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701/703 Johnson Ave
C- Composite 54.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

701/703 Johnson Ave · Valdosta, GA 31602
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,606 sqft · SingleFamily · 43 Days on market
Good condition 0.29 ac lot $111/sqft · 21% below area Est $226k · 21% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located off West Gordon Street on Johnson Street (directions available)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); One-story
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: R6 zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (2.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.3% in Valdosta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#392 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Valdosta City (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #149 of 174 in GA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 267 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $173,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.43%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$226,232
List price
$179,000
Delta
-20.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3405 Sussex Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,576 (-2%) 1mo $249,000 $158 66
3261 Oak Garden Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,519 (-5%) 1mo $223,500 $147 65
325 Jennifer Cir 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,558 (-3%) 10mo $205,000 $132 63
3249 Oak Garden Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,573 (-2%) 10mo $190,000 $121 62
330 Jennifer Cir 0.41mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,686 (+5%) 6mo $225,000 $133 60
3408 Drayton Cir 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,836 (+14%) 1mo $290,000 $158 55
2908 Fawnwood Cir 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,574 (-2%) 4mo $188,040 $119 54
604 Justin Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,643 (+2%) 9mo $232,000 $141 54
2919 Thea Ln 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,764 (+10%) 8mo $242,900 $138 52
2801 Walmar Pl 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,691 (+5%) 7mo $137,500 $81 47
3118 Wingfield Way 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,443 (-10%) 11mo $214,000 $148 43
3604 Bellhaven Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,804 (+12%) 4mo $245,000 $136 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-17,742
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$5,301
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31602

Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,747 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax est. 1.5%
$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,566
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3261 Jordan Way Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1985 $2,100 $1.06 43d 1 0.21mi
302 Hartsfield Ln Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1975 $1,775 $0.90 43d 1 0.44mi
407 Northfield Rd Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1505 $1,395 $0.93 21d 1 0.44mi
360 Brookfield Rd Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.5 1278 $1,100 $0.86 43d 1 0.58mi
100 Garden Dr Valdosta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 885 $2,075 $2.34 21d 13 0.60mi
312 Eager Rd Valdosta, GA 3.0 3.0 1959 $1,895 $0.97 43d 1 0.67mi
334 Sawgrass Dr Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,595 $1.39 21d 1 0.70mi
3833 N Oak Street Ext Valdosta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1022 $1,410 $1.38 21d 31 0.78mi
420 Connell Rd Valdosta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $1,375 $1.31 21d 8 0.81mi
3024 Will Dr Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 43d 1 0.83mi
3027 Schroer Dr Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,295 $1.09 43d 1 0.84mi
2878 Fawnwood Cir Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $3,000 $2.14 43d 1 0.87mi
141 Blue Pool Dr Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1109 $1,200 $1.08 21d 1 1.09mi
5 Kensington Cir Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,495 $1.30 21d 1 1.15mi
2515 Churchill Dr Valdosta, GA 4.0 2.0 2140 $1,550 $0.72 43d 1 1.17mi
2502 Berkley Dr Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1484 $1,650 $1.11 21d 1 1.21mi
611 Pineview Dr Valdosta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1204 $1,600 $1.33 21d 3 1.42mi
4112 Oak Dr Valdosta, GA 3.0 2.0 1349 $1,250 $0.93 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $179,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,000 Active 23 DOM
  18. 2026-05-18
    price $179,000
  19. 2026-05-07
    listed $189,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,966
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,685
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,677
− Management
−$1,677
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$1,203
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$289
After-tax cash flow
$2,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 24 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This property is in good condition with cosmetic updates that can significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring improves the look and feel of the bathrooms.
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Modern lighting enhances the interior and adds to the property's curb appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring improves the look and feel of the bathrooms.
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Modern lighting enhances the interior and adds to the property's curb appeal.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valdosta City
NCES district ID
1305310
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,634
Composite
14.79/100
National rank
#9388
State rank
#149 of 174 in GA

Livability — Valdosta

Score
60/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#19544

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Valdosta, GA
County
Lowndes County · 107,801 people
City population
91,859
Metro
Valdosta, GA
Population (ZIP)
35,728
Household income
$56,939
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
2034.0

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,348 people
By 2030
123,469 · +2.6%
By 2040
128,482 · +6.8%
By 2050
131,907 · +9.6%
By 2075
139,080 · +15.6%
By 2100
133,649 · +11.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.60%
Current HPI
188.2012
Rent YoY
▲ 4.19%
Metro
Valdosta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $179,000 SGMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $189,000 SGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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