6793 Prospect Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom brick ranch, with a good layout, neutral decor and situated on a larger yard. Clean home with a little tlc and with your own personal touch, will be a great destination. Carport provides convenient parking.
Key facts
- Larger yard
- Carport
- Brick ranch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: One covered carport; One garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced yard; Yard shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.2% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Center Line Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #459 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.39%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $119,548
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7535 Meadow Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 935 (-5%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $134 | 77 |
| 7003 Rivard Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 955 (-3%) | 4mo | $102,000 | $107 | 76 |
| 7244 Fisher Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+3%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $153 | 73 |
| 7027 Chalmers Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-9%) | 3mo | $79,000 | $88 | 70 |
| 20136 Helen St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+1%) | 2mo | $32,000 | $32 | 65 |
| 8441 Fisher Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 992 (+0%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 7259 Packard Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,089 (+10%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $147 | 62 |
| 8434 Orchard Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+2%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 7004 Dodge Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,033 (+5%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $121 | 57 |
| 7035 Dodge Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+7%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $80 | 56 |
| 8285 Packard Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (-4%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $106 | 56 |
| 8249 Packard Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 871 (-12%) | 1mo | $68,000 | $78 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,568
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $29,375
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48091
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,367 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,597/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $352
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $412 | -5% $382 | +0% $352 | +5% $323 | +10% $293 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $244 | -5% $298 | +0% $352 | +5% $406 | +10% $460 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $405 | -0.5pp $379 | base $352 | +0.5pp $325 | +1.0pp $298 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 12d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,274 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,199 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 8065 Meadow Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 8162 Orchard Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,150 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,198 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8251 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,549 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 21410 Panama St Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6847 Continental Ave Warren, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8640 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,423 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8632 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,300 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 22622 Panama Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 920 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 11d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 11076 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,395 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8509 Paige Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8212 Timken Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,320 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8125 Timken Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,270 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8693 Paige Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8428 Timken Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,250 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8636 Republic Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 19415 Gable St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,373 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8716 Timken Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 11359 Maxwell Ave Unit 11359 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 22580 Masch Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11076 Essex Ave Warren, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 11331 Continental Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19$105,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom brick ranch, with a good layout, neutral decor and situated on a larger yard. Clean home with a little tlc and with your own personal touch, will be a great destination. Carport provides convenient parking.
-
2026-06-18$105,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom brick ranch, with a good layout, neutral decor and situated on a larger yard. Clean home with a little tlc and with your own personal touch, will be a great destination. Carport provides convenient parking.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,597 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,607 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$10/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,404
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,597
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,312
- − Management
- −$1,312
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $2,721
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$653
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,577/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Center Line Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2608580
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,011
- Composite
- 17.95/100
- National rank
- #8992
- State rank
- #459 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,696
- Household income
- $54,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.66%
- Current HPI
- 177.9273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-18 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,597 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…