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1002 S Michigan Ave
B- Composite 67.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$93,000

1002 S Michigan Ave · Saginaw, MI 48602
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,809 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Fair condition 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

See this classic home in the heart of Saginaw City, sporting original wood trim, floors, and classic glass doors. Converted into a duplex, it has gained utilities without losing any charm. Classic tile bathrooms and tile in the entry ways, original wounding banister, a full basement, and a plenty of parking. See this property today before it is gone!

Key facts

  • Original wood trim
  • Classic glass doors
  • Plenty of parking

Tags

ORIGINAL WOOD TRIMCLASSIC GLASS DOORSCONVERTED INTO A DUPLEXCLASSIC TILE BATHROOMSFULL BASEMENTPLENTY OF PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 60 x 80 (0.11 acre)
  • Financial info: Unit rents: one unit at $875, another at $750
  • HOA & community: Community sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport with assigned spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Two-story building; Entry level information not provided; Facing direction not provided
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Block basement
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Sidewalks; Pets allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Includes typical kitchen appliances
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $93k implies a 447% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $91,605 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.35%
Cash-on-cash
18.07%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$11,254
Equity at exit
$13,867
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$47,590
Equity at exit
$8,041

Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,324 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$488
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,526/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $827
Max offer price $93,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,250
Closing costs
$2,790
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $93,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $93,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $94,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    remarks 352-char remark
    Show marketing remark (352 chars)

    See this classic home in the heart of Saginaw City, sporting original wood trim, floors, and classic glass doors. Converted into a duplex, it has gained utilities without losing any charm. Classic tile bathrooms and tile in the entry ways, original wounding banister, a full basement, and a plenty of parking. See this property today before it is gone!

  17. 2026-05-30
    listed $94,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (352 chars)

    See this classic home in the heart of Saginaw City, sporting original wood trim, floors, and classic glass doors. Converted into a duplex, it has gained utilities without losing any charm. Classic tile bathrooms and tile in the entry ways, original wounding banister, a full basement, and a plenty of parking. See this property today before it is gone!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,886
− Mortgage interest
−$5,209
− Property taxes
−$1,526
− Insurance
−$465
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,271
− Management
−$1,271
− Depreciation
−$2,705
Taxable income
$3,438
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$825
After-tax cash flow
$3,881/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This classic home in Saginaw City requires moderate updates to kitchen and bathrooms, but has a good roof and hardwood floors. Landscaping and painting can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate kitchen appliances — outdated and in need of replacement
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — basic and in need of updating

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen appliances · outdated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · basic and in need of updating Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+458.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $94,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,526 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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