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115 Liberty St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 84.0
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.5/5.0

$69,000

115 Liberty St · Williamsburg, PA 16693
None bd · 4.0 ba · 2,660 sqft · MultiFamily · 60 Days on market
Built 1900 Poor condition 2,613 sqft lot $26/sqft · 40% below area Est $114k · 40% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This side-by-side duplex features two units, each with a living room, dining room, and kitchen on the main floor. The second floors contain two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus room. Both units need TLC. Currently one side is rented a on month to month lease. Schedule a tour.

Key facts

  • 2,613 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 60 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $69,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$114,234) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $69k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $858 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $429/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#561 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Williamsburg Community SD (rural): math 35% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #260 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
  • Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.23%
Cap rate
28.62%
Cash-on-cash
79.76%
DSCR
4.55
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,234
List price
$69,000
Delta
-39.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
918/920 Yellow Springs Dr 0.33mi —/2.0 2,378 (-11%) 11mo $145,000 $61 50
1215-1217 Yellow Springs Dr 0.56mi —/3.0 2,560 (-4%) 18mo $300,000 $117 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.6%
Equity multiple
4.64×
Total profit
$70,269
Equity at exit
$38,520
10-year hold
IRR
58.6%
Equity multiple
9.59×
Total profit
$166,045
Equity at exit
$66,005

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16693

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,229 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$468
Net cashflow
$858

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,144
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 57%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,229

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $69,000 Pending 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 59 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-04-22
    price $69,000 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    This side-by-side duplex features two units, each with a living room, dining room, and kitchen on the main floor. The second floors contain two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus room. Both units need TLC. Currently one side is rented a on month to month lease. Schedule a tour.

  10. 2026-04-10
    listed $79,900 Active 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    This side-by-side duplex features two units, each with a living room, dining room, and kitchen on the main floor. The second floors contain two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a bonus room. Both units need TLC. Currently one side is rented a on month to month lease. Schedule a tour.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,748
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$5,464
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,140
− Management
−$2,140
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$10,097
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,423
After-tax cash flow
$7,867/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Poor 30/100 Extensive rehab

This two-unit duplex requires extensive repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
  • Major Flooring — Worn and outdated
  • Major Interior walls/paint — Outdated and in need of freshening
  • Major Windows — Old and may need replacement
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos, but likely outdated

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both New flooring — Enhances interior space and value
  • Both Fresh paint — Refreshes interior and exterior, improving value
  • Both New windows — Enhances energy efficiency and value
  • Both HVAC upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, increasing value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Weathered and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Worn and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls/paint · Outdated and in need of freshening Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · Old and may need replacement Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No photos, but likely outdated Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both New flooring — Enhances interior space and value
  • Both Fresh paint — Refreshes interior and exterior, improving value
  • Both New windows — Enhances energy efficiency and value
  • Both HVAC upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, increasing value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsburg Community SD
NCES district ID
4226430
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,977
Composite
39.22/100
National rank
#4014
State rank
#260 of 539 in PA

Livability — Williamsburg

Score
73/100
State rank
#561
US rank
#5279

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,015

Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,571 people
By 2030
117,966 · -3.0%
By 2040
109,174 · -10.2%
By 2050
99,542 · -18.1%
By 2075
76,775 · -36.8%
By 2100
54,326 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Blair

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.86%
Current HPI
133.0129
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $69,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $79,900 AHARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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