Duplex
72 Sylvian St · Central Falls, RI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$500,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
WHAT A STEAL!!! GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTOR/OWNER OCCUPANT! NEEDS SOME TLC BUT WELL WORTH THE EFFORT! NEWER ROOF, NEWER HEATING SYSTEM, GAS HEAT, UPDATED ELECTRIC, CIRCUIT BREAKERS, SEPARATE UTILITIES, VINYL SIDED, REPLACEMENT WINDOWS, & MORE!!
Key facts
- 2-family home
- Off-street parking
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Operating expenses: $1,200
- HOA & community: Highway access; Public transportation nearby; Nearby restaurants; Nearby shopping
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; 6 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connection; Sewer connected to public system; Electric service: 100 amps
- Home design: 2-unit building; Single building on property
- Construction: Drywall and vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built area above grade: 2,840
- Exterior features: Public sewer connection
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Gas heating; Space heater
- Interior features: Bathtub and tub/shower combination; Ceramic tile and hardwood flooring; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-383 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-192/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $432k (13.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $357k (28.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $357k (28.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#21 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Central Falls (suburban): math 2% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #38 of 39 in RI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ella Risk School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #158 of 167 statewide, top 97%, 430 students, 94% FRL); Calcutt Middle School (math 0% / reading 6%, grade F, #56 of 57 statewide, top 98%, 511 students, 97% FRL); Central Falls Sr High (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #53 of 58 statewide, top 96%, 811 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 78% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,574/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1380% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $500k implies a 669% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.29%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $489,440
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Lewis St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (-2%) | 10mo | $465,000 | $258 | 72 |
| 10 Foundry St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,740 (-5%) | 9mo | $460,000 | $264 | 70 |
| 41 Hedley Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,657 (-10%) | 14mo | $515,000 | $311 | 61 |
| 264 Cowden St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 1,632 (-11%) | 15mo | $465,000 | $285 | 55 |
| 36 Tiffany St | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (+4%) | 6mo | $510,000 | $266 | 52 |
| 603 605 Pine St | 0.58mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,662 (-10%) | 10mo | $465,000 | $280 | 44 |
| 189 East St | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-9%) | 18mo | $430,000 | $256 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $78,667
- Equity at exit
- $270,518
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $264,819
- Equity at exit
- $456,602
Cash invested: $140,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02863
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 23.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,574 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$376 /mo · $4,518/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$751
- Net cashflow
- $-383
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-100 | -5% $-242 | +0% $-383 | +5% $-525 | +10% $-666 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-666 | -5% $-525 | +0% $-383 | +5% $-242 | +10% $-101 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-132 | -0.5pp $-256 | base $-383 | +0.5pp $-513 | +1.0pp $-645 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,574 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,787 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,787 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,574 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $125,000
- Closing costs
- $15,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Shawmut Ave Unit 98 Central Falls, RI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1398 | $2,700 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14 Courtland St Unit 2 Central Falls, RI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,850 | $1.49 | 12d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14 Courtland St Unit 3 Central Falls, RI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,950 | $1.57 | 12d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14 Carpenter St Unit 1 Cumberland, RI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1467 | $2,850 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 171 N Bend St Unit 1 Pawtucket, RI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,450 | $1.81 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 513 Mendon Rd Unit 1 Attleboro, MA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,979 | $2.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 515 Mendon Rd Unit 2 Attleboro, MA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,950 | $2.22 | 46d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 171 Mendon Rd Attleboro, MA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1585 | $3,500 | $2.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 171 Mendon Rd Attleboro, MA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1585 | $3,500 | $2.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 413 Central Ave Pawtucket, RI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1285 | $2,920 | $2.27 | 0d | 9 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $500,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $500,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $500,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $500,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $500,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $500,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 464-char remark
-
2026-06-13$500,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,518 · $376/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,334 · $528/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,816/yr (+$151/mo · 40.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,008
- − Property taxes
- −$4,518
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,431
- − Management
- −$3,431
- − Depreciation
- −$14,545
- Taxable loss
- −$13,545
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Falls
- NCES district ID
- 4400120
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,478
- Composite
- 3.59/100
- National rank
- #10071
- State rank
- #38 of 39 in RI
Livability — Central Falls
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #11321
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Central Falls, RI
- County
- Providence County · 548,917 people
- City population
- 22,701
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,701
- Household income
- $49,285
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1380.0
Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 653,469 people
- By 2030
- 660,819 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 672,747 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 683,741 · +4.6%
- By 2075
- 720,435 · +10.2%
- By 2100
- 741,582 · +13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 29% White 16% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Russian 4% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 62% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Providence
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.58%
- Current HPI
- 373.2598
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
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| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+506.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $500,000 RIS
- 2015-05-22 Sold (MLS) $65,000 RIS
- 2015-04-20 Listed $79,900 RIS
- 2015-04-20 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2015-04-16 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2015-02-08 Price Changed $79,900 RIS
- 2014-10-16 Listed $82,500 RIS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,518 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…