133 N Main St · Protivin, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move in ready house for sale in Protivin, IA ?? Features: 2bed 1bath Attached 1 car garage Open space concept between kitchen, living room, and dining room Freshly remodeled bathroom New appliances Custom built cabinets Newly poured patio Spacious backyard Unfinished basement
Key facts
- Open space concept
- Spacious backyard
- Newly poured patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (29.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $88k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#736 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Turkey Valley Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #82 of 289 in IA (top 28%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Turkey Valley Elementary School (math 92% / reading 82%, grade A+, #16 of 616 statewide, top 3%, 192 students, 36% FRL); Turkey Valley Jr-Sr High School (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #152 of 336 statewide, top 52%, 183 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 16% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Howard County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $125k implies a 525% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.96%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,598
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137 Bridge Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,055 (+12%) | 21mo | $75,000 | $71 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,128
- Equity at exit
- $49,406
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $27,091
- Equity at exit
- $71,224
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52163
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $877 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $862/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $-86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-16 | -5% $-51 | +0% $-86 | +5% $-122 | +10% $-157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-121 | +0% $-86 | +5% $-52 | +10% $-17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-23 | -0.5pp $-55 | base $-86 | +0.5pp $-119 | +1.0pp $-152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-17status $125,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$125,000 Active 284-char remark
-
1997-05-28soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $862 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,412 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$550/yr (+$46/mo · 63.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$862
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$842
- − Management
- −$842
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$3,282
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$788
- After-tax cash flow
- $-249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Turkey Valley Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1928110
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,496
- Composite
- 62.93/100
- National rank
- #657
- State rank
- #82 of 289 in IA
Livability — Protivin
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #736
- US rank
- #16963
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Protivin, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 354
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,964 people
- By 2030
- 8,668 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 8,056 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 7,388 · -17.6%
- By 2075
- 6,121 · -31.7%
- By 2100
- 4,792 · -46.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.8) · D 33.5% · R 65.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -57.6pp toward R · 2008: 25.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+27.3 2016: R+20.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+25.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.01%
- Current HPI
- 111.7472
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+525.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $125,000 FSBO.com
- 1997-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $862 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…