36941 Beth Ave · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Own your own land in this 55+ community just 30 minutes to Tampa. 2 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home with family room and tiled Florida room for much more living area than you would think. All windows have been replaced in the home. Much desired community of Betmar has many activities that will keep you busy without leaving Betmar some of which are included in the yearly fees at no added fees and others you can choose with a nominal additional fee.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1987
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total acreage: 0 to less than 1/4 acre; Number of lots: 1
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (association: tina Perras) with required approval; Monthly HOA approx. $37.33 (annual $448); Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (Single wide); Attached property; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace with pillar/post/pier foundation; Completed condition; Total building area ~1182 sq ft (public records)
- Exterior features: Storage; Landscaped yard; Private lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Storage rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups (None listed)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $100k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.53%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,144
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5307 Flint St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 774 (-3%) | 3mo | $134,000 | $173 | 80 |
| 37235 Eileen Ave | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 784 (-2%) | 6mo | $128,000 | $163 | 78 |
| 36905 Kay Ave | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (+8%) | 4mo | $148,500 | $172 | 77 |
| 37042 Lois Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 748 (-6%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $127 | 71 |
| 37031 Karen Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 | 720 (-10%) | 1mo | $92,000 | $128 | 68 |
| 37111 Sandra Ave | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 868 (+9%) | 8mo | $33,000 | $38 | 68 |
| 5722 Pawnne St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 869 (+9%) | 4mo | $48,500 | $56 | 66 |
| 5433 Joyce St | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 888 (+11%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $96 | 63 |
| 37240 Beverly Ave | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 898 (+12%) | 2mo | $130,500 | $145 | 63 |
| 36413 Teakwood Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 812 (+2%) | 4mo | $159,000 | $196 | 61 |
| 37137 Lois Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 | 684 (-14%) | 4mo | $66,000 | $96 | 57 |
| 37302 Carol Ave | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 684 (-14%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $80 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-3,874
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,550
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33542
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,511 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$206 /mo · $2,470/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$37
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5168 Crooked Ln Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,645 | $2.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 36801 Camelia Ct Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,350 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5521 Barbara St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 36321 Stonewood Ln #103 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,525 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5914 Willow Ridge Dr #101 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 37812 15th Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 37902 7th Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,775 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 855 | $1,732 | $2.02 | 2d | 142 | 0.95mi |
| 5611 1st St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5237 1st St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,700 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 35940 Inspiration Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,694 | $1.64 | 2d | 21 | 1.09mi |
| 4812 Coral St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,200 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4833 Royal Palm Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,090 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 38010 14th Ave Apt 3 Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 537 | $1,195 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 36009 Deer Creek Dr #104 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 36015 Deer Creek Dr #202 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,450 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4639 Coral St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 37732 Cecil Ln Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,800 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 37819 Alissa Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5441 6th St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 37925 Date Palm Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,300 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5150 6th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $925 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4940 4th St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5022 5th St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 974 | $1,595 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $37 · $444/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $99,900
-
2026-04-07$113,000 Active
-
2015-10-27soldstatus $58,000
-
2015-10-23soldstatus $58,000 Sold 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Own your own land in this 55+ community just 30 minutes to Tampa. 2 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home with family room and tiled Florida room for much more living area than you would think. All windows have been replaced in the home. Much desired community of Betmar has many activities that will keep you busy without leaving Betmar some of which are included in the yearly fees at no added fees and others you can choose with a nominal additional fee.
-
2015-08-29status Pending 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Own your own land in this 55+ community just 30 minutes to Tampa. 2 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home with family room and tiled Florida room for much more living area than you would think. All windows have been replaced in the home. Much desired community of Betmar has many activities that will keep you busy without leaving Betmar some of which are included in the yearly fees at no added fees and others you can choose with a nominal additional fee.
-
2015-05-14price $64,000 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Own your own land in this 55+ community just 30 minutes to Tampa. 2 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home with family room and tiled Florida room for much more living area than you would think. All windows have been replaced in the home. Much desired community of Betmar has many activities that will keep you busy without leaving Betmar some of which are included in the yearly fees at no added fees and others you can choose with a nominal additional fee.
-
2015-03-25$66,900 Active 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Own your own land in this 55+ community just 30 minutes to Tampa. 2 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home with family room and tiled Florida room for much more living area than you would think. All windows have been replaced in the home. Much desired community of Betmar has many activities that will keep you busy without leaving Betmar some of which are included in the yearly fees at no added fees and others you can choose with a nominal additional fee.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$2,470
- − Insurance
- −$2,002
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,451
- − Management
- −$1,451
- − HOA
- −$444
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,813
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$435
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zephyrhills West, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,612
- Household income
- $49,316
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 831.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.25%
- Current HPI
- 313.3993
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.56%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+49.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Listed $113,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-23 Sold (MLS) $58,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-14 Price Changed $64,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-25 Listed $66,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,470 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…