2427 17th Ave S · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a newly rehabbed 4-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home in an excellent location with easy transportation access to local and downtown Minneapolis businesses and entertainment venues. Because this home is a community land trust property, buyers must meet specific eligibility requirements to purchase.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land is leased ($20)
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking only
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Entry includes main and upper levels
- Construction: Foundation listed as 'Other'; Below-grade finished area present
- Exterior features: Porch; Chain link fence; Lot approximately 0.11 acres (38 x 123)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with center island; Kitchen window; Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (upper level; one bedroom listed as 'Bedroom 2', 'Bedroom 3', 'Bedroom 4')
- Bathrooms: One full bath (upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
- Interior features: Living/Dining room; Full basement; 4 bedrooms on one level (property noted as rehabbed)
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $636 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,190/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; list at $180k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.15%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $6,974
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $40,978
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55404
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,190 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $899/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $636
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $738 | -5% $687 | +0% $636 | +5% $585 | +10% $534 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $463 | -5% $550 | +0% $636 | +5% $723 | +10% $809 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $727 | -0.5pp $682 | base $636 | +0.5pp $590 | +1.0pp $542 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2540 12th Ave S Apt 2 Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,450 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2121 11th Ave S Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $2,450 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1819 15th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $2,050 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 739 E 27th St Unit 739 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1699 | $2,600 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2016 25th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 735 E 16th St #2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2730 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $1,755 | $1.87 | 9d | 3 | 0.97mi |
| 220 E 27th St #1 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2516 | $3,100 | $1.23 | 19d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2916 30th Ave S Unit D Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,497 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 212 10th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1490 | $8,588 | $5.76 | 3d | 10 | 1.32mi |
| 1111 3rd Ave S Unit 1511914P Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $11,990 | $11.09 | 4d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 2821 1st Ave S Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1743 | $1,600 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 412 E 34th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1763 | $1,800 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 307-char remark
-
2026-06-13$180,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,458 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$558/yr (+$47/mo · 62.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$899
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,102
- − Management
- −$2,102
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $4,957
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,920
- Household income
- $41,940
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2999.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Native American 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.31%
- Current HPI
- 224.8886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+295.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 1992-11-22 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-05-30 Listed $45,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $899 · -90.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…