Duplex
375 Winspear Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Execeptional, well-maintained 2 unit property, ideally located near the University of Buffalo. Rich original woodwork and beautiful hardwood floors throughout add timeless character to both units. The lower apartment features a spacious eat-in kitchen with new flooring, countertop, and sink. Also features a formal dining room as well as an inviting living room. Incudes two versatile bonus rooms, ideal for home office use, den, or a study. The upper apartment offers a large eat-in kitchen with new flooring, a dining area, and comfortable living space. Also features a bonius room and charming front porch with a newly installed treated lumber floor. Bathrooms in both units have been renovated
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Inviting living room
- Original woodwork
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Operating expense details: see remarks
- Financial info: Owner pays trash collection and water; Rent includes trash collection and water; Two units with separate gas and electric meters; Unit rents reported: one unit at $900/month; other unit rent not listed
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking; On-street parking (see remarks)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: 2-story multi-family building; Residential 2-unit zoning; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Full basement
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room mentioned in unit descriptions
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies by area
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Leaded glass windows; Natural woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $328/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,755/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.83%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,545
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516 Winspear Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,017 (+2%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $109 | 78 |
| 638 Highgate Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,900 (-4%) | 5mo | $178,000 | $94 | 68 |
| 132 Hewitt Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,946 (-2%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $64 | 67 |
| 622 Minnesota Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (-9%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $97 | 65 |
| 626 Lisbon Ave | 0.40mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,919 (-3%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 627 Highgate Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,944 (-2%) | 16mo | $238,000 | $122 | 64 |
| 192 Berkshire Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,955 (-2%) | 10mo | $129,000 | $66 | 61 |
| 40 Dartmouth Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,884 (-5%) | 16mo | $186,500 | $99 | 45 |
| 19 Dunlop Ave | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,160 (+9%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $74 | 44 |
| 80 Lasalle Ave | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,778 (-10%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $96 | 40 |
| 486 Hewitt Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,233 (+12%) | 13mo | $176,000 | $79 | 40 |
| 591 Eggert Rd | 0.57mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,725 (-13%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $145 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-6,742
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $22,730
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14215
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 15.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,755 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $585/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$579
- Net cashflow
- $657
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $2,754 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,377 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,377 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,755 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,500 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $3,750 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 59 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2521 | $1,250 | $0.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 24 Custer St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,000 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 80 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2591 | $2,800 | $1.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,997 | $2.93 | 1d | 10 | 0.79mi |
| 91 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2500 | $2,000 | $0.80 | 1d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 102 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2426 | $2,750 | $1.13 | 1d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2240 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 1d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2560 | $2,000 | $0.78 | 1d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 25 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1914 | $1,350 | $0.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4098 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2108 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 348 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1424 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 69 Berryman Dr Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2056 | $2,950 | $1.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 44 Aurora Dr Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $3,300 | $2.59 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 524 University Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$259,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $585 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,488 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,904/yr (+$159/mo · 325.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$585
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,645
- − Management
- −$2,645
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $3,767
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$904
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,974/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,524
- Household income
- $44,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2873.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.2966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $259,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $585 · +60.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…