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4238 Marjoram Lndg
D- Composite 39.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0

$232,990

4238 Marjoram Lndg · San Antonio, TX 78073
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Built 2026 4,791 sqft lot $182/sqft · 6% below area Est $247k · 6% under $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Barton is a charming one-story home featured at Preserve at Medina in Von Ormy, TX. Featuring 2 classic front exteriors, this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home also offers 1281 square feet of living space and a 2-car garage. A front porch (per plan) welcomes you into the home and opens to the gourmet kitchen which includes quartz counter tops, quality cabinets, stainless steel appliances and an open concept floorplan with the kitchen flowing seamlessly into the dining room and living room. The main bedroom has an attractive ensuite bathroom that features a quartz vanity countertop and quality cabinetry. Enjoy additional storage with a spacious walk-in closet located off of the primary bathroom. Your secondary bedrooms all feature quality carpet flooring and a closet, and can be used as bedrooms, offices, work out spaces or other bonus rooms. The possibilities are endless with The Barton floor plan. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device. Contact us today and find your home in Preserve at Medina by clicking the text with us button or the request information button.

Key facts

  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Quality cabinets
  • Quartz counter tops

Tags

GOURMET KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTER TOPSQUALITY CABINETSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESOPEN CONCEPT FLOORPLANENSUITE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: HERS rated with low-flow commode (green features)
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with annual fee; HOA fee $396 annually; Neighborhood amenities include a park/playground

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Security: Smoke alarm; Carbon monoxide detector
  • Utilities: Water supplied by SAWS; Sewer supplied by SAWS; Gas supplied by CPS; Electricity supplied by CPS; Water and sewer system connections
  • Home design: New construction by D.R. Horton; Brick, siding and cement fiber exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: New home (approximate age 0); Builder plans used for square footage; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Privacy fence; Sprinkler system; Double-pane windows; Street paved with curbs and streetlights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove/Range (gas); Dishwasher; Disposal; Ice maker connection
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with walk-in closet and full bath (12 x 14); Bedroom 2 (10 x 10); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bath with shower only and single vanity (9 x 9)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan with living/dining room combination; Island kitchen and breakfast bar; Utility room inside; Ground level / no steps; High speed internet available; Attic with pull-down stairs; All window coverings remain; Smoke alarm and carbon monoxide detector; Gas water heater; Vent fan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Laundry room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $233k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-269 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (16.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (25.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Spicewood Park El (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 593 students, 93% FRL); Ronald E Mcnair Middle (math 27% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 748 students, 77% FRL); Southwest H S (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,152 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $173,908 (25.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
4.91%
Cash-on-cash
-4.95%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$246,795
List price
$232,990
Delta
-5.59%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15426 Lemon Pepper Crk 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,280 (0%) 6mo $248,000 $194 90
4246 Paprika Grv 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,156 (-10%) 2mo $233,109 $202 79
15531 Clove Spice 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,365 (+7%) 1mo $196,080 $144 78
4243 Marjoram Lndg 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,434 (+12%) 2mo $238,610 $166 76
15503 Mint Patch Mdw 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,156 (-10%) 4mo $214,610 $186 76
4231 Paprika Grv 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,470 (+15%) 1mo $241,170 $164 72
4247 Paprika Grv 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,470 (+15%) 1mo $245,670 $167 72
15238 Walcott Rdg 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,301 (+2%) 0mo $194,450 $149 71
15434 Lemon Pepper Crk 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,434 (+12%) 5mo $253,000 $176 70
15435 Mint Patch Mdw 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,470 (+15%) 3mo $240,670 $164 66
15523 Mint Patch Mdw 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,470 (+15%) 6mo $254,499 $173 64
4307 Common Sage 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,470 (+15%) 1mo $245,310 $167 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$6,082
Equity at exit
$99,569
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$51,954
Equity at exit
$149,525

Cash invested: $65,237 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78073

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
323
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,739 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,222
Tax est. 1.5%
$291 /mo · $3,495/yr
Insurance
$97
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$-269

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,080
Max offer price $194,026
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-108 -5% $-189 +0% $-269 +5% $-350 +10% $-430
Rent -10% $-407 -5% $-338 +0% $-269 +5% $-201 +10% $-132
Rate -1.0pp $-152 -0.5pp $-210 base $-269 +0.5pp $-330 +1.0pp $-391

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,248
Closing costs
$6,990
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4231 Paprika Grv Von Ormy, TX 3.0 3.0 1470 $1,723 $1.17 0d 1 0.04mi
4218 Paprika Grv Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1434 $1,595 $1.11 45d 1 0.06mi
4323 Caraway Bay Von Ormy, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0 1572 $2,129 $1.35 0d 6 0.18mi
15531 Clove Spice Way Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,595 $1.23 22d 1 0.23mi
15531 Clove Spice Way Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,595 $1.23 6d 1 0.23mi
15619 Garam Trl Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.5 1856 $1,755 $0.95 45d 1 0.29mi
15319 Escalante Pass Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1428 $2,000 $1.40 0d 1 0.29mi
15115 Harbor Lndg Von Ormy, TX 4.0 2.0 1794 $1,795 $1.00 16d 1 0.30mi
15027 Harbor Lndg Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1526 $1,850 $1.21 25d 1 0.35mi
15706 Clove Spice Way Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1535 $1,650 $1.07 0d 1 0.36mi
4042 Bay Leaf Loop Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,600 $1.23 45d 1 0.41mi
15315 Waterow Vw Von Ormy, TX 3.0–5.0 2.0–3.5 1781 $1,855 $1.04 0d 1 0.41mi
15266 Snug Harbor Way Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.5 1525 $1,647 $1.08 4d 1 0.54mi
15226 Walcott Rdg Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.5 1297 $1,700 $1.31 25d 1 0.55mi
15115 Jetfire Pt Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1525 $1,800 $1.18 19d 1 0.63mi
15115 Jetfire Pt Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1526 $1,800 $1.18 45d 1 0.63mi
15115 Jetfire Pt Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.0 1526 $1,800 $1.18 6d 1 0.63mi
3819 Leighton Hbr Von Ormy, TX 3.0 2.5 1430 $1,700 $1.19 25d 1 0.67mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $232,990 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $232,990 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $232,990 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $232,990 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $232,990 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $232,990 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $232,990 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $232,990 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $232,990 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $232,990 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $232,990 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $232,990 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $232,990 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $232,990 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $232,990 New 1239-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,869
− Mortgage interest
−$13,051
− Property taxes
−$3,495
− Insurance
−$1,165
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,670
− Management
−$1,670
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$6,778
Taxable loss
−$7,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,765
After-tax cash flow
$-1,466/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southwest ISD
NCES district ID
4840950
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,362
Composite
22.22/100
National rank
#8153
State rank
#701 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
City population
1,806,925
Population (ZIP)
9,510

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 81% Two or more races 33% White 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.60%
Current HPI
289.1266
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $232,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $232,990 LERA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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