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14658 Lincoln Ave
C Composite 59.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

14658 Lincoln Ave · Dolton, IL 60419
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 906 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1955 10,715 sqft lot Est $133k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own. Huge fenced backyard!. Lots of counter space. Eat-in kitchen area and combined living room/dining room area. Separate laundry room in the utility room. Detached 2 car garage . Property Sold " As Is"

Key facts

  • Eat-in kitchen
  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENSEPARATE LAUNDRY UTILITY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Taxes listed (annual amount available in records); Parcel number available in records; Directions: intersection of Lincoln and Dobson
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include sidewalks, street lights and paved streets

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned) with garage door opener; Gravel and off-street parking; Total of about 3 parking spaces, including 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Lake Michigan and public water supply; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property was rehabbed in 2022; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Property currently leased
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Other-type foundation; Home built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Corner lot; Lot dimensions roughly 31 x 125 x 56 x 91 x 123

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen with eating area/table space (approx. 20 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom with blinds; Bedroom sizes include 10 x 13, 10 x 12, and 8 x 12
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile in living room, dining area, kitchen and master bedroom; Ceramic tile in one bedroom; Vinyl flooring in one bedroom; Other flooring in laundry room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas and electric heating; Wall-mounted cooling units
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Combined dining and living area; School bus service and easy interstate/commuter bus access
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 5 x 9)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $140k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.74%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,182
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14840 Langley Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 936 (+3%) 2mo $37,000 $40 69
14647 Irving Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 889 (-2%) 2mo $138,000 $155 61
14731 Kimbark Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,017 (+12%) 2mo $115,000 $113 56
14915 Irving Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 980 (+8%) 4mo $68,000 $69 55
14642 Dorchester Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,013 (+12%) 1mo $170,000 $168 54
14622 Kenwood Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,017 (+12%) 5mo $110,000 $108 53
14728 Kenwood Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,017 (+12%) 5mo $156,000 $153 52
14819 Irving Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 980 (+8%) 4mo $130,000 $133 52
14341 University Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,035 (+14%) 1mo $100,000 $97 50
14610 Blackstone Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,017 (+12%) 1mo $150,000 $147 47
14738 Blackstone Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,017 (+12%) 1mo $150,000 $147 47
14248 Avalon Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,037 (+14%) 6mo $216,000 $208 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$7,596
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$78,231
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,869 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$367 /mo · $4,402/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,467
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $397 -5% $357 +0% $318 +5% $278 +10% $239
Rent -10% $170 -5% $244 +0% $318 +5% $392 +10% $465
Rate -1.0pp $388 -0.5pp $353 base $318 +0.5pp $282 +1.0pp $245

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14502 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 1S Dolton, IL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,425 $1.58 8d 1 0.42mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 25d 1 0.42mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 22d 1 0.50mi
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 10d 1 0.57mi
14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 7d 1 0.57mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 25d 1 0.72mi
495 Madison Ave Unit 1D Calumet City, IL 1.0 1.0 595 $1,175 $1.97 14d 1 1.00mi
1450 E 154th Pl Dolton, IL 1.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 25d 1 1.09mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 11d 1 1.09mi
405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 973 $2,300 $2.36 2d 1 1.11mi
1860 State St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 18d 1 1.12mi
15324 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 1B Dolton, IL 1.0 1.0 725 $985 $1.36 19d 1 1.15mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 22d 1 1.43mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 12d 1 1.43mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 20d 1 1.43mi
13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 930 $1,895 $2.04 25d 1 1.43mi
250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $1,465 $1.67 8d 1 1.44mi
1601 Downs Dr Unit 3S Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,400 $1.87 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on marketlisting id $139,900 Active 1 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-04-08
    listed $144,900 Active
  16. 2026-04-08
    historical
  17. 2026-03-19
    listed Active
  18. 2022-03-16
    price $1,650
  19. 2021-10-05
    soldstatus $75,000
  20. 2021-09-30
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Why rent when you can own. Huge fenced backyard!. Lots of counter space. Eat-in kitchen area and combined living room/dining room area. Separate laundry room in the utility room. Detached 2 car garage . Property Sold " As Is"

  21. 2021-08-10
    status Active Under Contract 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Why rent when you can own. Huge fenced backyard!. Lots of counter space. Eat-in kitchen area and combined living room/dining room area. Separate laundry room in the utility room. Detached 2 car garage . Property Sold " As Is"

  22. 2021-07-22
    listed $90,000 Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Why rent when you can own. Huge fenced backyard!. Lots of counter space. Eat-in kitchen area and combined living room/dining room area. Separate laundry room in the utility room. Detached 2 car garage . Property Sold " As Is"

  23. 2019-10-25
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed Sale
  24. 2019-09-04
    status Pending
  25. 2019-09-04
    status Reactivated
  26. 2019-08-16
    historical Contingent
  27. 2019-08-16
    historical
  28. 2019-07-08
    price $49,900
  29. 2019-07-05
    price $52,500
  30. 2019-07-03
    status Reactivated
  31. 2019-06-24
    historical
  32. 2019-05-28
    price $59,900
  33. 2019-04-23
    price $65,000
  34. 2019-04-04
    price $69,000
  35. 2019-03-12
    listed $69,900 New
  36. 2007-01-11
    soldstatus $100,000
  37. 1990-04-01
    soldstatus $49,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,402 · $367/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,402 · $367/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,430
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$4,402
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,794
− Management
−$1,794
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$1,833
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$440
After-tax cash flow
$3,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+192.7% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $144,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-16 Price Changed $1,650 RENT.
  • 2021-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-10 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-22 Listed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-25 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-04 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-04 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-16 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-16 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-08 Price Changed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-05 Price Changed $52,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-03 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-24 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-28 Price Changed $59,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-23 Price Changed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-04 Price Changed $69,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-12 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 1990-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,402 · +30.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…