67250 Locust Rd #53 · Montrose, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious and ready for you to take this canvas and make it your masterpiece. Four bedrooms, two bathrooms, two living areas, split floor plan.
Key facts
- Built 2001
- Listed 51 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Mountain View Homeowners Association; Community playground
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Double wide mobile home; Single-story; Residential single-family use
- Construction: Skirted foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck/porch; Deck; Porch; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Linoleum; Partially carpeted
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Linoleum and partially carpeted floors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.0% vs local median 2.0% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#109 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Montrose County School District Re-1J (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 86 in CO (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Montrose County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montrose County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 81.08%
- DSCR
- 4.61
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 81.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $67,788
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 84.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.79×
- Total profit
- $159,888
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81401
- Active inventory
- 371
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $431/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $1,230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $65,000
-
2026-04-27$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $431 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $431 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$431
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,985
- − Management
- −$1,985
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $14,555
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,493
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,263/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montrose County School District Re-1J
- NCES district ID
- 0805790
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,650
- Composite
- 24.9/100
- National rank
- #7577
- State rank
- #55 of 86 in CO
Livability — Montrose
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #9310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montrose, CO
- County
- Montrose County · 24,228 people
- City population
- 24,228
- Metro
- Montrose, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,228
- Household income
- $71,286
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 682.0
Population outlook (Montrose County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,229 people
- By 2030
- 37,791 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 33,829 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 29,530 · -24.7%
- By 2075
- 20,559 · -47.6%
- By 2100
- 12,144 · -69.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montrose
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.6% · R 65.2% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+29.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.94%
- Current HPI
- 373.4909
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montrose, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-18.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $65,000 cren
- 2026-04-27 Listed $79,900 cren
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $431 · +402.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…