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5499 S Glendale Ave
B- Composite 68.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

5499 S Glendale Ave · Central Heights-Midland City, AZ 85501
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,466 sqft · Other public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1950 4,998 sqft lot $75/sqft · 51% below area Est $157k · 30% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity in Globe! Ideal for investors or buyers looking to add value, this property offers solid bones, a desirable location, and strong upside potential.

Key facts

  • 4,998 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 open parking space
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership; Asphalt road access
  • Construction: Construction materials: Other; Roof: Other
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard (other type); Grass in front and back

Interior

  • Kitchen: Non-laminate countertops; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Up to 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Has heating (type: Other)
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Interior laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Miami Unified District (4211) (rural): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #221 of 249 in AZ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Dr. Charles A. Bejarano Elementary School (238 students, 66% FRL); Miami Junior Senior High School (math 7% / reading 8%, grade F, #358 of 381 statewide, top 94%, 495 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Gila County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gila County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
10.04%
Cash-on-cash
13.38%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,795
List price
$110,000
Delta
-29.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$4,010
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$31,490
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85501

Home prices YoY
-12.1%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,271 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $452/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$343

Break-even live

Break-even rent $836
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  17. 2026-05-18
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 164-char remark
  18. 2026-05-07
    price $110,000 164-char remark
  19. 2026-04-24
    listed $125,000 Active 164-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$452 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$726 · $60/mo
Expected delta
+$274/yr (+$23/mo · 60.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,248
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$452
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,220
− Management
−$1,220
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$587
After-tax cash flow
$3,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami Unified District (4211)
NCES district ID
0405030
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$33,063
Composite
10.86/100
National rank
#9760
State rank
#221 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Central Heights-Midland City

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Central Heights-Midland City, AZ
Population (ZIP)
12,353

Population outlook (Gila County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,229 people
By 2030
48,202 · -4.0%
By 2040
44,101 · -12.2%
By 2050
41,041 · -18.3%
By 2075
37,536 · -25.3%
By 2100
32,485 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gila

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.8% · R 68.4%
2008→2024 swing
-9.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.4 2008: R+27.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.96%
Current HPI
296.458
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $110,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $125,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2017): $452 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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