4126 Bermuda Ln · Seguin, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$276,435
4126 Bermuda Ln · Seguin, TX 78155
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,331 sqft · SingleFamily
· 157 Days on market
Built 2026
4,791 sqft lot
2-car garage
$119/sqft
· 6% below area
Est $293k · 6% under
$50/mo HOA · 2% of rent
↓ 6% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Available for August 2026! The Monroe's new home design is ideal for homeowner's needing space and storage. Offering roomy entertaining areas and a secondary bed/bath downstairs with a second-story loft and private Primary Retreat.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $276k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-262 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (22.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.6% in Seguin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#592 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Navarro ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #166 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Navarro El (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 702 students, 45% FRL); Navarro Int (math 50% / reading 44%, grade D+, #424 of 1,662 statewide, top 27%, 485 students, 40% FRL); Navarro H S (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #447 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 648 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 2022 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 69d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,064 units permitted in Guadalupe County in 2024 (133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guadalupe County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$214,933
(22.2% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.07%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $293,196
- List price
- $276,435
- Delta
- -5.72%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4101 Bermuda Ln | 0.05mi | 4/3.0 | 2,331 (0%) | 3mo | $280,025 | $120 | 95 |
| 4101 Lazy Lily Dr | 0.09mi | 4/3.0 | 2,331 (0%) | 1mo | $286,750 | $123 | 95 |
| 4065 Bermuda Ln | 0.12mi | 4/3.0 | 2,331 (0%) | 2mo | $309,650 | $133 | 93 |
| 349 Wild Creek Rd | 0.09mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,466 (+6%) | 2mo | $289,621 | $117 | 80 |
| 4064 Bermuda Ln | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 2,218 (-5%) | 6mo | $274,123 | $124 | 79 |
| 4129 Bermuda Ln | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 2,079 (-11%) | 4mo | $285,368 | $137 | 77 |
| 348 Wild Creek Rd | 0.06mi | 4/3.0 | 2,601 (+12%) | 1mo | $334,702 | $129 | 77 |
| 4121 Bermuda Ln | 0.02mi | 4/3.0 | 2,601 (+12%) | 6mo | $329,877 | $127 | 74 |
| 166 Hazy Glade Dr | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 | 2,601 (+12%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $121 | 72 |
| 4060 Paddock Trl | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 2,520 (+8%) | 4mo | $372,230 | $148 | 69 |
| 4069 Bermuda Ln | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 | 2,029 (-13%) | 5mo | $268,230 | $132 | 69 |
| 336 Pacific Waters | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 1,987 (-15%) | 4mo | $213,000 | $107 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-63,501
- Equity at exit
- $41,217
10-year hold
- IRR
- -22.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-84,836
- Equity at exit
- $23,901
Cash invested: $77,402 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 60 active · 25 under contract
- Months of supply
- 18.9 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $338,445 ($166/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 177 d
- This list price
- 10% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -24.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78155
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 2022
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $2,149 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,450
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$346 /mo · $4,147/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $-262
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$2,481
Max offer price
$238,464
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-71 | -5% $-167 | +0% $-262 | +5% $-358 | +10% $-453 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-432 | -5% $-347 | +0% $-262 | +5% $-178 | +10% $-93 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-123 | -0.5pp $-192 | base $-262 | +0.5pp $-334 | +1.0pp $-407 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,109
- Closing costs
- $8,293
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4153 Bermuda Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1937 | $1,995 | $1.03 | 138d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 4037 Sun Meadow Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2601 | $2,400 | $0.92 | 36d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4037 Sun Meadow Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2601 | $2,400 | $0.92 | 10d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4037 Sun Meadow Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2601 | $2,200 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4134 Wild Bloom Rd Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $2,100 | $0.91 | 9d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4134 Wild Bloom Rd Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $2,000 | $0.87 | 122d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4044 Sun Meadow Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2601 | $2,359 | $0.91 | 184d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 158 Hazy Glade Dr Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2324 | $2,100 | $0.90 | 10d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4089 Lily Glade Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2218 | $1,750 | $0.79 | 34d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4089 Lily Glade Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2218 | $1,850 | $0.83 | 69d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3873 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,773 | $1.06 | 112d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3809 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $1,795 | $0.96 | 69d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3812 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $1,650 | $0.88 | 41d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3812 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $1,650 | $0.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 249 Free Waters Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,695 | $1.02 | 101d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3735 Canby Oak Blf Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2486 | $2,485 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3735 Canby Oak Blf Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2486 | $2,485 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2712 Iberia Ct New Berlin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2069 | $1,982 | $0.96 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 160 Cordova Xing Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,990 | $1.19 | 10d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1035 Timber Elm Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2650 | $4,500 | $1.70 | 144d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2712 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $1,755 | $0.76 | 155d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2712 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $1,821 | $0.79 | 151d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2721 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $1,596 | $0.84 | 69d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2721 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $1,530 | $0.80 | 55d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 227 Cordova Xing Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $2,100 | $0.91 | 10d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2704 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1910 | $1,516 | $0.79 | 124d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2720 Coral Vly Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $1,985 | $1.04 | 10d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2720 Coral Vly Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $2,195 | $1.15 | 129d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2700 Coral Vly Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2229 | $2,200 | $0.99 | 115d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2717 San Martin Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $2,050 | $1.07 | 184d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 345 Cordova Xing Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $1,945 | $0.84 | 162d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAHOA fee $600 annuallyAssociation transfer fee $395Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, park/playgroundSubdivision: Lily Springs
