5268 Old Airport Rd · Pardeesville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom semi-detached (half-double) home offers convenient first-floor master living, an open-concept kitchen/dining area, and the added privacy of a corner lot. Featuring electric heat, this property combines low-maintenance living with a practical layout, making it an ideal choice for buyers seeking accessibility and functional design.
Key facts
- Practical layout
- Open-concept kitchen
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,411 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $155k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.67%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,579
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 Crista Lane Ln | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-4%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $99 | 74 |
| 12 Saint Theresa Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-2%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $208 | 55 |
| 4141 Hollywood Blvd | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-4%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $123 | 48 |
| 4153 Hollywood Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+4%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $98 | 47 |
| 4106 Hollywood Blvd | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-10%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $219 | 39 |
| 2110 Wedgewood Rd | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,446 (+14%) | 5mo | $254,900 | $176 | 36 |
| 4151 Hollywood Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,137 (-11%) | 15mo | $110,000 | $97 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.67×
- Total profit
- $115,776
- Equity at exit
- $139,546
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.29×
- Total profit
- $316,059
- Equity at exit
- $300,937
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18202
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,792 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $532/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4288 Hollywood Blvd Hazle Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1015 Lincoln St Hazleton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,499 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-23$154,900 Active
-
2024-11-05soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $532 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,490 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$958/yr (+$80/mo · 179.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$532
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,720
- − Management
- −$1,720
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable income
- $3,571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$857
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,074/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazleton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,247
- Composite
- 20.44/100
- National rank
- #8582
- State rank
- #476 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pardeesville
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1411
- US rank
- #17860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,755
- Household income
- $55,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 369.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 9% Black 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.19%
- Current HPI
- 306.1029
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+54.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $154,900 LCAR
- 2024-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $532 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…