5817 N Teutonia Ave · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own a solid three bedroom ranch with recent updates. The property is currently tenant occupied on a MTM lease at $1,320/month plus all utilities. Significant improvements per owner include a new roof in 2022, plus a new furnace, LVP flooring, and six windows all installed in 2024. This home features a two car garage off the alley along with additional off street parking spots.
Key facts
- New furnace
- Off street parking
- Lvp flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $130k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.08%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,477
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -9.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5751 N 38th St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,042 (-2%) | 1mo | $146,400 | $140 | 71 |
| 5866 N 39th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,052 (-1%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $81 | 70 |
| 5880 N 29th St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,144 (+8%) | 4mo | $202,500 | $177 | 69 |
| 5565 N 32nd St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 966 (-9%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $104 | 68 |
| 3207 W Oriole Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,194 (+12%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $150 | 67 |
| 5778 N 32nd St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 926 (-13%) | 5mo | $106,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 5730 N 35th St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 1,216 (+14%) | 4mo | $162,000 | $133 | 62 |
| 5634 N 37th St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,156 (+9%) | 6mo | $159,000 | $138 | 57 |
| 5281 N Teutonia Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,012 (-5%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 4215 W Florist Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 977 (-8%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $143 | 46 |
| 5931 N 42nd St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,183 (+11%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $186 | 42 |
| 5525 N Long Island Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 963 (-10%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $145 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,522
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $58,530
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53209
- Rents YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,499 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,444/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $282 | +0% $245 | +5% $208 | +10% $171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $127 | -5% $186 | +0% $245 | +5% $304 | +10% $363 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $310 | -0.5pp $278 | base $245 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5884 N 35th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5541 N 35th St #5543 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,195 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 6110 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,395 | $1.98 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3931 W Kaul Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,695 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6148 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,175 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5435 N 40th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5237 N 34th St Unit 5237 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5032 N 32nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,750 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6600 N Sidney Pl Glendale, WI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,587 | $1.98 | 3d | 13 | 1.05mi |
| 1633 W Bender Rd Apt 11C Glendale, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,725 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5165-5167 N 45th St Unit 5165 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1616 W Bender Rd Unit 113 Glendale, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $2,295 | $1.81 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1616 W Bender Rd #213 Glendale, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,795 | $1.86 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1616 W Bender Rd Apt 220 Glendale, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $2,250 | $1.78 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1616 W Bender Rd Glendale, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $1,775 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1616 W Bender Rd Glendale, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 764 | $1,775 | $2.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1616 W Bender Rd Glendale, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4610 W Eggert Pl #4612 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5050 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4651 N 36th St #4 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $945 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-01$129,900 Active 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Great opportunity to own a solid three bedroom ranch with recent updates. The property is currently tenant occupied on a MTM lease at $1,320/month plus all utilities. Significant improvements per owner include a new roof in 2022, plus a new furnace, LVP flooring, and six windows all installed in 2024. This home features a two car garage off the alley along with additional off street parking spots.
-
2024-09-09historical $1,295
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2024-09-05price $1,295
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2024-07-16$1,350
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2024-04-05historical $1,250
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2024-04-02$1,250
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2017-11-17soldstatus $52,500
-
2017-11-01soldstatus $52,500 Sold 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Newly Renovated. Updates include New Floors, Roof, and newer Windows. Also Rented and Cash Flowing Rented for $1,000 per month! Perfect long term rental with HIGH ROI
-
2017-10-20historical Contingent 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Newly Renovated. Updates include New Floors, Roof, and newer Windows. Also Rented and Cash Flowing Rented for $1,000 per month! Perfect long term rental with HIGH ROI
-
2017-09-05status Active 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Newly Renovated. Updates include New Floors, Roof, and newer Windows. Also Rented and Cash Flowing Rented for $1,000 per month! Perfect long term rental with HIGH ROI
-
2017-08-19historical Contingent 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Newly Renovated. Updates include New Floors, Roof, and newer Windows. Also Rented and Cash Flowing Rented for $1,000 per month! Perfect long term rental with HIGH ROI
-
2017-08-19$59,900 Active 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Newly Renovated. Updates include New Floors, Roof, and newer Windows. Also Rented and Cash Flowing Rented for $1,000 per month! Perfect long term rental with HIGH ROI
-
2017-08-19historical
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Newly Renovated. Updates include New Floors, Roof, and newer Windows. Also Rented and Cash Flowing Rented for $1,000 per month! Perfect long term rental with HIGH ROI
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2017-06-16$57,900 Active
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2017-05-12soldstatus $17,000 Sold
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2017-03-30historical Contingent
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2017-03-10$15,000 Active
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2014-03-05$22,500
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2014-03-05historical
-
2008-07-14soldstatus $42,000
-
1983-09-01soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,444 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,444 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,444
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,439
- − Management
- −$1,439
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $958
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$230
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,710/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,170
- Household income
- $48,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3390.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.98%
- Current HPI
- 172.4275
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.61%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+209.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $129,900 METROMLS
- 2024-09-09 Rental Removed $1,295 BUILDIUM
- 2024-09-05 Price Changed $1,295 BUILDIUM
- 2024-07-16 Listed for Rent $1,350 BUILDIUM
- 2024-04-05 Rental Removed $1,250 BUILDIUM
- 2024-04-02 Listed for Rent $1,250 BUILDIUM
- 2017-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
- 2017-11-01 Sold (MLS) $52,500 METROMLS
- 2017-10-20 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2017-09-05 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2017-08-19 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2017-08-19 Listed $59,900 METROMLS
- 2017-08-19 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2017-06-16 Listed $57,900 METROMLS
- 2017-05-12 Sold (MLS) $17,000 METROMLS
- 2017-03-30 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2017-03-10 Listed $15,000 METROMLS
- 2014-03-05 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2014-03-05 Listed $22,500 METROMLS
- 2008-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $2,444 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…