309 W Broadway St · North Baltimore, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two bedroom home in North Baltimore. Large landing area upstairs that could be configured to another bedroom. Good size lot with oversized 2 car detached garage.
Key facts
- Newer 2-car garage
- Bathroom remodel
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; 2 garage spaces (4 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels (2 stories); Not attached to other units; no common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Foundation: block and crawl space; Built on two stories
- Exterior features: Deck; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approximately 14 x 14)
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the upper level (approximately 11 x 15); An additional upper-level bedroom/other room (approximately 11 x 19)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Double vanity; 8 total rooms; Basement: partial, unfinished with block construction, interior and exterior entry, sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (approximately 8 x 13)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 5.9% in North Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#159 in OH, #2,395 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- North Baltimore Local (town): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #424 of 656 in OH (top 65%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: E A Powell Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #851 of 1,584 statewide, top 56%, 367 students, 46% FRL); North Baltimore Middle School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade B-, #342 of 654 statewide, top 54%, 95 students, 0% FRL); North Baltimore High School (math 34% / reading 74%, grade C-, #303 of 781 statewide, top 42%, 136 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 493 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wood County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $79k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.16%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 Jewett Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 1,420 (-2%) | 11mo | $134,000 | $94 | 73 |
| 114 N Beecher St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,478 (+2%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $30 | 70 |
| 216 S Tarr St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,406 (-3%) | 6mo | $39,900 | $28 | 70 |
| 129 Central Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,358 (-6%) | 11mo | $152,500 | $112 | 70 |
| 318 Belmont St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 7mo | $129,000 | $96 | 69 |
| 221 Poplar St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+5%) | 12mo | $185,000 | $122 | 66 |
| 306 S 2nd St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,358 (-6%) | 4mo | $49,900 | $37 | 63 |
| 114 East St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+6%) | 5mo | $172,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 300 W Water St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,640 (+13%) | 6mo | $141,999 | $87 | 54 |
| 504 W State St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,612 (+11%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $112 | 52 |
| 103 Smith St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-7%) | 5mo | $116,500 | $86 | 49 |
| 209 Rudolph Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,518 (+5%) | 7mo | $218,500 | $144 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $25,003
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.19×
- Total profit
- $70,592
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45872
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,741/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $593
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $637 | -5% $615 | +0% $593 | +5% $570 | +10% $548 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $474 | -5% $534 | +0% $593 | +5% $652 | +10% $711 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $633 | -0.5pp $613 | base $593 | +0.5pp $572 | +1.0pp $551 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15980 Quarry Rd North Baltimore, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,500 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $79,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Contingent 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Contingent 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Contingent 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Contingent 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $79,000 Contingent 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 520-char remark
-
2026-06-04$79,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,741 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,741 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,741
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $6,261
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,503
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,610/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Baltimore Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905070
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,242
- Composite
- 43.72/100
- National rank
- #2951
- State rank
- #424 of 656 in OH
Livability — North Baltimore
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #2395
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Baltimore, OH
- County
- Wood · 127,168 people
- City population
- 4,572
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,572
- Household income
- $62,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.8
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,744 people
- By 2030
- 143,189 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 150,896 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 158,589 · +14.3%
- By 2075
- 182,166 · +31.3%
- By 2100
- 196,533 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.2) · D 44.4% · R 54.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.2 2020: R+7.6 2016: R+8.5 2012: D+4.2 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.19%
- Current HPI
- 225.1072
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+31.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $79,000 NORIS
- 2024-03-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NORIS
- 2024-03-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 FAOR
- 2024-03-11 Pending — FAOR
- 2024-03-11 Pending — NORIS
- 2024-03-11 Price Changed $50,000 NORIS
- 2024-02-29 Listed $44,900 NORIS
- 2024-02-29 Listed $44,900 FAOR
- 2012-05-04 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NORIS
- 2012-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2011-01-19 Listed $59,900 NORIS
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,741 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…