🏷️ Likely Rental
12 Salem Tpke · Norwich, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your elbow grease and this property can provide instant equity. Property is Currently set up as a 2 bed and you can finish the 2nd floor for an additional 2 bedrooms. Property needs cosmetic updates. Conventional or 203k eligible. Property was tenant occupied until May, heating system, electrical and plumbing were in good working order. Property to convey As-Is.
Key facts
- 0.57 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Clapboard siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Full basement; One fireplace; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Oil hot water heating; Fuel tank located in basement; Domestic hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($515/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-.
- Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Moriarty Magnet School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #396 of 553 statewide, top 72%, 368 students, 62% FRL); Kelly Steam Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 175 statewide, top 90%, 556 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.92%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,128
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Fairground Cir | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+3%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $303 | 66 |
| 18 Pine St | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,080 (+7%) | 2mo | $269,900 | $250 | 62 |
| 520 New London Tpke | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,158 (+15%) | 7mo | $307,500 | $266 | 61 |
| 27 Surrey Ln | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+7%) | 14mo | $239,000 | $221 | 59 |
| 11 County Fair Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-5%) | 13mo | $285,000 | $297 | 59 |
| 435 New London Tpke | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,054 (+5%) | 22mo | $235,000 | $223 | 58 |
| 35 Surrey Ln | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+10%) | 14mo | $330,000 | $298 | 56 |
| 47 Manwaring Rd | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,157 (+15%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $233 | 50 |
| 17 Nordon Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,086 (+8%) | 21mo | $273,000 | $251 | 48 |
| 25 Great Plain Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-10%) | 17mo | $260,000 | $285 | 40 |
| 18 Great Plain Rd | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 889 (-12%) | 23mo | $256,000 | $288 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-22,553
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $15,275
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06360
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,867 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$300 /mo · $3,603/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $156 | -5% $100 | +0% $43 | +5% $-14 | +10% $-70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-105 | -5% $-31 | +0% $43 | +5% $117 | +10% $190 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $144 | -0.5pp $94 | base $43 | +0.5pp $-9 | +1.0pp $-62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Wawecus Hill Rd Norwich, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,000 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 73 Peck St Unit 2 Norwich, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2124 Old Pond Ln #2124 Norwich, CT | 1.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $2,250 | $2.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 43 Dunham St Norwich, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,900 | $1.72 | 46d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 42 Spring St Unit 1 Norwich, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,550 | $2.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 68 Thermos Ave Unit 212B Norwich, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 204 Thermos Ave Norwich, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $1,997 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 370-char remark
-
2026-06-13$199,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,603 · $300/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,940 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- +$337/yr (+$28/mo · 9.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$3,603
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,792
- − Management
- −$1,792
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,798
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$672
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,187/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norwich School District
- NCES district ID
- 0903120
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,813
- Composite
- 21.27/100
- National rank
- #8395
- State rank
- #139 of 153 in CT
Livability — Norwich
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1391
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norwich, CT
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- City population
- 37,216
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,216
- Household income
- $65,539
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1643.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.27%
- Current HPI
- 261.8575
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.62%
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+10421.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $199,900 Smart MLS
- 2024-11-13 Rental Removed $1,900 SMARTMLS
- 2024-10-09 Listed for Rent $1,900 SMARTMLS
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2023): $3,603 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…