🏷️ Likely Rental
7508 47th Ave NE #1 · Marysville, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Updated double-wide in a clean 55+ community! This move-in-ready home features new carpet, LVP flooring, and a new furnace. Enjoy bright interiors with large double-pane windows, a spacious kitchen, and a living room with a cozy wood stove. The primary suite includes a walk-in jetted tub and huge closets. Exterior highlights include a large covered deck, fenced area, back-door ramp, and a storage shed with power. Parking fits two small cars plus plenty of guest street parking. Located near I-5, shopping, and bus routes. Rent: $1,200/mo + utilities. Roof (2012), fresh pressure wash. 1 mile to Ken Baxter Senior Center. Need a lender? Consider Nexa Lending.
Key facts
- New furnace
- Cozy wood stove
- New carpet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.3% vs local median 3.0% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in WA, #768 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Marysville School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #177 of 291 in WA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary (425 students, 70% FRL); Marysville Getchell High School (1,498 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 40% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.90%
- DSCR
- 3.71
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,120
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7508 47th Ave NE #9 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (-1%) | 1mo | $86,500 | $60 | 93 |
| 7508 47th Ave NE #20 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (-1%) | 3mo | $99,950 | $70 | 92 |
| 7508 47th Ave NE #28 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+12%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $84 | 64 |
| 4424 84TH St NE #10 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+5%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $175 | 54 |
| 8515 State Ave #70 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+5%) | 1mo | $148,500 | $98 | 53 |
| 8515 State Ave #41 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-2%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $100 | 45 |
| 4424 84th St NE #5 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,507 (+5%) | 21mo | $255,000 | $169 | 44 |
| 8515 State Ave #4 | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,244 (-14%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $76 | 42 |
| 8515 State Ave NE #74 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-13%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $172 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $63,765
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 62.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.87×
- Total profit
- $148,012
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98270
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $647/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $1,279
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7234 47th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,018 | $2.12 | 4d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 4817 76th St NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 995 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 7119 47th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,950 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7111 47th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $2,025 | $3.18 | 4d | 3 | 0.26mi |
| 7015 47th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 12d | 3 | 0.31mi |
| 7625 51st Ave NE Unit A Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1286 | $2,195 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1100 Columbia Ave Marysville, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,825 | $2.40 | 1d | 3 | 0.34mi |
| 4521 80th St NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 881 | $2,150 | $2.44 | 4d | 3 | 0.35mi |
| 1266 Woodgate Ave Unit B Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1270 Cedar Ave Unit 1 Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,875 | $1.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4407 84th St NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $3,098 | $2.13 | 2d | 20 | 0.58mi |
| 1298 Beach Ave Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $2,950 | $2.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1024 Cedar Ave Apt B Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,795 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1345 Beach Ave Unit B Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1125 | $2,100 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1031 Cedar Ave Unit 102 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,395 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5705 Grove St Apt 8 Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,995 | $2.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1518 7th St #4 Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4727 88th Pl NE Unit B Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $3,450 | $2.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5127 61st St NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $2,795 | $2.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5121 88th St NE Unit B Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $3,500 | $2.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9114 44th Dr NE #1 Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $2,095 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1926 1st St Apt C Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,595 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6300 Grove St Unit A Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $3,100 | $3.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6514 69th St NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $3,700 | $2.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6110 64th St NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $1,885 | $2.17 | 1d | 2 | 1.28mi |
| 6526 67th Pl NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $3,100 | $2.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5828 93rd Pl NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $2,000 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8700 67th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 4d | 2 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-04statusdays on market $90,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-04-07status Pending
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2026-02-17price $90,000
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2026-01-08$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $647 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $882 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$235/yr (+$20/mo · 36.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$647
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,239
- − Management
- −$2,239
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $14,750
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,540
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,807/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304860
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,461
- Composite
- 41.31/100
- National rank
- #7367
- State rank
- #177 of 291 in WA
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 85,887
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,049
- Household income
- $108,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1150.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 8% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -673.52%
- Current HPI
- 321.1535
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.66%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $90,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed $100,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2026): $647 · -12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…