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1539 Highway 67
D- Composite 39.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$243,000

1539 Highway 67 · Priceville, AL 35603
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,256 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1985 1.00 ac lot $108/sqft · 21% below area Est $412k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4 bed, 3 bath home with over 3000 sq ft on an acre lot. Updated kitchen with breakfast bar and ample cabinets. Features tile, wood, and carpet flooring, a generous den and living room, and a cozy fireplace. Conveniently located near I-65, Redstone Arsenal, and a short drive to Decatur or Huntsville.

Key facts

  • Ample cabinets
  • Updated kitchen
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENBREAKFAST BARAMPLE CABINETSTILE WOOD CARPET FLOORINGGENEROUS DENCOZY FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $243k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-186 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (13.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (34.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (34.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.6% in Priceville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#31 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Morgan County (rural): math 19% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 129 in AL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 395 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $243k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,553 (34.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.29%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$411,626
List price
$243,000
Delta
-40.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.9%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-51,360
Equity at exit
$36,232
10-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-60,483
Equity at exit
$21,010

Cash invested: $68,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35603

Active inventory
395
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,596 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,274
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $854/yr
Insurance
$101
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$-186

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,831
Max offer price $210,092
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-49 -5% $-118 +0% $-186 +5% $-255 +10% $-324
Rent -10% $-312 -5% $-249 +0% $-186 +5% $-123 +10% $-60
Rate -1.0pp $-64 -0.5pp $-124 base $-186 +0.5pp $-249 +1.0pp $-313

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,750
Closing costs
$7,290
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $243,000 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $243,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $243,000 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $243,000 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-03-06
    listed $243,000 Active 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Spacious 4 bed, 3 bath home with over 3000 sq ft on an acre lot. Updated kitchen with breakfast bar and ample cabinets. Features tile, wood, and carpet flooring, a generous den and living room, and a cozy fireplace. Conveniently located near I-65, Redstone Arsenal, and a short drive to Decatur or Huntsville.

  6. 2026-01-10
    price $243,000
  7. 2025-12-07
    price $250,000
  8. 2015-01-14
    soldstatus $110,000
  9. 2014-09-15
    listed $119,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$854 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$996 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$142/yr (+$12/mo · 16.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,146
− Mortgage interest
−$13,612
− Property taxes
−$854
− Insurance
−$1,215
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,532
− Management
−$1,532
− Depreciation
−$7,069
Taxable loss
−$6,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,600
After-tax cash flow
$-635/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morgan County
NCES district ID
0102480
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,362
Composite
26.68/100
National rank
#7157
State rank
#61 of 129 in AL

Livability — Priceville

Score
72/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#6399

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Priceville, AL
County
Morgan County · 67,628 people
Metro
Decatur, AL
Population (ZIP)
32,179
Household income
$81,490
Rent vs Own
26.1% rent · 73.9% own
Severe rent burden
467.0

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
118,775 people
By 2030
116,979 · -1.5%
By 2040
111,800 · -5.9%
By 2050
105,181 · -11.4%
By 2075
87,736 · -26.1%
By 2100
67,624 · -43.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -141.07%
Current HPI
243.157
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+102.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $243,000 VMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $243,000 VMLS
  • 2025-12-07 Price Changed $250,000 VMLS
  • 2015-01-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 VMLS
  • 2014-09-15 Listed $119,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $854 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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