8253 Parham Ct · Severn, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious three level townhouse. Three bedrooms and full bathroom on upper level. Large family room and half-bath on lower level. All appliances including a washer and dryer unit. No carpet but instead easy to maintain flooring. Lots of storage space throughout. Must see the inside to appreciate. Please wear a mask and shoe coverings (provided inside) when visiting. Thank you!
Key facts
- $336 HOA
- Built 1974
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total below-grade area includes finished and unfinished space; Finished above-grade area recorded by assessor
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $336 per month; Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Building named Stillmeadows Condo
- Construction: Shingle siding and brick exterior; Permanent foundation; Year built recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: Townhouse/rowhouse setting; Above-grade and below-grade structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Level entry to main living area; Basement present (combination of finished and unfinished space)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($55/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Severn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#175 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Meade High (math 25% / reading 50%, grade F, #138 of 222 statewide, top 63%, 2,330 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 25% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $136k; list at $250k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,549
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8215 Tomlinson Ct | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (0%) | 2mo | $299,950 | $229 | 92 |
| 8209 Coatsbridge Ct | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,307 (0%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $230 | 88 |
| 8209 Stewarton Ct | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,307 (0%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $207 | 81 |
| 1756 Jacobs Meadow Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,370 (+5%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $208 | 74 |
| 8223 Coatsbridge Ct | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,432 (+10%) | 4mo | $299,000 | $209 | 73 |
| 1822 Dove Ct | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,460 (+12%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $205 | 70 |
| 1803 Sparrow Ct | 0.09mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,460 (+12%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $205 | 69 |
| 1826 Jaybird Ct | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,460 (+12%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $185 | 68 |
| 1869 Robin Ct | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,160 (-11%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $228 | 66 |
| 1847 Blue Jay Ct | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,460 (+12%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $199 | 66 |
| 1847 Hawk Ct | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 1,460 (+12%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $192 | 62 |
| 1825 Oriole Ct | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,460 (+12%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $199 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-47,252
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-67,914
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21144
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,208/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$336
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $146 | -5% $75 | +0% $5 | +5% $-66 | +10% $-137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-189 | -5% $-92 | +0% $5 | +5% $102 | +10% $199 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $130 | -0.5pp $68 | base $5 | +0.5pp $-60 | +1.0pp $-126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8595 Pioneer Dr Severn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,950 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8567 Pioneer Dr Severn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $2,050 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1805 Sparrow Ct Severn, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $3,200 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 8429 Pioneer Dr Severn, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,150 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1833 Richfield Dr Severn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,820 | $1.62 | 2d | 8 | 0.23mi |
| 1817 Oriole Ct Severn, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $2,800 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1839 Arwell Ct Severn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $2,500 | $2.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8317 Severn Orchard Cir Severn, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $2,035 | $2.27 | 2d | 81 | 0.29mi |
| 1807 Arwell Ct Severn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,900 | $1.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 178 Goldsborough Dr Odenton, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1672 | $2,850 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8221 Barrington Ct Unit 41 Severn, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $2,800 | $1.61 | 6d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 8203 Barrington Ct Severn, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1740 | $2,595 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2202 Commissary Cir #208 Odenton, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1736 | $2,800 | $1.61 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8031 Brookstone Ct Severn, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1692 | $2,795 | $1.65 | 6d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2251 Commissary Cir Odenton, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,250 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7918 Sage Way Severn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1934 Palonia Ct Odenton, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,295 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 231 Kirbys Landing Ct Odenton, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1716 | $2,699 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1934 Hackberry Ct Odenton, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,700 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1806 Watch House Cir N Severn, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $2,750 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2014 Crosbyside Ct Odenton, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1609 | $2,700 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8001 Laketowne Ct Severn, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1014 | $2,694 | $2.66 | 4d | 18 | 1.08mi |
| 308 Assembly Point Ct Odenton, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,700 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 315 Eagles Landing Ct Odenton, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,250 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2005 Town Center Blvd Odenton, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $2,925 | $3.45 | 3d | 15 | 1.10mi |
| 300 Gatehouse Ln Odenton, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1045 | $2,759 | $2.64 | 3d | 43 | 1.16mi |
| 2027 Odens Station Ln Odenton, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $3,015 | $2.91 | 3d | 49 | 1.25mi |
| 1811 Battlement Ct Severn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 110 Burns Crossing Rd Severn, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $2,950 | $2.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $336 · $4,032/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $250,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 297-char remark
-
2026-06-15$250,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,208 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,466 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$259/yr (+$22/mo · 11.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$2,208
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,357
- − Management
- −$2,357
- − HOA
- −$4,032
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$4,017
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$964
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,019/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anne Arundel County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400060
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,880
- Composite
- 28.52/100
- National rank
- #6733
- State rank
- #10 of 24 in MD
Livability — Severn
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #175
- US rank
- #7833
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Severn, MD
- County
- Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
- City population
- 37,118
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,118
- Household income
- $136,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 550.0
Population outlook (Anne Arundel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 617,384 people
- By 2030
- 642,094 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 686,621 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 723,031 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 809,346 · +31.1%
- By 2100
- 837,658 · +35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Anne Arundel
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.9) · D 55.7% · R 41.7% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.7pp toward D · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: 13.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.9 2020: D+14.5 2016: D+0.7 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.16%
- Current HPI
- 271.5527
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.93%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+59.2% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $136,500 Public Records
- 2020-12-21 Sold (MLS) $136,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-11-25 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-11-18 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-02-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2011-02-16 Sold (MLS) $68,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-02-16 Sold (MLS) $68,000 MRIS
- 2010-12-02 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-12-02 Relisted — MRIS
- 2010-11-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-10-22 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-09-29 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-09-17 Listed $64,900 MRIS
- 2010-09-17 Listed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-09-19 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-09-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-06-26 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-05-29 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-05-14 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-04-18 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-04-18 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-04-18 Listed — MRIS
- 2009-04-18 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $163,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-03 Sold (MLS) $163,000 MRIS
- 2005-09-24 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-09-23 Listed $157,000 MRIS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,208 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…