194 Old Forge Rd · Riverton, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$370,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COME AND ENJOY NATURES SETTING AT ITS BEST IN THIS LOG CABIN CAPE STYLE HOME NESTLED I THE LOVELY WOODS IN HARTLAND. ENJOY THE VIEW AND THE OUTDOORS FROM YOU OPEN FRONT PORCH. COME AND GET COMFORTABLE IN YOUR LIVING ROOM WITH A CATHEDRAL AND AN OPEN BALCONY FROM THE MASTER BEDROOM. THE LOWER LEVEL WALK OUT HAS AN AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FUN 2 BEDROOMS AND A POTENTIAL OFFICE AREA TOPS OFF THE FIRST FLOOR. ALL THE PEACE AND QUIETNESS OF HARTLAND IS JUST WAITING FOR YOU TO COME AND ENJOY!
Key facts
- Dramatic living room
- Private treed acres
- Flexible floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Under-house garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Log exterior siding; Frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Secluded, treed setting; Level and sloping lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heat; Oil-fired heat
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Full, partially finished basement with walk-out
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $370k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hartland School District (rural): math 55% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #69 of 192 in CT (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $104k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $240k; list at $370k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.01%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $509,652
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186 Mill St | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,896 (+6%) | 2mo | $502,500 | $265 | 67 |
| 236 Old Forge Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 2,044 (+15%) | 11mo | $584,900 | $286 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $116,338
- Equity at exit
- $172,438
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $314,763
- Equity at exit
- $270,567
Cash invested: $103,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06065
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,940
- Tax from tax record
- −$424 /mo · $5,088/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$945
- Net cashflow
- $1,037
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,246 | -5% $1,141 | +0% $1,037 | +5% $932 | +10% $827 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $681 | -5% $859 | +0% $1,037 | +5% $1,214 | +10% $1,392 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,223 | -0.5pp $1,131 | base $1,037 | +0.5pp $941 | +1.0pp $843 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,500
- Closing costs
- $11,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Center St West Hartland, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,500 | $3.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 9 events
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2026-05-10status Under Contract
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2026-04-26$370,000 Active
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2016-12-05soldstatus $239,900
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2016-11-30soldstatus $239,900 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
COME AND ENJOY NATURES SETTING AT ITS BEST IN THIS LOG CABIN CAPE STYLE HOME NESTLED I THE LOVELY WOODS IN HARTLAND. ENJOY THE VIEW AND THE OUTDOORS FROM YOU OPEN FRONT PORCH. COME AND GET COMFORTABLE IN YOUR LIVING ROOM WITH A CATHEDRAL AND AN OPEN BALCONY FROM THE MASTER BEDROOM. THE LOWER LEVEL WALK OUT HAS AN AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FUN 2 BEDROOMS AND A POTENTIAL OFFICE AREA TOPS OFF THE FIRST FLOOR. ALL THE PEACE AND QUIETNESS OF HARTLAND IS JUST WAITING FOR YOU TO COME AND ENJOY!
-
2016-09-30historical 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
COME AND ENJOY NATURES SETTING AT ITS BEST IN THIS LOG CABIN CAPE STYLE HOME NESTLED I THE LOVELY WOODS IN HARTLAND. ENJOY THE VIEW AND THE OUTDOORS FROM YOU OPEN FRONT PORCH. COME AND GET COMFORTABLE IN YOUR LIVING ROOM WITH A CATHEDRAL AND AN OPEN BALCONY FROM THE MASTER BEDROOM. THE LOWER LEVEL WALK OUT HAS AN AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FUN 2 BEDROOMS AND A POTENTIAL OFFICE AREA TOPS OFF THE FIRST FLOOR. ALL THE PEACE AND QUIETNESS OF HARTLAND IS JUST WAITING FOR YOU TO COME AND ENJOY!
-
2016-07-01$249,900 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
COME AND ENJOY NATURES SETTING AT ITS BEST IN THIS LOG CABIN CAPE STYLE HOME NESTLED I THE LOVELY WOODS IN HARTLAND. ENJOY THE VIEW AND THE OUTDOORS FROM YOU OPEN FRONT PORCH. COME AND GET COMFORTABLE IN YOUR LIVING ROOM WITH A CATHEDRAL AND AN OPEN BALCONY FROM THE MASTER BEDROOM. THE LOWER LEVEL WALK OUT HAS AN AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FUN 2 BEDROOMS AND A POTENTIAL OFFICE AREA TOPS OFF THE FIRST FLOOR. ALL THE PEACE AND QUIETNESS OF HARTLAND IS JUST WAITING FOR YOU TO COME AND ENJOY!
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2016-06-30historical
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2015-11-17$254,900
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2006-10-31soldstatus $270,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,088 · $424/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,503 · $542/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,415/yr (+$118/mo · 27.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,726
- − Property taxes
- −$5,088
- − Insurance
- −$1,850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,320
- − Management
- −$4,320
- − Depreciation
- −$10,764
- Taxable income
- $6,933
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,664
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,774/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hartland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901950
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,705
- Composite
- 60.28/100
- National rank
- #1738
- State rank
- #69 of 192 in CT
Livability — Riverton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 671
Population outlook (Northwest Hills County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 118,998
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Albanian 17% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northwest Hills
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 49.9% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- Current HPI
- 243.1329
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+37.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-26 Listed $370,000 Smart MLS
- 2016-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $239,900 Public Records
- 2016-11-30 Sold (MLS) $239,900 Smart MLS
- 2016-09-30 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2016-07-01 Listed $249,900 Smart MLS
- 2016-06-30 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2015-11-17 Listed $254,900 Smart MLS
- 2006-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,088 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…