 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 525 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 524 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 521 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 520 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 519 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 518 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 517 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  16. 2026-02-13
    price $125,000 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  17. 2026-01-02
    price $129,000 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  18. 2026-01-02
    status Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  19. 2025-12-31
    historical 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  20. 2025-09-17
    price $135,000 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  21. 2025-07-30
    price $140,000 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  22. 2025-05-07
    price $150,000 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  23. 2025-03-03
    price $160,000 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  24. 2025-01-03
    soldstatus
  25. 2024-12-16
    listed $165,000 Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    The home sits on one acre in Canton ISD with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a large kitchen. The shop is 864 square feet with spray foam insulation, 2 separate bays, remote garage doors and an 8x36 foot overhang. The right garage bay was used as a gameroom and has tongue and groove pine on the walls. There is a well and an aerobic sewer system. The property is in the county.

  26. 1996-01-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,150 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,196 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$46/yr (+$4/mo · 2.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 45% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,654
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,150
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,252
− Management
−$1,252
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$186
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$45
After-tax cash flow
$2,020/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton ISD
NCES district ID
4812750
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$46,385
Composite
44.08/100
National rank
#2877
State rank
#151 of 826 in TX

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#239
US rank
#5787

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,222

Population outlook (Van Zandt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,634 people
By 2030
56,479 · +1.5%
By 2040
57,672 · +3.7%
By 2050
57,913 · +4.1%
By 2075
57,544 · +3.4%
By 2100
52,659 · -5.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Zandt

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.8) · D 12.3% · R 87.2%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -55.1pp · 2024: -74.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.8 2020: R+72.1 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+66.6 2008: R+55.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.07%
Current HPI
227.6156
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $129,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-02 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $140,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-05-07 Price Changed $150,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-03-03 Price Changed $160,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-12-16 Listed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 1996-01-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,150 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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