206 Garrison Ave · Westphalia, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 150 (11,326 sq ft)
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; 2 stories; 101+ years old
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Composition roof; Partial unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Fixer up condition
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (some on upper level)
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Unfinished partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#580 in KS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Garnett (rural): math 34% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #85 of 169 in KS (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westphalia (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #540 of 684 statewide, top 82%, 52 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Anderson County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $40k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.99%
- DSCR
- 3.71
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.11×
- Total profit
- $45,873
- Equity at exit
- $23,100
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 10.60×
- Total profit
- $107,298
- Equity at exit
- $40,279
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66093
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $568
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $39,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-04$49,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,621
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$1,236
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $6,610
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,586
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,228/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garnett
- NCES district ID
- 2006450
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,150
- Composite
- 27.86/100
- National rank
- #6876
- State rank
- #85 of 169 in KS
Livability — Westphalia
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #580
- US rank
- #23661
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westphalia, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 664
Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,231 people
- By 2030
- 6,890 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 6,171 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 5,446 · -24.7%
- By 2075
- 4,078 · -43.6%
- By 2100
- 2,817 · -61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 27% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Anderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.8) · D 19.3% · R 79.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.7pp · 2024: -59.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.8 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+52.5 2012: R+40.0 2008: R+32.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.20%
- Current HPI
- 355.5684
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+132.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $49,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1988-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1986-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,236 · +31.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…