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8 Wagon Wheel Dr
D+ Composite 49.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

8 Wagon Wheel Dr · Sicklerville, NJ 08081
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,370 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1990 1,999 sqft lot $208/sqft · 27% above area Est $312k · 9% under $108/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 8 Wagon Wheel Drive in the desirable Wilton's Corner neighborhood of Sicklerville. This 3-bedroom home offers flexible living space, including a mostly finished walkout basement with approximately 650 square feet and a potential 4th bedroom, along with a full bathroom—ideal for guests, a home office, or extended living arrangements. The main level features luxury vinyl plank flooring and a functional kitchen equipped with a refrigerator, gas cooking, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. Upstairs, the primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet along with two additional closets, providing ample storage. The hall bathroom has been modestly updated. The fully fenced yard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or entertaining. The home could benefit from some freshening up, presenting a great opportunity for buyers to add their own personal touches and build equity. With its versatile layout, additional finished basement space, and strong potential, this home presents a great opportunity in a well-established community.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Walkout basement
  • Versatile layout

Tags

WALKOUT BASEMENTFUNCTIONAL KITCHENWALK-IN CLOSETFULLY FENCED YARDVERSATILE LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $285k).
  • Recommended offer: $276k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $154k; list at $285k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $276,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.92%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$311,869
List price
$285,000
Delta
-8.62%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
144 Ciseley Dr 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,440 (+5%) 9mo $410,000 $285 67
15 Crawford Dr 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,512 (+10%) 2mo $385,000 $255 61
10 Morris Dr 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,392 (+2%) 11mo $410,000 $295 54
36 Morris Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,452 (+6%) 3mo $290,000 $200 53
16 Wildcat Branch Dr 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,551 (+13%) 9mo $390,000 $251 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-32,378
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-6,349
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08081

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
329
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$470 /mo · $5,641/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$108
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$634
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,774
Max offer price $285,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
68 Arbor Meadow Dr Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1666 $3,000 $1.80 3d 1 1.22mi
120 Sickler Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1580 $3,200 $2.03 43d 1 1.28mi
106 Sickler Ct Sicklerville, NJ 3.0 2.5 1580 $2,900 $1.84 18d 1 1.31mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$108 · $1,296/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    historical Active Under Contract 1048-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1048 chars)

    Welcome to 8 Wagon Wheel Drive in the desirable Wilton's Corner neighborhood of Sicklerville. This 3-bedroom home offers flexible living space, including a mostly finished walkout basement with approximately 650 square feet and a potential 4th bedroom, along with a full bathroom—ideal for guests, a home office, or extended living arrangements. The main level features luxury vinyl plank flooring and a functional kitchen equipped with a refrigerator, gas cooking, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. Upstairs, the primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet along with two additional closets, providing ample storage. The hall bathroom has been modestly updated. The fully fenced yard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or entertaining. The home could benefit from some freshening up, presenting a great opportunity for buyers to add their own personal touches and build equity. With its versatile layout, additional finished basement space, and strong potential, this home presents a great opportunity in a well-established community.

  2. 2026-04-02
    listed $285,000 Active 1048-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1048 chars)

    Welcome to 8 Wagon Wheel Drive in the desirable Wilton's Corner neighborhood of Sicklerville. This 3-bedroom home offers flexible living space, including a mostly finished walkout basement with approximately 650 square feet and a potential 4th bedroom, along with a full bathroom—ideal for guests, a home office, or extended living arrangements. The main level features luxury vinyl plank flooring and a functional kitchen equipped with a refrigerator, gas cooking, dishwasher, and built-in microwave. Upstairs, the primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet along with two additional closets, providing ample storage. The hall bathroom has been modestly updated. The fully fenced yard offers space for outdoor enjoyment, pets, or entertaining. The home could benefit from some freshening up, presenting a great opportunity for buyers to add their own personal touches and build equity. With its versatile layout, additional finished basement space, and strong potential, this home presents a great opportunity in a well-established community.

  3. 2013-05-11
    historical
  4. 2012-05-17
    listed $125,000
  5. 2005-01-14
    soldstatus $153,827
  6. 2004-11-26
    listed $153,827
  7. 1999-02-19
    soldstatus $89,000
  8. 1999-01-15
    soldstatus $89,000
  9. 1998-10-15
    historical
  10. 1998-09-20
    listed $89,000
  11. 1992-08-04
    soldstatus $89,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,641 · $470/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,369 · $531/mo
Expected delta
+$728/yr (+$61/mo · 12.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,237
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$5,641
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,899
− Management
−$2,899
− HOA
−$1,296
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable loss
−$2,178
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$523
After-tax cash flow
$2,854/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Winslow Township School District
NCES district ID
3418060
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$70,254
Composite
22.65/100
National rank
#8057
State rank
#387 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Sicklerville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Sicklerville, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
50,264
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
50,264
Household income
$105,800
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
979.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -176.48%
Current HPI
303.1017
Rent YoY
▲ 3.41%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+217.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-05-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-05-17 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-01-14 Sold (MLS) $153,827 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-11-26 Listed $153,827 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
  • 1999-01-15 Sold (MLS) $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-10-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-09-20 Listed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1992-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,641 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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