5499 S Glendale Ave · Central Heights-Midland City, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in Globe! Ideal for investors or buyers looking to add value, this property offers solid bones, a desirable location, and strong upside potential.
Key facts
- 4,998 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: 1 open parking space
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership; Asphalt road access
- Construction: Construction materials: Other; Roof: Other
- Exterior features: Fenced yard (other type); Grass in front and back
Interior
- Kitchen: Non-laminate countertops; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Up to 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Has heating (type: Other)
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Interior laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Miami Unified District (4211) (rural): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #221 of 249 in AZ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Dr. Charles A. Bejarano Elementary School (238 students, 66% FRL); Miami Junior Senior High School (math 7% / reading 8%, grade F, #358 of 381 statewide, top 94%, 495 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Gila County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gila County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.38%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,795
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -29.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,010
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $31,490
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85501
- Home prices YoY
- -12.1%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,271 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $452/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $343
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 164-char remark
-
2026-05-07price $110,000 164-char remark
-
2026-04-24$125,000 Active 164-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $452 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $726 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$274/yr (+$23/mo · 60.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,248
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$452
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,220
- − Management
- −$1,220
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,445
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$587
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,535/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami Unified District (4211)
- NCES district ID
- 0405030
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,063
- Composite
- 10.86/100
- National rank
- #9760
- State rank
- #221 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Central Heights-Midland City
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Central Heights-Midland City, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,353
Population outlook (Gila County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,229 people
- By 2030
- 48,202 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 44,101 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 41,041 · -18.3%
- By 2075
- 37,536 · -25.3%
- By 2100
- 32,485 · -35.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gila
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.8% · R 68.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.4 2008: R+27.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.96%
- Current HPI
- 296.458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-12.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $110,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $125,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2017): $452 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…