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3709 Pace St
C Composite 58.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

3709 Pace St · Greenville, TX 75401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1975 7,187 sqft lot $143/sqft · 28% below area Est $203k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great as a starter home or if you are downsizing. This 3 bedroom 1 and a half bath has been remodeled with hardwood flooring throughout and stone in the wet areas for easy clean up. Located on a corner lot, priced below appraised value and loaded with potential. The sounds of nature abound in this mature part of the city where neighbors walk their pets and enjoy the peace and quiet, away from noisy traffic. New builds all around are helping bring value to the area. Don't miss out! Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify all relevant information regarding this listing.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Stone in wet areas
  • Corner lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGSTONE IN WET AREASCORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, commute F.
  • Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 395 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,950 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.54%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$202,530
List price
$145,000
Delta
-28.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1210 Edgar St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,020 (+1%) 19mo $187,000 $183 71
1215 Walnut St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,125 (+11%) 13mo $209,900 $187 64
2105 Speedway St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,002 (-1%) 19mo $89,000 $89 62
1909 Fuller St 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,027 (+1%) 23mo $210,000 $204 50
1401 Wesley St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,090 (+8%) 16mo $209,990 $193 48
3603 Washington St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,136 (+12%) 6mo $100,000 $88 44
4015 Lake St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,035 (+2%) 20mo $109,000 $105 42
4518 Bourland St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 930 (-8%) 12mo $115,000 $124 38
1904 Utilis St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 928 (-8%) 13mo $84,900 $91 36
3605 Eutopia St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,156 (+14%) 20mo $162,500 $141 36
1206 Sabine St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,162 (+15%) 20mo $119,999 $103 35
2308 Morgan St 0.69mi 3/1.0 886 (-13%) 22mo $149,000 $168 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-15,122
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,737
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75401

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
395
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,541 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,514/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,304
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $270 -5% $228 +0% $187 +5% $146 +10% $105
Rent -10% $66 -5% $127 +0% $187 +5% $248 +10% $309
Rate -1.0pp $260 -0.5pp $224 base $187 +0.5pp $150 +1.0pp $112

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3840 McDougal St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1458 $2,000 $1.37 8d 1 0.09mi
3604 Bourland St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,360 $1.32 45d 1 0.24mi
3307 Polk St Unit A Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,550 $1.20 18d 1 0.24mi
3305 Stevens St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1069 $1,475 $1.38 45d 1 0.27mi
3305 Stevens St Unit A Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1069 $1,300 $1.22 45d 1 0.27mi
3305 Stevens St Unit B Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1069 $1,350 $1.26 45d 1 0.27mi
3333 Dalton St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1493 $1,635 $1.10 25d 1 0.33mi
3333 Dalton St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1493 $1,635 $1.10 6d 1 0.33mi
3333 Dalton St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1493 $1,635 $1.10 8d 1 0.33mi
1711 Langford St Greenville, TX 3.0 1.5 1274 $1,495 $1.17 23d 1 0.33mi
1711 Langford St Greenville, TX 3.0 1.5 1274 $1,495 $1.17 25d 1 0.33mi
1707 Wright St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,725 $1.23 6d 1 0.37mi
3113 Bourland St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 0d 1 0.41mi
1901 Wright St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,550 $1.23 0d 1 0.41mi
2217 Sayle St Unit B Greenville, TX 2.0 2.0 812 $1,275 $1.57 23d 1 0.42mi
2217 Sayle St Greenville, TX 2.0 2.0 812 $1,275 $1.57 3d 1 0.43mi
3605 Eutopia St Greenville, TX 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,450 $1.25 45d 1 0.43mi
902 Clark St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 45d 1 0.46mi
2209 Wellington St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,499 $1.09 0d 1 0.47mi
2113 Wright St Unit A Greenville, TX 3.0 2.5 1436 $1,800 $1.25 45d 1 0.48mi
2123 Langford St Greenville, TX 2.0 2.0 700 $1,199 $1.71 45d 1 0.48mi
2406 Beecha St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1263 $1,575 $1.25 45d 1 0.48mi
3020 Henry St Unit B Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,850 $2.59 45d 1 0.49mi
3020 Henry St Unit A Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,800 $2.55 45d 1 0.49mi
2116 King St Unit 1 Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 5d 1 0.51mi
2915 Bourland St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1197 $1,364 $1.14 45d 1 0.52mi
3513 Washington St Unit G Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 930 $925 $0.99 25d 1 0.57mi
2225 College St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1439 $1,800 $1.25 25d 1 0.57mi
3513 Washington St Unit H Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 930 $462 $0.50 0d 1 0.57mi
3430 Sockwell Blvd Greenville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 850 $1,025 $1.21 0d 3 0.57mi
3430 Sockwell Blvd Unit 3462 Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $960 $1.13 25d 1 0.57mi
2006 Morgan St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,450 $1.19 45d 1 0.59mi
2005 Wesley St Unit 4 Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 3d 1 0.60mi
3509 Pickett St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,550 $1.42 0d 1 0.61mi
2811 Walnut St Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,595 $1.17 45d 1 0.67mi
2309 Wesley St Unit D Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,100 $0.96 23d 1 0.68mi
2309 Wesley St Unit A Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,175 $1.02 45d 1 0.68mi
2901 Lee St Apt 1 Greenville, TX 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,575 $1.26 45d 1 0.68mi
2106 Stonewall St Unit 2B Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 1220 $1,265 $1.04 21d 1 0.69mi
2106 Stonewall St Unit 2B Greenville, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,263 $1.05 12d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-03-26
    status Active 573-char remark
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    Great as a starter home or if you are downsizing. This 3 bedroom 1 and a half bath has been remodeled with hardwood flooring throughout and stone in the wet areas for easy clean up. Located on a corner lot, priced below appraised value and loaded with potential. The sounds of nature abound in this mature part of the city where neighbors walk their pets and enjoy the peace and quiet, away from noisy traffic. New builds all around are helping bring value to the area. Don't miss out! Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify all relevant information regarding this listing.

