CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
14428 County Route 5
B+ Composite 79.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,000

14428 County Route 5 · Depauville, NY 13624
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1920 2.60 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large 2.6 acre building lot with 263' of year round maintained frontage. There is existing building on site. The seller has never lived in the property. There is a dug well also on the property that has never been used. This property is ideally located minutes to Clayton N Y. Great location for that new build or the dwelling of your choice.

Key facts

  • Dug well
  • 2.6 acre lot
  • Built 1920

Tags

2.6 ACRE BUILDING LOTEXISTING BUILDING ON SITEDUG WELL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is approximately 2.6 acres (dimensions ~263 x 397); Lot is rectangular, level, partially wooded; Road frontage on a county road

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Phone available; Well water needed / not connected; Septic required
  • Home design: Two-story property; Raw land / possible use for single family or mobile home; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Property listed as fixer; No year built provided
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Storage shed(s)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Fixer condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,147 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Thousand Islands Central School District (rural): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #262 of 590 in NY (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.92%
Cash-on-cash
23.67%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.0%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$76,061
Equity at exit
$76,238
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
8.96×
Total profit
$198,483
Equity at exit
$160,389

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13624

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $684/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $710
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 343-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $89,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$684 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,094 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$410/yr (+$34/mo · 60.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,985
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$684
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,279
− Management
−$1,279
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$4,724
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,134
After-tax cash flow
$4,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thousand Islands Central School District
NCES district ID
3607650
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$55,233
Composite
49.94/100
National rank
#1930
State rank
#262 of 590 in NY

Livability — Depauville

Score
54/100
State rank
#1147
US rank
#23925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing F Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
128
Population (ZIP)
4,438

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,748 people
By 2030
109,370 · -2.1%
By 2040
103,828 · -7.1%
By 2050
98,523 · -11.8%
By 2075
91,422 · -18.2%
By 2100
78,214 · -30.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Romanian 5% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.39%
Current HPI
418.5008
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $89,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $684 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…