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194 Old Forge Rd
B+ Composite 78.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$370,000

194 Old Forge Rd · Riverton, CT 06065
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,782 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1985 3.50 ac lot Est $510k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

COME AND ENJOY NATURES SETTING AT ITS BEST IN THIS LOG CABIN CAPE STYLE HOME NESTLED I THE LOVELY WOODS IN HARTLAND. ENJOY THE VIEW AND THE OUTDOORS FROM YOU OPEN FRONT PORCH. COME AND GET COMFORTABLE IN YOUR LIVING ROOM WITH A CATHEDRAL AND AN OPEN BALCONY FROM THE MASTER BEDROOM. THE LOWER LEVEL WALK OUT HAS AN AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FUN 2 BEDROOMS AND A POTENTIAL OFFICE AREA TOPS OFF THE FIRST FLOOR. ALL THE PEACE AND QUIETNESS OF HARTLAND IS JUST WAITING FOR YOU TO COME AND ENJOY!

Key facts

  • Dramatic living room
  • Private treed acres
  • Flexible floor plan

Tags

PRIVATE TREED ACRESDRAMATIC LIVING ROOMCATHEDRAL CEILINGSOPEN BALCONYFLEXIBLE FLOOR PLANFULL WALK-OUT BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Under-house garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Log exterior siding; Frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Secluded, treed setting; Level and sloping lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heat; Oil-fired heat
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Full, partially finished basement with walk-out
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $370k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hartland School District (rural): math 55% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #69 of 192 in CT (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $104k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $240k; list at $370k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $370,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
12.01%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$509,652
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
186 Mill St 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,896 (+6%) 2mo $502,500 $265 67
236 Old Forge Rd 0.21mi 3/2.5 2,044 (+15%) 11mo $584,900 $286 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$116,338
Equity at exit
$172,438
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$314,763
Equity at exit
$270,567

Cash invested: $103,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06065

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,940
Tax from tax record
$424 /mo · $5,088/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$945
Net cashflow
$1,037

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,188
Max offer price $370,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,246 -5% $1,141 +0% $1,037 +5% $932 +10% $827
Rent -10% $681 -5% $859 +0% $1,037 +5% $1,214 +10% $1,392
Rate -1.0pp $1,223 -0.5pp $1,131 base $1,037 +0.5pp $941 +1.0pp $843

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,500
Closing costs
$11,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
54 Center St West Hartland, CT 3.0 2.0 1500 $4,500 $3.00 21d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-26
    listed $370,000 Active
  3. 2016-12-05
    soldstatus $239,900
  4. 2016-11-30
    soldstatus $239,900 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    COME AND ENJOY NATURES SETTING AT ITS BEST IN THIS LOG CABIN CAPE STYLE HOME NESTLED I THE LOVELY WOODS IN HARTLAND. ENJOY THE VIEW AND THE OUTDOORS FROM YOU OPEN FRONT PORCH. COME AND GET COMFORTABLE IN YOUR LIVING ROOM WITH A CATHEDRAL AND AN OPEN BALCONY FROM THE MASTER BEDROOM. THE LOWER LEVEL WALK OUT HAS AN AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FUN 2 BEDROOMS AND A POTENTIAL OFFICE AREA TOPS OFF THE FIRST FLOOR. ALL THE PEACE AND QUIETNESS OF HARTLAND IS JUST WAITING FOR YOU TO COME AND ENJOY!

  5. 2016-09-30
    historical 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    COME AND ENJOY NATURES SETTING AT ITS BEST IN THIS LOG CABIN CAPE STYLE HOME NESTLED I THE LOVELY WOODS IN HARTLAND. ENJOY THE VIEW AND THE OUTDOORS FROM YOU OPEN FRONT PORCH. COME AND GET COMFORTABLE IN YOUR LIVING ROOM WITH A CATHEDRAL AND AN OPEN BALCONY FROM THE MASTER BEDROOM. THE LOWER LEVEL WALK OUT HAS AN AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FUN 2 BEDROOMS AND A POTENTIAL OFFICE AREA TOPS OFF THE FIRST FLOOR. ALL THE PEACE AND QUIETNESS OF HARTLAND IS JUST WAITING FOR YOU TO COME AND ENJOY!

  6. 2016-07-01
    listed $249,900 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    COME AND ENJOY NATURES SETTING AT ITS BEST IN THIS LOG CABIN CAPE STYLE HOME NESTLED I THE LOVELY WOODS IN HARTLAND. ENJOY THE VIEW AND THE OUTDOORS FROM YOU OPEN FRONT PORCH. COME AND GET COMFORTABLE IN YOUR LIVING ROOM WITH A CATHEDRAL AND AN OPEN BALCONY FROM THE MASTER BEDROOM. THE LOWER LEVEL WALK OUT HAS AN AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FUN 2 BEDROOMS AND A POTENTIAL OFFICE AREA TOPS OFF THE FIRST FLOOR. ALL THE PEACE AND QUIETNESS OF HARTLAND IS JUST WAITING FOR YOU TO COME AND ENJOY!

  7. 2016-06-30
    historical
  8. 2015-11-17
    listed $254,900
  9. 2006-10-31
    soldstatus $270,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,088 · $424/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,503 · $542/mo
Expected delta
+$1,415/yr (+$118/mo · 27.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$54,000
− Mortgage interest
−$20,726
− Property taxes
−$5,088
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,320
− Management
−$4,320
− Depreciation
−$10,764
Taxable income
$6,933
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,664
After-tax cash flow
$10,774/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartland School District
NCES district ID
0901950
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$88,705
Composite
60.28/100
National rank
#1738
State rank
#69 of 192 in CT

Livability — Riverton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
671

Population outlook (Northwest Hills County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
118,998

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Albanian 17% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northwest Hills

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 49.9% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.29%
Current HPI
243.1329
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $370,000 Smart MLS
  • 2016-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $239,900 Public Records
  • 2016-11-30 Sold (MLS) $239,900 Smart MLS
  • 2016-09-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2016-07-01 Listed $249,900 Smart MLS
  • 2016-06-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2015-11-17 Listed $254,900 Smart MLS
  • 2006-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,088 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…