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701 Montara #150
D Composite 42.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,500

701 Montara #150 · Barstow, CA 92311
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1988 3,375 sqft lot $27/sqft · at area comps Est $39k · at est. ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a 1440 sq. ft. doublewide mobile home on a corner lot in a senior, over 55, gated park. This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Both bathrooms have walk in showers with the master being wheelchair accessible. There is spacious living room and open concept family room / kitchen area. The front porch is large and private and the back has a beach sitting area to make you feel you are in the islands. This is a must see sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Large private porch
  • Open concept
  • Beach sitting area

Tags

CORNER LOTGATED PARKWALK IN SHOWERSOPEN CONCEPTLARGE PRIVATE PORCHBEACH SITTING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size reported from assessor's data; Lot features: 0-1 unit/acre; Elevation units listed in feet; Living area source: assessor's data
  • Financial info: Land lease: $650 monthly (park-managed); Manager approval required; Pets allowed; contact manager for details
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Park name: Holiday Homes; Community amenities include biking, dog park, hiking, and access to BLM/National Forest

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport for 2 vehicles; Total of 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home (CHARLESTON model); Mobile home remains on site; Double-wide body type; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: 24 ft wide by 60 ft long mobile home; One total story; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Community pool; One shed on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Remodeled bath(s); Walk-in shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace
  • Interior features: One-level home; Back door entry
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 48.3% vs local median 4.6% in Barstow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#444 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Barstow Unified (town): math 11% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #482 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $273 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $38,315 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.20%
Cap rate
48.30%
Cash-on-cash
150.01%
DSCR
7.67
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$39,388
List price
$39,500
Delta
0.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
701 Montara Rd #140 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+1%) 0mo $44,000 $30 98
701 Montara Rd #223 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 1mo $53,000 $37 94
701 Montara Rd #207 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 4mo $44,603 $31 92
701 Montara Rd #231 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 10mo $47,000 $33 87
701 Montara Rd #123 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 4mo $25,000 $19 85
701 Montara Rd #244 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 4mo $28,000 $19 84
701 Montara Rd #216 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 15mo $47,000 $33 83
701 Montara Rd #235 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 2mo $35,000 $26 82
701 Montara Rd #137 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 13mo $47,500 $35 78
701 Montara Rd #161 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 2mo $13,000 $10 78
701 Montara #233 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (+5%) 7mo $39,000 $26 73
701 Montara Rd #112 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,346 (-6%) 7mo $38,000 $28 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.26×
Total profit
$80,272
Equity at exit
$5,890
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.07×
Total profit
$177,680
Equity at exit
$3,415

Cash invested: $11,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92311

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
343
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,056 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$207
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $215/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$1,383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $39,500
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,405 -5% $1,394 +0% $1,383 +5% $1,371 +10% $1,360
Rent -10% $1,220 -5% $1,301 +0% $1,383 +5% $1,464 +10% $1,545
Rate -1.0pp $1,402 -0.5pp $1,393 base $1,383 +0.5pp $1,372 +1.0pp $1,362

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,875
Closing costs
$1,185
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
800 Arbor Way Barstow, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,500 $2.50 25d 1 0.14mi
1801 Rimrock Rd Barstow, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,810 $2.34 0d 6 0.31mi
1900 Dill Rd Barstow, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 892 $1,505 $1.69 0d 8 0.48mi
332 Date Ave Barstow, CA 4.0 2.0 1144 $1,950 $1.70 44d 1 0.78mi
936 Pinon Dr Barstow, CA 4.0 2.0 1762 $2,400 $1.36 25d 1 1.20mi
810 Starlight St Barstow, CA 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,895 $1.33 44d 1 1.38mi
937 E Elizabeth St Barstow, CA 4.0 1.0 1422 $2,195 $1.54 5d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,500 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,500 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,500 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,500 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,500 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,500 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,500 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,500 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,500 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,500 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,500 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,500 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,500 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,500 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $42,000 Active 443-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$215 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$300 · $25/mo
Expected delta
+$85/yr (+$7/mo · 39.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,670
− Mortgage interest
−$2,213
− Property taxes
−$215
− Insurance
−$198
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,974
− Management
−$1,974
− Depreciation
−$1,149
Taxable income
$16,949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,068
After-tax cash flow
$12,523/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barstow Unified
NCES district ID
0604020
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,505
Composite
14.44/100
National rank
#9430
State rank
#482 of 517 in CA

Livability — Barstow

Score
63/100
State rank
#444
US rank
#15099

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Barstow, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
33,954
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,954
Household income
$61,862
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 29% Two or more races 22% Black 15% Native American 3% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 39% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 20% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.26%
Current HPI
316.4858
Rent YoY
▲ 2.32%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $39,500 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $42,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $215 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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