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15-17 Noble Ave Duplex
C+ Composite 62.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

15-17 Noble Ave · Pittsfield, MA 01201
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,947 sqft · MultiFamily · 80 Days on market
Built 1850 Fair condition 3,014 sqft lot $121/sqft · at area comps Est $235k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Two family duplex just outside of downtown. Featuring two bedrooms and one bathroom in each unit with hardwood floors. Off Street parking and separate utilities. Please reach out for interior photos.

Key facts

  • Two family duplex
  • Separate utilities
  • Off street parking

Tags

TWO FAMILY DUPLEXHARDWOOD FLOORSOFF STREET PARKINGSEPARATE UTILITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $235k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $297/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.6% in Pittsfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#70 in MA, #3,820 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, schools D.
  • Pittsfield (urban): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #272 of 302 in MA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 275 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,808/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1580% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $220,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.84%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$234,909
List price
$235,000
Delta
0.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
92 W Housatonic St 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,872 (-4%) 8mo $235,000 $126 76
36 Division St 0.46mi 4/2.0 1,832 (-6%) 10mo $250,000 $136 60
5-7 Wallace Pl 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,964 (+1%) 12mo $250,000 $127 59
39 Circular Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 1,728 (-11%) 6mo $209,900 $121 55
171 Francis Ave 0.65mi 4/2.0 2,045 (+5%) 11mo $100,000 $49 52
308-310 West St 0.46mi 4/3.0 1,802 (-7%) 13mo $128,625 $71 51
70-72 Elm St 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,780 (-9%) 4mo $282,710 $159 50
19 Harding St 0.65mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (+3%) 21mo $310,000 $155 43
500 Fenn St 0.71mi 4/3.0 2,208 (+13%) 5mo $285,000 $129 36
217-219 Bradford St 0.69mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,160 (+11%) 12mo $233,200 $108 34
52 Merriam St 0.57mi 4/2.0 2,208 (+13%) 21mo $297,000 $135 34
138 Second St 0.70mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,096 (+8%) 22mo $235,000 $112 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$13,783
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$124,121
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01201

Rents YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
275
Price-to-rent
13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,808 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax est. 1.5%
$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$590
Net cashflow
$594

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,056
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 74%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,808

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19 Atwood Ave Pittsfield, MA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,600 $1.19 43d 1 0.19mi
117 Lincoln St Unit 117 Pittsfield, MA 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 43d 1 0.96mi
88 Wahconah St Pittsfield, MA 4.0 1.5 1292 $2,300 $1.78 43d 1 1.18mi
76 Stoddard Ave Unit 78 Pittsfield, MA 4.0 1.5 1560 $2,000 $1.28 43d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $235,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    pricedays on market $235,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $245,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $245,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $245,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-03-31
    listed $245,000 Active 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Two family duplex just outside of downtown. Featuring two bedrooms and one bathroom in each unit with hardwood floors. Off Street parking and separate utilities. Please reach out for interior photos.

  17. 2024-04-10
    historical $1,400
  18. 2024-03-19
    listed $1,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,696
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$3,525
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,696
− Management
−$2,696
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable income
$3,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$865
After-tax cash flow
$6,266/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This two-family duplex requires significant repairs and maintenance to bring it up to a fair condition. Investing in exterior painting, roof repair, flooring replacement, interior painting, and system repairs would significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
  • Major roof — No visible damage, but age is unknown
  • Major flooring — No visible flooring, but age is unknown
  • Major interior walls/paint — No visible interior, but age is unknown
  • Major systems — No visible systems, but age is unknown

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair roof — Prevents water damage and increases value
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both paint interior — Enhances interior appearance and value
  • Both repair systems — Ensures functionality and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
roof · No visible damage, but age is unknown Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · No visible flooring, but age is unknown Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · No visible interior, but age is unknown Major $15,000–50,000
systems · No visible systems, but age is unknown Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair roof — Prevents water damage and increases value
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both paint interior — Enhances interior appearance and value
  • Both repair systems — Ensures functionality and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pittsfield
NCES district ID
2509630
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$44,032
Composite
22.67/100
National rank
#8046
State rank
#272 of 302 in MA

Livability — Pittsfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#3820

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pittsfield, MA
County
Berkshire County · 44,848 people
City population
44,848
Metro
Pittsfield, MA
Population (ZIP)
44,848
Household income
$71,093
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
1580.0

Population outlook (Berkshire County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
119,723 people
By 2030
114,608 · -4.3%
By 2040
102,806 · -14.1%
By 2050
91,305 · -23.7%
By 2075
71,517 · -40.3%
By 2100
57,988 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkshire

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.9) · D 68.9% · R 29.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: 52.4pp · 2024: 39.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.9 2020: D+47.1 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+53.7 2008: D+52.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.88%
Current HPI
283.3421
Rent YoY
▲ 7.72%
Metro
Pittsfield, MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17400.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $245,000 BCMLS
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-19 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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