701 Montara #150 · Barstow, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a 1440 sq. ft. doublewide mobile home on a corner lot in a senior, over 55, gated park. This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Both bathrooms have walk in showers with the master being wheelchair accessible. There is spacious living room and open concept family room / kitchen area. The front porch is large and private and the back has a beach sitting area to make you feel you are in the islands. This is a must see sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- Large private porch
- Open concept
- Beach sitting area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size reported from assessor's data; Lot features: 0-1 unit/acre; Elevation units listed in feet; Living area source: assessor's data
- Financial info: Land lease: $650 monthly (park-managed); Manager approval required; Pets allowed; contact manager for details
- HOA & community: Senior community; Park name: Holiday Homes; Community amenities include biking, dog park, hiking, and access to BLM/National Forest
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport for 2 vehicles; Total of 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (CHARLESTON model); Mobile home remains on site; Double-wide body type; Entry level: 1
- Construction: 24 ft wide by 60 ft long mobile home; One total story; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Community pool; One shed on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Remodeled bath(s); Walk-in shower
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace
- Interior features: One-level home; Back door entry
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 48.3% vs local median 4.6% in Barstow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#444 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Barstow Unified (town): math 11% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #482 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $273 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 48.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 150.01%
- DSCR
- 7.67
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $39,388
- List price
- $39,500
- Delta
- 0.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 Montara Rd #140 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+1%) | 0mo | $44,000 | $30 | 98 |
| 701 Montara Rd #223 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $53,000 | $37 | 94 |
| 701 Montara Rd #207 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 4mo | $44,603 | $31 | 92 |
| 701 Montara Rd #231 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 10mo | $47,000 | $33 | 87 |
| 701 Montara Rd #123 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $19 | 85 |
| 701 Montara Rd #244 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 4mo | $28,000 | $19 | 84 |
| 701 Montara Rd #216 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 15mo | $47,000 | $33 | 83 |
| 701 Montara Rd #235 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $26 | 82 |
| 701 Montara Rd #137 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 13mo | $47,500 | $35 | 78 |
| 701 Montara Rd #161 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $13,000 | $10 | 78 |
| 701 Montara #233 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (+5%) | 7mo | $39,000 | $26 | 73 |
| 701 Montara Rd #112 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,346 (-6%) | 7mo | $38,000 | $28 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.26×
- Total profit
- $80,272
- Equity at exit
- $5,890
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.07×
- Total profit
- $177,680
- Equity at exit
- $3,415
Cash invested: $11,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92311
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 343
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$207
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $215/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $1,383
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,405 | -5% $1,394 | +0% $1,383 | +5% $1,371 | +10% $1,360 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,220 | -5% $1,301 | +0% $1,383 | +5% $1,464 | +10% $1,545 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,402 | -0.5pp $1,393 | base $1,383 | +0.5pp $1,372 | +1.0pp $1,362 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,875
- Closing costs
- $1,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 Arbor Way Barstow, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1801 Rimrock Rd Barstow, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,810 | $2.34 | 0d | 6 | 0.31mi |
| 1900 Dill Rd Barstow, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,505 | $1.69 | 0d | 8 | 0.48mi |
| 332 Date Ave Barstow, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 936 Pinon Dr Barstow, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1762 | $2,400 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 810 Starlight St Barstow, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 937 E Elizabeth St Barstow, CA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1422 | $2,195 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $39,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$42,000 Active 443-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $215 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $300 · $25/mo
- Expected delta
- +$85/yr (+$7/mo · 39.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,213
- − Property taxes
- −$215
- − Insurance
- −$198
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,974
- − Management
- −$1,974
- − Depreciation
- −$1,149
- Taxable income
- $16,949
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,068
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barstow Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604020
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,505
- Composite
- 14.44/100
- National rank
- #9430
- State rank
- #482 of 517 in CA
Livability — Barstow
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #444
- US rank
- #15099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Barstow, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 33,954
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,954
- Household income
- $61,862
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 29% Two or more races 22% Black 15% Native American 3% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 39% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 20% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.26%
- Current HPI
- 316.4858
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-6.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $39,500 CRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $42,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $215 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…