  12. 2026-03-18
    historical Active Option Contract 573-char remark
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    Great as a starter home or if you are downsizing. This 3 bedroom 1 and a half bath has been remodeled with hardwood flooring throughout and stone in the wet areas for easy clean up. Located on a corner lot, priced below appraised value and loaded with potential. The sounds of nature abound in this mature part of the city where neighbors walk their pets and enjoy the peace and quiet, away from noisy traffic. New builds all around are helping bring value to the area. Don't miss out! Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify all relevant information regarding this listing.

  13. 2026-02-24
    listed $145,000 Active 573-char remark
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    Great as a starter home or if you are downsizing. This 3 bedroom 1 and a half bath has been remodeled with hardwood flooring throughout and stone in the wet areas for easy clean up. Located on a corner lot, priced below appraised value and loaded with potential. The sounds of nature abound in this mature part of the city where neighbors walk their pets and enjoy the peace and quiet, away from noisy traffic. New builds all around are helping bring value to the area. Don't miss out! Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify all relevant information regarding this listing.

  14. 2020-03-02
    soldstatus Sold 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    HGTV or Investor Special - Situated on a nice size corner lot with large shade trees. Freshly painted exterior, interior needs work to revive back to livable in condition. Property being sold as is - utilities are not on - Please show during daylight hours. Use care when walking around property. This is a true fixer upper, Ready for your personal touch and design. Great small town feel, yet close to schools, parks, restaurants & shopping.

  15. 2020-03-02
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    HGTV or Investor Special - Situated on a nice size corner lot with large shade trees. Freshly painted exterior, interior needs work to revive back to livable in condition. Property being sold as is - utilities are not on - Please show during daylight hours. Use care when walking around property. This is a true fixer upper, Ready for your personal touch and design. Great small town feel, yet close to schools, parks, restaurants & shopping.

  16. 2020-02-24
    status Pending 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    HGTV or Investor Special - Situated on a nice size corner lot with large shade trees. Freshly painted exterior, interior needs work to revive back to livable in condition. Property being sold as is - utilities are not on - Please show during daylight hours. Use care when walking around property. This is a true fixer upper, Ready for your personal touch and design. Great small town feel, yet close to schools, parks, restaurants & shopping.

  17. 2020-02-20
    historical Active Option Contract 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    HGTV or Investor Special - Situated on a nice size corner lot with large shade trees. Freshly painted exterior, interior needs work to revive back to livable in condition. Property being sold as is - utilities are not on - Please show during daylight hours. Use care when walking around property. This is a true fixer upper, Ready for your personal touch and design. Great small town feel, yet close to schools, parks, restaurants & shopping.

  18. 2020-01-03
    price $55,000 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    HGTV or Investor Special - Situated on a nice size corner lot with large shade trees. Freshly painted exterior, interior needs work to revive back to livable in condition. Property being sold as is - utilities are not on - Please show during daylight hours. Use care when walking around property. This is a true fixer upper, Ready for your personal touch and design. Great small town feel, yet close to schools, parks, restaurants & shopping.

  19. 2019-11-19
    listed $65,000 Active 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    HGTV or Investor Special - Situated on a nice size corner lot with large shade trees. Freshly painted exterior, interior needs work to revive back to livable in condition. Property being sold as is - utilities are not on - Please show during daylight hours. Use care when walking around property. This is a true fixer upper, Ready for your personal touch and design. Great small town feel, yet close to schools, parks, restaurants & shopping.

  20. 1990-01-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,514 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,654 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$140/yr (+$12/mo · 5.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,498
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,514
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,480
− Management
−$1,480
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$41
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$10
After-tax cash flow
$2,259/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenville ISD
NCES district ID
4821720
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,374
Composite
19.56/100
National rank
#8759
State rank
#743 of 826 in TX

Livability — Greenville

Score
77/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#2719

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenville, TX
County
Hunt County · 71,969 people
City population
42,767
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
22,669
Household income
$59,908
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
638.0

Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,090 people
By 2030
100,452 · +3.5%
By 2040
106,544 · +9.7%
By 2050
111,218 · +14.6%
By 2075
121,695 · +25.3%
By 2100
123,683 · +27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Hunt

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.45%
Current HPI
339.0287
Rent YoY
▲ 0.62%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-03-18 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
  • 2020-03-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-03-02 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2020-02-24 Pending NTREIS
  • 2020-02-20 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2020-01-03 Price Changed $55,000 NTREIS
  • 2019-11-19 Listed $65,000 NTREIS
  • 1990-01-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,514 · +21.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…