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12 Salem Tpke 🏷️ Likely Rental
C- Composite 51.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

12 Salem Tpke · Norwich, CT 06360
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1953 0.57 ac lot Est $268k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your elbow grease and this property can provide instant equity. Property is Currently set up as a 2 bed and you can finish the 2nd floor for an additional 2 bedrooms. Property needs cosmetic updates. Conventional or 203k eligible. Property was tenant occupied until May, heating system, electrical and plumbing were in good working order. Property to convey As-Is.

Key facts

  • 0.57 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1953

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Clapboard siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Full basement; One fireplace; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Oil hot water heating; Fuel tank located in basement; Domestic hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $199,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$268,128) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($515/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-.
  • Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Moriarty Magnet School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #396 of 553 statewide, top 72%, 368 students, 62% FRL); Kelly Steam Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 175 statewide, top 90%, 556 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,679 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.92%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$268,128
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Fairground Cir 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+3%) 10mo $315,000 $303 66
18 Pine St 0.48mi 2/1.5 1,080 (+7%) 2mo $269,900 $250 62
520 New London Tpke 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,158 (+15%) 7mo $307,500 $266 61
27 Surrey Ln 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+7%) 14mo $239,000 $221 59
11 County Fair Rd 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-5%) 13mo $285,000 $297 59
435 New London Tpke 0.36mi 2/1.0 1,054 (+5%) 22mo $235,000 $223 58
35 Surrey Ln 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,108 (+10%) 14mo $330,000 $298 56
47 Manwaring Rd 0.35mi 2/1.0 1,157 (+15%) 10mo $270,000 $233 50
17 Nordon Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 1,086 (+8%) 21mo $273,000 $251 48
25 Great Plain Rd 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-10%) 17mo $260,000 $285 40
18 Great Plain Rd 0.55mi 2/1.0 889 (-12%) 23mo $256,000 $288 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-22,553
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$15,275
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06360

Home prices YoY
-19.9%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,867 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$300 /mo · $3,603/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,812
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $156 -5% $100 +0% $43 +5% $-14 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-105 -5% $-31 +0% $43 +5% $117 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $144 -0.5pp $94 base $43 +0.5pp $-9 +1.0pp $-62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 Wawecus Hill Rd Norwich, CT 2.0 1.0 825 $2,000 $2.42 15d 1 0.54mi
73 Peck St Unit 2 Norwich, CT 2.0 1.5 900 $1,475 $1.64 22d 1 0.83mi
2124 Old Pond Ln #2124 Norwich, CT 1.0 2.0 864 $2,250 $2.60 15d 1 1.00mi
43 Dunham St Norwich, CT 2.0 1.0 1105 $1,900 $1.72 46d 1 1.02mi
42 Spring St Unit 1 Norwich, CT 1.0 1.0 704 $1,550 $2.20 22d 1 1.15mi
68 Thermos Ave Unit 212B Norwich, CT 2.0 2.0 1171 $2,300 $1.96 45d 1 1.42mi
204 Thermos Ave Norwich, CT 2.0 2.0 1171 $1,997 $1.71 15d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 370-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $199,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,603 · $300/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,940 · $328/mo
Expected delta
+$337/yr (+$28/mo · 9.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,401
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$3,603
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,792
− Management
−$1,792
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,798
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$672
After-tax cash flow
$1,187/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norwich School District
NCES district ID
0903120
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,813
Composite
21.27/100
National rank
#8395
State rank
#139 of 153 in CT

Livability — Norwich

Score
81/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#1391

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A- Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norwich, CT
County
New London County · 147,197 people
City population
37,216
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
Population (ZIP)
37,216
Household income
$65,539
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
1643.0

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.27%
Current HPI
261.8575
Rent YoY
▲ 6.62%
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10421.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $199,900 Smart MLS
  • 2024-11-13 Rental Removed $1,900 SMARTMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Listed for Rent $1,900 SMARTMLS

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,603 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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