14019 Gossett St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Private Space, Prime Location, Endless Potential: A place to breathe, grow, and begin again. Set on ¾ acre (includes parcels 1076490008 & 1076490005). Whether it's morning coffee on your porch, space for kids to run, or animals to roam --this property invites you to build a life, not just buy a home. The existing mobile home is your starting point to update, reimagine, or build new. Minutes from shopping, dining, and the airport--privacy without sacrificing convenience. Your next chapter starts here. Investors: Location. Land. Leverage. This ¾ acre property across three parcels (1076490008 & 1076490005) sits in a rapidly growing area surrounded by new construction.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Built 1980
- Listed 93 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount available
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured home; One level
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Road frontage on a city street; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric oven
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 728 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.60%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,360
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13725 Benton St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+12%) | 23mo | $232,800 | $144 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-6,598
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $7,309
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32218
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 728
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,974 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,630/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $433
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13949 Gossett St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 225 Duval Station Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1119 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 11d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 13919 Ridgewick Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1679 | $2,065 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 14041 Hyatt Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $2,009 | $2.09 | 2d | 49 | 0.30mi |
| 14228 Gossett St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $1,948 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 14119 River Station Ln Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1641 | $1,999 | $1.22 | 3d | 15 | 0.39mi |
| 14355 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $2,675 | $2.50 | 2d | 43 | 0.48mi |
| 231 Collen Rd N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 223 Collen Rd N Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 14416 Gossett St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,100 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 340 Shamrock Ave S Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,769 | $1.45 | 8d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13283 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1041 | $1,947 | $1.87 | 2d | 24 | 0.86mi |
| 14635 Macadamia Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1857 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 667 Bonaparte Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $2,220 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 14522 Macadamia Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1556 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13112 Annies Walk Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1359 | $1,725 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 14757 Cashew Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 111 Brazil Nut Cir Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 685 Tree Swallow Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 943 Capitol Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1492 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 14105 Epply Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1242 | $2,341 | $1.88 | 3d | 42 | 1.26mi |
| 911 Capitol Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1492 | $1,700 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 887 Capitol Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1502 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 13100 Broxton Bay Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $1,696 | $1.55 | 2d | 45 | 1.28mi |
| 1125 Arcaro Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $2,135 | $1.16 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 910 Observatory Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$175,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,630 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,630 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,686
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,630
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,895
- − Management
- −$1,895
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $2,497
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$599
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,905
- Household income
- $69,638
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2289.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.73%
- Current HPI
- 262.2329
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.40%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $175,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+21.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,630 · +713.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…