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Water supplied by Spring HillSewer supplied by Spring HillElectric service by GVECGarbage service by City of Seguin
- Home design
- New construction by PulteStone and siding exteriorFront of home faces east
- Construction
- Slab foundationComposition roof
- Exterior features
- Covered patioPrivacy fenceDouble-pane windowsStreet paved with curbs, sidewalks and streetlights
Interior
- Kitchen
- Stove/RangeDishwasherGarbage disposalIce maker connection
- Bedrooms
- Master bedroom on upper level with walk-in closetBedroom 2 (13 x 10)Bedroom 3 (13 x 11)Bedroom 4 (11 x 10)Master bedroom (19 x 15)
- Flooring
- CarpetingVinyl flooring
- Bathrooms
- Three full bathroomsMaster bath with shower only and single vanity (13 x 8)
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Open floor plan with one living areaEat-in kitchen with island and walk-in pantryGame roomUtility room insideCable TV availableHigh-speed internetSolid countertopsVent fanSmoke alarm
- Laundry & utility
- Washer connectionDryer connectionUtility room (9 x 6) inside
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $276,435 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $276,435 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $276,435 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $276,435 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $276,435 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $276,435 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $276,435 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $276,435 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $276,435 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $276,435 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $276,435 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $276,435 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $276,435 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $276,435 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $276,435 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $276,435 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $276,435 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $276,435 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $276,435 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $276,435 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $276,435 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $276,435 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $276,435 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $276,435 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $276,435 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $276,435 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $276,435 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $276,435 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $276,435 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $276,435 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $276,435 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $276,435 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $276,435 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $276,435 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $276,435 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $276,435 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $276,435 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $276,435 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $276,435 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $276,435 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-28statusdays on market $276,435 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $276,435 Price Change 115 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $276,435 Price Change 113 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $276,435 Price Change 112 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $276,435 Price Change 111 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $276,435 Price Change 110 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $276,435 Price Change 109 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $276,435 Price Change 108 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $276,435 Price Change 107 DOM
-
2026-09-18pricestatusdays on market $276,435 Price Change 106 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,792
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,485
- − Property taxes
- −$4,147
- − Insurance
- −$1,382
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,063
- − Management
- −$2,063
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$8,042
- Taxable loss
- −$7,990
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,918
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,231/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 16 photos
80/100
None rehab
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and appeal ↑
- Resale Upgrading bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms enhance appeal and functionality ↑
- Both Upgrading HVAC system — Improved HVAC system enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 49/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Navarro El
D-
TX #1,006/4,322
Nat'l #14,504/41,679
Middle
Navarro J H
C-
TX #378/1,662
Nat'l #3,736/14,009
High
Navarro H S
D+
TX #447/1,632
Nat'l #5,016/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Navarro ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832160
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,008
- Composite
- 43.49/100
- National rank
- #2996
- State rank
- #166 of 826 in TX
C
Composite livability gradescore 66/100
Livability — Seguin
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #592
- US rank
- #11298
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living A+
Crime C+
Employment D
Housing A+
Health & safety F
User ratings A
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seguin, TX
- County
- Guadalupe County · 196,854 people
- City population
- 55,600
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,600
- Household income
- $71,039
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Guadalupe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 196,854 people
- By 2030
- 220,210 · +11.9%
- By 2040
- 268,004 · +36.1%
- By 2050
- 316,333 · +60.7%
- By 2075
- 434,747 · +120.8%
- By 2100
- 520,447 · +164.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 43% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Guadalupe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.5pp toward D · 2008: -31.0pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+24.2 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+31.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.43%
- Current HPI
- 160.5435
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-6.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $276,535 LERA
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $276,535 Zillow
- 2026-05-22 Listed $294,535 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…