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5 & 9 Walnut Dr
B+ Composite 77.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

5 & 9 Walnut Dr · Mound City, KS 66056
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1998 0.42 ac lot $33/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Octagon cabin Sugar Valley Lake, home located on 2 level lots, treed, cabin has electricity & holding tank, interior ready to finish, close to Dam & swimming area yet secluded from traffic. golf, fish & swim, boat.

Key facts

  • 0.42 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 150 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 18,200 square feet
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $400; No maintenance provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story (above grade living area 1,148)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Built approximately 21–30 years ago
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Not in a flood plain

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Slab foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#339 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jayhawk (rural): math 32% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #95 of 169 in KS (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.04%
Cash-on-cash
16.96%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$285,852
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34 Bobcat Dr 0.67mi 2/1.0 1,120 (-2%) 3mo $237,500 $212 62
9 Sugar Lake Ter 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,120 (-2%) 24mo $279,000 $249 56
58 E Sugar Lake Cv 0.45mi 2/1.0 1,008 (-12%) 3mo $299,600 $297 56
1 Walleye Dr 0.67mi 1/2.0 (-1) 1,196 (+4%) 23mo $100,000 $84 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.4%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$51,848
Equity at exit
$58,849
10-year hold
IRR
30.9%
Equity multiple
8.05×
Total profit
$138,058
Equity at exit
$122,765

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66056

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,003 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $653
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $325 -5% $301 +0% $277 +5% $252 +10% $228
Rent -10% $197 -5% $237 +0% $277 +5% $316 +10% $356
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $294 base $277 +0.5pp $259 +1.0pp $240

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 150 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 143 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 142 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 129 DOM
  17. 2026-03-20
    price $69,900
  18. 2026-01-21
    listed $78,900 Active
  19. 2023-07-24
    soldstatus Closed 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Octagon cabin Sugar Valley Lake, home located on 2 level lots, treed, cabin has electricity & holding tank, interior ready to finish, close to Dam & swimming area yet secluded from traffic. golf, fish & swim, boat.

  20. 2023-07-17
    status Pending 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Octagon cabin Sugar Valley Lake, home located on 2 level lots, treed, cabin has electricity & holding tank, interior ready to finish, close to Dam & swimming area yet secluded from traffic. golf, fish & swim, boat.

  21. 2023-06-29
    price $59,900 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Octagon cabin Sugar Valley Lake, home located on 2 level lots, treed, cabin has electricity & holding tank, interior ready to finish, close to Dam & swimming area yet secluded from traffic. golf, fish & swim, boat.

  22. 2023-06-13
    listed $69,900 Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Octagon cabin Sugar Valley Lake, home located on 2 level lots, treed, cabin has electricity & holding tank, interior ready to finish, close to Dam & swimming area yet secluded from traffic. golf, fish & swim, boat.

  23. 1997-05-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,041
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$963
− Management
−$963
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$2,371
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$569
After-tax cash flow
$2,750/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jayhawk
NCES district ID
2007750
Math proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,226
Composite
26.3/100
National rank
#7244
State rank
#95 of 169 in KS

Livability — Mound City

Score
63/100
State rank
#339
US rank
#15276

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,428

Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,581 people
By 2030
9,574 · -0.1%
By 2040
9,550 · -0.3%
By 2050
9,483 · -1.0%
By 2075
9,510 · -0.7%
By 2100
8,873 · -7.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Linn

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.0% · R 81.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+62.1 2012: R+45.9 2008: R+36.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.18%
Current HPI
397.2471
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $78,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-24 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-17 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-29 Price Changed $59,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-13 Listed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…