808 Pioneer Ct · Masthope, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$379,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Extremely Private Masthope Chalet and stream. Cul-de-sac location great for kids to play, no traffic. Home boarders Masthope Greenbelt. Beautiful setting with stream and forest views. Featuring 4BR/3BA open floor plan, stone fireplace, multiple living spaces, finished basement, CAC and heat, 4 season room, woods and stream views off private deck overlooking greenbelt. Being sold fully furnished. First time being offered for sale. Lot to left is also for sale, a great spot for a garage or shed. Masthope amenities include skiing, outdoor pool, fitness center, restaurant, mini golf, horseback riding, ATV trails, Delaware River park, motor boating lake w/ white sandy beach and more.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- 4 season room
- Culdesac location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $379k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $379k).
- Recommended offer: $334k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.2% in Masthope — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,276 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 408 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 408 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.53%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $526,566
- List price
- $379,000
- Delta
- -28.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 Powderhorn Dr | 0.54mi | 3/3.0 | 2,592 (-2%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $133 | 64 |
| 201 Powderhorn Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,643 (+0%) | 16mo | $480,000 | $182 | 58 |
| 107 Musket Dr | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 | 2,398 (-9%) | 10mo | $410,000 | $171 | 52 |
| 143 Stone Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,400 (-9%) | 13mo | $359,900 | $150 | 49 |
| 135 Heritage Dr | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 | 2,800 (+6%) | 21mo | $475,000 | $170 | 42 |
| 160 Constitution Dr | 0.62mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,720 (+3%) | 23mo | $529,000 | $194 | 35 |
| 186 Oak Hill Rd | 0.64mi | 3/3.5 | 2,453 (-7%) | 22mo | $355,000 | $145 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $49,750
- Equity at exit
- $123,527
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $170,182
- Equity at exit
- $159,719
Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18435
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,988
- Tax from tax record
- −$369 /mo · $4,432/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$207
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$924
- Net cashflow
- $754
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,750
- Closing costs
- $11,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 Cottonwood Dr Hawley, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2908 | $4,400 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $207 · $2,484/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $379,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $379,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $399,000 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Extremely Private Masthope Chalet and stream. Cul-de-sac location great for kids to play, no traffic. Home boarders Masthope Greenbelt. Beautiful setting with stream and forest views. Featuring 4BR/3BA open floor plan, stone fireplace, multiple living spaces, finished basement, CAC and heat, 4 season room, woods and stream views off private deck overlooking greenbelt. Being sold fully furnished. First time being offered for sale. Lot to left is also for sale, a great spot for a garage or shed. Masthope amenities include skiing, outdoor pool, fitness center, restaurant, mini golf, horseback riding, ATV trails, Delaware River park, motor boating lake w/ white sandy beach and more.
-
2025-08-29price $450,000 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Extremely Private Masthope Chalet and stream. Cul-de-sac location great for kids to play, no traffic. Home boarders Masthope Greenbelt. Beautiful setting with stream and forest views. Featuring 4BR/3BA open floor plan, stone fireplace, multiple living spaces, finished basement, CAC and heat, 4 season room, woods and stream views off private deck overlooking greenbelt. Being sold fully furnished. First time being offered for sale. Lot to left is also for sale, a great spot for a garage or shed. Masthope amenities include skiing, outdoor pool, fitness center, restaurant, mini golf, horseback riding, ATV trails, Delaware River park, motor boating lake w/ white sandy beach and more.
-
2025-06-25price $490,000 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Extremely Private Masthope Chalet and stream. Cul-de-sac location great for kids to play, no traffic. Home boarders Masthope Greenbelt. Beautiful setting with stream and forest views. Featuring 4BR/3BA open floor plan, stone fireplace, multiple living spaces, finished basement, CAC and heat, 4 season room, woods and stream views off private deck overlooking greenbelt. Being sold fully furnished. First time being offered for sale. Lot to left is also for sale, a great spot for a garage or shed. Masthope amenities include skiing, outdoor pool, fitness center, restaurant, mini golf, horseback riding, ATV trails, Delaware River park, motor boating lake w/ white sandy beach and more.
-
2025-05-06$515,000 Active 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Extremely Private Masthope Chalet and stream. Cul-de-sac location great for kids to play, no traffic. Home boarders Masthope Greenbelt. Beautiful setting with stream and forest views. Featuring 4BR/3BA open floor plan, stone fireplace, multiple living spaces, finished basement, CAC and heat, 4 season room, woods and stream views off private deck overlooking greenbelt. Being sold fully furnished. First time being offered for sale. Lot to left is also for sale, a great spot for a garage or shed. Masthope amenities include skiing, outdoor pool, fitness center, restaurant, mini golf, horseback riding, ATV trails, Delaware River park, motor boating lake w/ white sandy beach and more.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,432 · $369/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,210 · $434/mo
- Expected delta
- +$778/yr (+$65/mo · 17.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,230
- − Property taxes
- −$4,432
- − Insurance
- −$1,895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,224
- − Management
- −$4,224
- − HOA
- −$2,484
- − Depreciation
- −$11,025
- Taxable income
- $3,286
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$789
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,262/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallenpaupack Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3345
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Masthope
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #1276
- US rank
- #15402
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Masthope, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 906
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Subsaharan African 6% Serbian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- Current HPI
- 206.1947
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-22.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $399,000 PWMLS
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $450,000 PWMLS
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $490,000 PWMLS
- 2025-05-06 Listed $515,000 PWMLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $4,432 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…