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1533 S Grant St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$118,900

1533 S Grant St · Aberdeen, SD 57401
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 219 Days on market
Built 1910 6,969 sqft lot $82/sqft · 44% below area Est $211k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Are you ready for the purchase of a lifetime? Your dream of owning a successful investment property is here!! This 4 BD, 2BA home is a short walk from Melgaard Park, NSU, and the new football stadium! This lot offers off-street parking and a 2-stall garage for winter storage. The back patio is a perfect hang out for those relaxing summer nights. To be sold AS IS. Subject to tenant's rights. Please allow 48 hours for showings.

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $118,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$210,708) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.9% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#7 in SD, #1,411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Aberdeen School District 06-1 (town): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #33 of 59 in SD (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $822 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brown County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $104,632 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.11%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,708
List price
$118,900
Delta
-43.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1502 S Grant St 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,485 (+2%) 2mo $149,900 $101 92
1514 S Main St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,547 (+6%) 2mo $235,000 $152 72
118 Church Dr 0.41mi 4/3.0 1,388 (-5%) 1mo $305,000 $220 68
1404 S 2nd St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,408 (-3%) 3mo $179,000 $127 65
1431 Dick Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,378 (-5%) 3mo $297,500 $216 64
17 SW 9th Ave 0.61mi 4/3.0 1,472 (+1%) 5mo $180,000 $122 61
324 SW 10th Ave 0.68mi 4/1.0 1,427 (-2%) 3mo $165,000 $116 59
201 SW 8th Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,480 (+2%) 1mo $95,000 $64 58
124 SW 13th Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,558 (+7%) 6mo $220,000 $141 58
612 S Arch St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-1%) 1mo $145,000 $101 57
310 SW 9th Ave 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,364 (-6%) 5mo $165,000 $121 51
516 SE 10th Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,640 (+13%) 3mo $210,000 $128 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,702
Equity at exit
$17,728
10-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$37,201
Equity at exit
$10,280

Cash invested: $33,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57401

Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,921/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,055
Max offer price $118,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,725
Closing costs
$3,567
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $118,900 Active 219 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $118,900 Active 218 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $118,900 Active 217 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $118,900 Active 216 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $118,900 Active 215 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $118,900 Active 213 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $118,900 Active 212 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $118,900 Active 209 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $118,900 Active 208 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $118,900 Active 207 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $118,900 Active 204 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $118,900 Active 203 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $118,900 Active 202 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $118,900 Active 201 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $118,900 Active 200 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $118,900 Active 199 DOM
  17. 2026-01-30
    price $118,900
  18. 2025-12-04
    price $121,900
  19. 2025-11-12
    listed $131,900 Active
  20. 2022-02-25
    soldstatus $123,000 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Are you ready for the purchase of a lifetime? Your dream of owning a successful investment property is here!! This 4 BD, 2BA home is a short walk from Melgaard Park, NSU, and the new football stadium! This lot offers off-street parking and a 2-stall garage for winter storage. The back patio is a perfect hang out for those relaxing summer nights. To be sold AS IS. Subject to tenant's rights. Please allow 48 hours for showings.

  21. 2021-11-20
    listed $130,000 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Are you ready for the purchase of a lifetime? Your dream of owning a successful investment property is here!! This 4 BD, 2BA home is a short walk from Melgaard Park, NSU, and the new football stadium! This lot offers off-street parking and a 2-stall garage for winter storage. The back patio is a perfect hang out for those relaxing summer nights. To be sold AS IS. Subject to tenant's rights. Please allow 48 hours for showings.

  22. 2000-07-28
    soldstatus $41,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,921 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,921 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,603
− Mortgage interest
−$6,660
− Property taxes
−$1,921
− Insurance
−$594
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$3,459
Taxable income
$2,992
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$718
After-tax cash flow
$3,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aberdeen School District 06-1
NCES district ID
4602070
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,230
Composite
42.27/100
National rank
#3273
State rank
#33 of 59 in SD

Livability — Aberdeen

Score
81/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#1411

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aberdeen, SD
County
Brown County · 31,939 people
City population
31,939
Metro
Aberdeen, SD
Population (ZIP)
31,939
Household income
$68,835
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
1220.0

Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,830 people
By 2030
46,663 · +6.5%
By 2040
52,852 · +20.6%
By 2050
59,898 · +36.7%
By 2075
82,750 · +88.8%
By 2100
112,639 · +157.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 6% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brown

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.8) · D 35.6% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-32.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: -26.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.8 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+25.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -224.77%
Current HPI
185.713
Rent YoY
Metro
Aberdeen, SD
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+183.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $118,900 ABOR
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $121,900 ABOR
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $131,900 ABOR
  • 2022-02-25 Sold (MLS) $123,000 ABOR
  • 2021-11-20 Listed $130,000 ABOR
  • 2000-07-28 Sold (MLS) $41,900 ABOR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,921 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…