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21 S Court Dr
D Composite 40.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$279,000

21 S Court Dr · Greenville, NY 12083
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,236 sqft · Townhouse public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1995 6,969 sqft lot Est $274k · at est. $152/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come home to Country Estates. Located in the town of Greenville sits this 2 bedroom impeccably maintained Ranch (Townhouse) boasting vaulted ceilings, open floor plan , 2 bedrooms, 2 bath, one car garage, back deck , central air, generator , and a finished family room with walk out basement with built in showcase for collectables. Located within Country Estates there is a walking path, shuffle board, basketball, a pond, and a community clubhouse with a full kitchen, dining room, dance floor as well as an exercise room . The HOA Fee is 152 per month and includes lawn maintenance, garbage and roofing. Experience life at its best, while enjoying this prime time location with the mountain

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Built in showcase
  • Finished family room

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSOPEN FLOOR PLANBACK DECKFINISHED FAMILY ROOMWALK OUT BASEMENTBUILT IN SHOWCASE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Generator; Green energy: roof
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $152; HOA covers grounds maintenance and trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, maintenance, park, year-round pond, shuffleboard court, sport court, trash service; Community features: golf, restaurant, street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway; Off-street parking; Garage faces front; Workshop in garage
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electric service; Public sewer; Water connected
  • Home design: Townhouse; One and one half levels; Attached property; Has a view
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built with asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Porch; Asphalt roof; Walk-out finished basement; Front yard; Private paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil and propane heating sources; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Chandelier; High ceilings; Laminate countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer; Laundry located in bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-395 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (25.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (19.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#713 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Greenville Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #338 of 590 in NY (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Scott M Ellis Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 492 students, 37% FRL); Greenville Middle School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #418 of 729 statewide, top 59%, 229 students, 38% FRL); Greenville High School (math 87% / reading 90%, grade A, #294 of 1,100 statewide, top 27%, 359 students, 29% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $123k; list at $279k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $209,144 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.07%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$274,392
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 Skyview Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-3%) 3mo $260,000 $217 88
108 Skyview Dr 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-3%) 11mo $266,900 $222 83

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$126,950
Equity at exit
$251,345
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
6.04×
Total profit
$394,018
Equity at exit
$542,036

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12083

Home prices YoY
16.0%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax from tax record
$442 /mo · $5,299/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$152
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$-395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,751
Max offer price $209,144
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-238 -5% $-316 +0% $-395 +5% $-474 +10% $-553
Rent -10% $-573 -5% $-484 +0% $-395 +5% $-307 +10% $-218
Rate -1.0pp $-255 -0.5pp $-324 base $-395 +0.5pp $-468 +1.0pp $-541

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11321 State Route 32 Greenville, NY 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,250 $1.50 16d 1 0.23mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$152 · $1,824/yr
Likely covers
trash

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $279,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $279,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-18
    listed $279,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,299 · $442/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,299 · $442/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,000
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$5,299
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− HOA
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable loss
−$9,583
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,300
After-tax cash flow
$-2,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenville Central School District
NCES district ID
3612870
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 16.00%
Median HH income
$58,430
Composite
44.81/100
National rank
#2740
State rank
#338 of 590 in NY

Livability — Greenville

Score
65/100
State rank
#713
US rank
#13570

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenville, NY
City population
3,648
Population (ZIP)
3,648

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,963 people
By 2030
43,126 · -4.1%
By 2040
38,756 · -13.8%
By 2050
34,913 · -22.4%
By 2075
28,156 · -37.4%
By 2100
22,296 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Romanian 5% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.23%
Current HPI
378.8518
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $279,000 HVCRMLS
  • 1995-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,299 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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