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205 Cotton Gin Ct
D+ Composite 47.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0

$12,250

205 Cotton Gin Ct · Branch, LA 70516
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily · 140 Days on market
4,356 sqft lot ↓ 51% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2-bedroom, 1 bathroom. Sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Listed 139 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Electric service: SLEMCO
  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Asbestos construction material
  • Exterior features: Asbestos exterior siding

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating; Window Unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Window cooling units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($826 rent vs $12k).
  • Recommended offer: $11k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#462 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Acadia Parish (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in LA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Acadia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $452 of equity ($84 loan paydown + $368 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $10,780 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.74%
Cap rate
62.64%
Cash-on-cash
201.24%
DSCR
9.95
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.11×
Total profit
$38,120
Equity at exit
$5,508
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.60×
Total profit
$84,371
Equity at exit
$8,489

Cash invested: $3,430 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70516

Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$826 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$64
Tax from tax record
$8 /mo · $98/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$174
Net cashflow
$575

Break-even live

Break-even rent $98
Max offer price $12,250
Occupancy floor 25%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $582 -5% $579 +0% $575 +5% $572 +10% $568
Rent -10% $510 -5% $543 +0% $575 +5% $608 +10% $640
Rate -1.0pp $581 -0.5pp $578 base $575 +0.5pp $572 +1.0pp $569

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,062
Closing costs
$368
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $12,250 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $12,250 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $12,250 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $12,250 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $12,250 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $12,250 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,250 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $12,250 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $17,250 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $17,250 Active 127 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $17,250 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $17,250 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $17,250 Active 122 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $17,250 Active 121 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $17,250 Active 120 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $17,250 Active 119 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $17,250 Active 118 DOM
  18. 2026-04-08
    price $17,250
  19. 2026-02-01
    listed $34,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$98 · $8/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$98 · $8/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,914
− Mortgage interest
−$686
− Property taxes
−$98
− Insurance
−$61
− Repairs & maintenance
−$793
− Management
−$793
− Depreciation
−$356
Taxable income
$7,127
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,710
After-tax cash flow
$5,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Acadia Parish
NCES district ID
2200030
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$38,012
Composite
31.65/100
National rank
#5929
State rank
#28 of 98 in LA

Livability — Branch

Score
41/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#27194

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Branch, LA
Population (ZIP)
1,225

Population outlook (Acadia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,846 people
By 2030
64,141 · +0.5%
By 2040
63,922 · +0.1%
By 2050
62,263 · -2.5%
By 2075
56,507 · -11.5%
By 2100
46,316 · -27.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Acadia

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.0) · D 17.6% · R 81.5%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -45.7pp · 2024: -64.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.0 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.7 2012: R+49.8 2008: R+45.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-50.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $17,250 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $34,900 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $98 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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