280 Cheverly Dr · Christiansburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
In town living for this brick ranch home. Living room with gleaming wood flooring, dining area has access to back deck, kitchen has an abundance of cabinets & counterspace. An oversized primary bedroom with access to deck, WIC, private bath with double sinks & step in shower plus lots of natural light with the tall windows. The laundry room is just off the bedroom. Lots of storage in the basement, has 2 separate garage doors, great area for a workshop or rec room. More storage in the separate garage/building. Heat pump with oil backup. Wood furnace is also available for back up heat. An older, established neighborhood convenient to Huckleberry Park, shopping and eateries. You are home!
Key facts
- Lots of storage
- Access to back deck
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (14.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (32.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in Christiansburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#53 in VA, #1,452 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.57%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $370,229
- List price
- $299,950
- Delta
- -18.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280 Cheverly Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,443 (-6%) | 0mo | $293,000 | $203 | 90 |
| 140 Alexa Ln | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (-14%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $252 | 63 |
| 1931 Dominion Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+5%) | 11mo | $379,950 | $236 | 62 |
| 130 Alexa Ln Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (+13%) | 23mo | $387,500 | $224 | 53 |
| 805 New Village Dr NW | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+4%) | 7mo | $355,000 | $222 | 51 |
| 380 Walters Dr NW | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (+12%) | 7mo | $289,000 | $169 | 48 |
| 45 Katie Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,732 (+13%) | 8mo | $405,000 | $234 | 35 |
| 85 Meadow Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+10%) | 22mo | $350,000 | $208 | 33 |
| 440 Windsor Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,364 (-11%) | 22mo | $343,000 | $251 | 31 |
| 1753 Peppers Ferry Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (+11%) | 20mo | $305,000 | $180 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-68,512
- Equity at exit
- $44,724
- IRR
- -25.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.14×
- Total profit
- $-95,973
- Equity at exit
- $25,934
Cash invested: $83,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24073
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,031 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,876/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $-250
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,988
- Closing costs
- $8,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265 Lunaria Ln NW Christiansburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $1,799 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 215 Lunaria Ln NW Christiansburg, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $1,699 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 270 Lunaria Ln NW Christiansburg, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,699 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 260 Lunaria Ln NW Christiansburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $1,799 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 135 Aster Ln Christiansburg, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,800 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 200 Meadow Dr Christiansburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1752 | $2,100 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 120 Amber Cir NW Christiansburg, VA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1854 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
In town living for this brick ranch home. Living room with gleaming wood flooring, dining area has access to back deck, kitchen has an abundance of cabinets & counterspace. An oversized primary bedroom with access to deck, WIC, private bath with double sinks & step in shower plus lots of natural light with the tall windows. The laundry room is just off the bedroom. Lots of storage in the basement, has 2 separate garage doors, great area for a workshop or rec room. More storage in the separate garage/building. Heat pump with oil backup. Wood furnace is also available for back up heat. An older, established neighborhood convenient to Huckleberry Park, shopping and eateries. You are home!
-
2026-04-29price $299,950 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
In town living for this brick ranch home. Living room with gleaming wood flooring, dining area has access to back deck, kitchen has an abundance of cabinets & counterspace. An oversized primary bedroom with access to deck, WIC, private bath with double sinks & step in shower plus lots of natural light with the tall windows. The laundry room is just off the bedroom. Lots of storage in the basement, has 2 separate garage doors, great area for a workshop or rec room. More storage in the separate garage/building. Heat pump with oil backup. Wood furnace is also available for back up heat. An older, established neighborhood convenient to Huckleberry Park, shopping and eateries. You are home!
-
2026-04-05$329,500 Active 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
In town living for this brick ranch home. Living room with gleaming wood flooring, dining area has access to back deck, kitchen has an abundance of cabinets & counterspace. An oversized primary bedroom with access to deck, WIC, private bath with double sinks & step in shower plus lots of natural light with the tall windows. The laundry room is just off the bedroom. Lots of storage in the basement, has 2 separate garage doors, great area for a workshop or rec room. More storage in the separate garage/building. Heat pump with oil backup. Wood furnace is also available for back up heat. An older, established neighborhood convenient to Huckleberry Park, shopping and eateries. You are home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,876 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,460 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$584/yr (+$49/mo · 31.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,802
- − Property taxes
- −$1,876
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,950
- − Management
- −$1,950
- − Depreciation
- −$8,726
- Taxable loss
- −$8,428
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,023
- After-tax cash flow
- $-972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102520
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,618
- Composite
- 53.6/100
- National rank
- #1440
- State rank
- #47 of 131 in VA
Livability — Christiansburg
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #1452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Christiansburg, VA
- County
- Montgomery County · 78,218 people
- City population
- 29,677
- Metro
- Blacksburg-Christiansburg, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,677
- Household income
- $76,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 861.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,748 people
- By 2030
- 110,301 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 115,652 · +9.4%
- By 2050
- 119,651 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 126,005 · +19.2%
- By 2100
- 129,771 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 47.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: 3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+1.3 2012: R+0.2 2008: D+4.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.98%
- Current HPI
- 267.2504
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.05%
- Metro
- Blacksburg-Christiansburg, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-9.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NRVMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $299,950 NRVMLS
- 2026-04-05 Listed $329,500 NRVMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,876 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…