1450 N Washington Blvd #173 · Ogden, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Master suite
- Deck area
- Off street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee ($995); Association fee includes water, sewer and trash; Community amenities: clubhouse, playground, picnic area, pool, snow removal; pets permitted with rules
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered open parking; Three parking spaces (all open)
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary (municipal) water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Built/standing condition; Residential use
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Partially fenced lot; Paved road access; Mountain view; Private in-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (primary bedroom on the 1st floor); Total of 8 rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas central); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bathroom; Garbage disposal; Gas range / free-standing range/oven; Refrigerator included; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in UT, #810 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Ogden City District (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #72 of 80 in UT (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 611 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 54% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.24%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-3,592
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $2,042
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84404
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 611
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,857 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $824/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$995
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $93
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 551 E 900 North St Ogden, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 23d | 2 | 0.74mi |
| 551 E 900 North St Ogden, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,795 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 445 E 800 North St Ogden, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3041 E 2050 N Unit 10 Ogden, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1362 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 298 E 2350 N Ogden, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1368 | $1,975 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 282 W 1975 N Ogden, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1362 | $1,700 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1933 N 325 W Ogden, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1374 | $1,795 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 381 N Washington Blvd Ogden, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $1,683 | $1.58 | 14d | 15 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $995 · $11,940/yr
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-02$54,900 Active
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-01-07price $59,500
-
2025-09-15$62,995 Active
-
2011-11-04soldstatus 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2011-08-24$18,000 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥87°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,286
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$824
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,783
- − Management
- −$1,783
- − HOA
- −$11,940
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $1,010
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $871/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ogden City District
- NCES district ID
- 4900720
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,974
- Composite
- 23.76/100
- National rank
- #7818
- State rank
- #72 of 80 in UT
Livability — Ogden
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #810
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ogden, UT
- County
- Weber County · 260,557 people
- City population
- 152,611
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,587
- Household income
- $85,057
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1201.0
Population outlook (Weber County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 274,329 people
- By 2030
- 288,577 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 314,848 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 338,710 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 384,412 · +40.1%
- By 2100
- 409,305 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weber
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 36.8% · R 60.3% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -317.85%
- Current HPI
- 323.2499
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+205.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $54,900 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $59,500 WFRMLS
- 2025-09-15 Listed $62,995 WFRMLS
- 2011-11-04 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2011-08-24 Listed $18,000 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…