8 Wagon Wheel Dr · Sicklerville, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 8 Wagon Wheel Drive in the desirable Wilton's Corner neighborhood of Sicklerville. This 3-bedroom home offers flexible living space, including a mostly finished walkout basement with approximately 650 square feet and a potential 4th bedroom, along with a full bathroom—ideal for guests, a home office, or extended living arrangements. The main level features luxury vinyl plank flooring and a functional kitchen equipped with a refrigerator, gas cooking, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. Upstairs, the primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet along with two additional closets, providing ample storage. The hall bathroom has been modestly updated. The fully fenced yard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or entertaining. The home could benefit from some freshening up, presenting a great opportunity for buyers to add their own personal touches and build equity. With its versatile layout, additional finished basement space, and strong potential, this home presents a great opportunity in a well-established community.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Walkout basement
- Versatile layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $285k).
- Recommended offer: $276k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $154k; list at $285k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.92%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $311,869
- List price
- $285,000
- Delta
- -8.62%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144 Ciseley Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (+5%) | 9mo | $410,000 | $285 | 67 |
| 15 Crawford Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,512 (+10%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $255 | 61 |
| 10 Morris Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (+2%) | 11mo | $410,000 | $295 | 54 |
| 36 Morris Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+6%) | 3mo | $290,000 | $200 | 53 |
| 16 Wildcat Branch Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,551 (+13%) | 9mo | $390,000 | $251 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-32,378
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-6,349
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08081
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 329
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,020 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$470 /mo · $5,641/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$108
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$634
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 Arbor Meadow Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1666 | $3,000 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 120 Sickler Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $3,200 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 106 Sickler Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $2,900 | $1.84 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $108 · $1,296/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-03historical Active Under Contract 1048-char remark
Show marketing remark (1048 chars)
Welcome to 8 Wagon Wheel Drive in the desirable Wilton's Corner neighborhood of Sicklerville. This 3-bedroom home offers flexible living space, including a mostly finished walkout basement with approximately 650 square feet and a potential 4th bedroom, along with a full bathroom—ideal for guests, a home office, or extended living arrangements. The main level features luxury vinyl plank flooring and a functional kitchen equipped with a refrigerator, gas cooking, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. Upstairs, the primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet along with two additional closets, providing ample storage. The hall bathroom has been modestly updated. The fully fenced yard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or entertaining. The home could benefit from some freshening up, presenting a great opportunity for buyers to add their own personal touches and build equity. With its versatile layout, additional finished basement space, and strong potential, this home presents a great opportunity in a well-established community.
-
2026-04-02$285,000 Active 1048-char remark
Show marketing remark (1048 chars)
Welcome to 8 Wagon Wheel Drive in the desirable Wilton's Corner neighborhood of Sicklerville. This 3-bedroom home offers flexible living space, including a mostly finished walkout basement with approximately 650 square feet and a potential 4th bedroom, along with a full bathroom—ideal for guests, a home office, or extended living arrangements. The main level features luxury vinyl plank flooring and a functional kitchen equipped with a refrigerator, gas cooking, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. Upstairs, the primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet along with two additional closets, providing ample storage. The hall bathroom has been modestly updated. The fully fenced yard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or entertaining. The home could benefit from some freshening up, presenting a great opportunity for buyers to add their own personal touches and build equity. With its versatile layout, additional finished basement space, and strong potential, this home presents a great opportunity in a well-established community.
-
2013-05-11historical
-
2012-05-17$125,000
-
2005-01-14soldstatus $153,827
-
2004-11-26$153,827
-
1999-02-19soldstatus $89,000
-
1999-01-15soldstatus $89,000
-
1998-10-15historical
-
1998-09-20$89,000
-
1992-08-04soldstatus $89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,641 · $470/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,369 · $531/mo
- Expected delta
- +$728/yr (+$61/mo · 12.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$5,641
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,899
- − Management
- −$2,899
- − HOA
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$2,178
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$523
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winslow Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3418060
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,254
- Composite
- 22.65/100
- National rank
- #8057
- State rank
- #387 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Sicklerville
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sicklerville, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 50,264
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,264
- Household income
- $105,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.48%
- Current HPI
- 303.1017
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+217.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-05-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-05-17 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-01-14 Sold (MLS) $153,827 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-11-26 Listed $153,827 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 1999-01-15 Sold (MLS) $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-10-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-09-20 Listed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,641 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…