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103 County Road 166
B Composite 71.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$40,000

103 County Road 166 · Stevenson, AL 35772
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market
Built 1950 0.80 ac lot ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

House is "Sold As Is". Calling all investors or DIY enthusiasts! This diamond in the rough is waiting for the right vision.

Key facts

  • 0.8 acre lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 119 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Metes and Bounds subdivision
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (dirt)
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1950
  • Construction: 1950 construction
  • Exterior features: 0.8-acre lot; Unpaved dirt driveway

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#282 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jackson County (rural): math 20% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #70 of 129 in AL (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stevenson Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #367 of 627 statewide, top 60%, 354 students, 65% FRL); Stevenson Middle School (math 8% / reading 33%, grade F, #191 of 257 statewide, top 74%, 255 students, 66% FRL); North Jackson High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 418 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,400 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.10%
Cap rate
19.13%
Cash-on-cash
45.86%
DSCR
3.04
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$21,541
Equity at exit
$6,786
10-year hold
IRR
49.2%
Equity multiple
5.86×
Total profit
$54,484
Equity at exit
$4,888

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35772

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$842 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$10 /mo · $126/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$428

Break-even live

Break-even rent $300
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $439 +0% $428 +5% $417 +10% $405
Rent -10% $362 -5% $395 +0% $428 +5% $461 +10% $495
Rate -1.0pp $448 -0.5pp $438 base $428 +0.5pp $418 +1.0pp $407

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,000 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,000 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $40,000 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $40,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,000 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,000 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 108 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $40,000 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 103 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 102 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 101 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $40,000 Active 100 DOM
  15. 2026-04-09
    price $40,000
  16. 2026-02-19
    listed $60,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$126 · $10/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$164 · $14/mo
Expected delta
+$38/yr (+$3/mo · 30.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,101
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$126
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$808
− Management
−$808
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$4,754
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,141
After-tax cash flow
$3,995/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson County
NCES district ID
0101830
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$36,886
Composite
25.28/100
National rank
#7490
State rank
#70 of 129 in AL

Livability — Stevenson

Score
60/100
State rank
#282
US rank
#18595

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,847

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,261 people
By 2030
48,655 · -3.2%
By 2040
45,119 · -10.2%
By 2050
41,518 · -17.4%
By 2075
33,507 · -33.3%
By 2100
26,385 · -47.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.4) · D 13.9% · R 85.4%
2008→2024 swing
-34.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.9pp · 2024: -71.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.4 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+62.5 2012: R+41.9 2008: R+36.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.54%
Current HPI
207.1491
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $40,000 VMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $60,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+19.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $126 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…