1780 NE 191st St #609 · Ojus, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.26%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Seize the chance to own a desirable condo in Jade Winds! This spacious 1-bedroom, 2-bathroom unit is currently tenant-occupied and offers a screened balcony with stunning sunrise views. Located in a guard-gated community, it’s conveniently close to guest parking, great dining, supermarkets, and top-rated schools. Features include a 2020 AC, a 2024 water heater, and the building has just passed its 40-year inspection. This well-maintained, affordable option is ready for you!
Key facts
- Guest parking
- 2020 ac
- 2024 water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed (conditional; restrictions may apply)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes management, common areas, laundry, grounds maintenance, parking, pest control, pool(s), sewer, security, trash and water; Association amenities: pool, trash
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking available; 1 covered/assigned space
- Security: Complex fenced; Security guard
- Utilities: Central air; Electric heating; Electric water heater; Sewer and water included in association services
- Home design: Attached property; 8-story building; Entry located on level 6; Effective year built
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony/porch; Fence; Association pool; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating
- Interior features: Elevator; Walk-in closet(s); Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry included in association amenities
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $148k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $148k).
- Recommended offer: $130k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 8.7% in Ojus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,352/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $148k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.09%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,113
- Equity at exit
- $21,993
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $13,671
- Equity at exit
- $12,753
Cash invested: $41,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 574
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,352 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$774
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,091/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$672
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$704
- Net cashflow
- $540
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $624 | -5% $582 | +0% $540 | +5% $499 | +10% $457 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $276 | -5% $408 | +0% $540 | +5% $673 | +10% $805 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $615 | -0.5pp $578 | base $540 | +0.5pp $502 | +1.0pp $463 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,875
- Closing costs
- $4,425
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $672 · $8,064/yr
- Likely covers
- watersecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $147,500 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $147,500 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $147,500 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $147,500 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $147,500 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $147,500 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $147,500 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $147,500 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $147,500 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $147,500 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $147,500 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $147,500 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $147,500 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $147,500 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-01-15price $147,500
-
2026-01-05status Active
-
2025-04-15historical
-
2025-01-15$152,595 Active
-
2024-11-13historical
-
2024-11-11price $152,595
-
2024-09-07price $154,100
-
2024-06-23price $154,555
-
2024-06-14price $159,955
-
2024-06-13$165,000 Active
-
2021-09-28soldstatus $71,100
-
2007-09-18soldstatus $138,000
-
1985-04-01soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,091 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,091 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 26% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,225
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,262
- − Property taxes
- −$2,091
- − Insurance
- −$5,856
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,218
- − Management
- −$3,218
- − HOA
- −$8,064
- − Depreciation
- −$4,291
- Taxable income
- $5,225
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,254
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,231/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ojus
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ojus, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3123.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+309.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $147,500 MARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-04-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-01-15 Listed $152,595 MARMLS
- 2024-11-13 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-11-11 Price Changed $152,595 MARMLS
- 2024-09-07 Price Changed $154,100 MARMLS
- 2024-06-23 Price Changed $154,555 MARMLS
- 2024-06-14 Price Changed $159,955 MARMLS
- 2024-06-13 Listed $165,000 MARMLS
- 2021-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $71,100 Public Records
- 2007-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 1985-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,091 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…