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18653 Indian
C Composite 57.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

18653 Indian · Livonia, MI 48240
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,071 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1953 5,227 sqft lot Est $159k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom bungalow, ideal for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. Features include a partially finished basement for added flexibility, detached garage, and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. A great opportunity to own instead of rent.

Key facts

  • Rear deck
  • Detached garage
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGEREAR DECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Built in 1953
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.9% in Livonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in MI, #2,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, commute F.
  • Redford Union Schools District No. 1 (suburban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #489 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $145k implies a 357% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.22%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,508
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18653 Indian 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,071 (0%) 1mo $151,000 $141 100
18696 Gaylord 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,071 (0%) 5mo $130,000 $121 86
18400 Delaware Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 981 (-8%) 6mo $175,000 $178 66
18743 Macarthur 0.36mi 3/1.0 931 (-13%) 3mo $190,000 $204 58
19910 Seminole 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,026 (-4%) 2mo $108,000 $105 58
18943 Lathers St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,016 (-5%) 1mo $125,000 $123 58
19350 Antago St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,179 (+10%) 3mo $215,000 $182 57
19470 Woodworth Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-7%) 1mo $175,000 $175 55
19394 Woodworth 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,132 (+6%) 5mo $168,000 $148 52
17697 Norborne 0.71mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,134 (+6%) 4mo $134,500 $119 49
19369 Wakenden 0.69mi 3/1.0 936 (-13%) 3mo $120,000 $128 44
18070 Floral St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,225 (+14%) 5mo $230,000 $188 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,905
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$13,287
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48240

Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,598 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,371/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$244

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,289
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26539 Clarita Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 931 $1,875 $2.01 24d 1 0.30mi
19354 Seminole Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 24d 1 0.40mi
18405 Gillman St Livonia, MI 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,950 $1.92 5d 1 0.62mi
20091 Inkster Rd Livonia, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,400 $1.85 5d 1 0.93mi
25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 1.06mi
20516 Denby Redford, MI 4.0 1.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 18d 1 1.10mi
20524 Indian Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 988 $1,600 $1.62 24d 1 1.10mi
20772 Indian St Southfield, MI 4.0 1.0 1272 $1,800 $1.42 43d 1 1.27mi
20745 Saint Francis Unit 208 Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 15d 1 1.35mi
20745 Saint Francis Unit 101 Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,495 $1.66 43d 1 1.35mi
18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,050 $1.14 12d 1 1.37mi
29599 Nottingham Cir Livonia, MI 2.0 2.0 1302 $1,800 $1.38 3d 1 1.45mi
17324 Salem St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 989 $1,200 $1.21 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom bungalow, ideal for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. Features include a partially finished basement for added flexibility, detached garage, and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. A great opportunity to own instead of rent.

  2. 2026-05-01
    status Pending 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom bungalow, ideal for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. Features include a partially finished basement for added flexibility, detached garage, and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. A great opportunity to own instead of rent.

  3. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom bungalow, ideal for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. Features include a partially finished basement for added flexibility, detached garage, and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. A great opportunity to own instead of rent.

  4. 2026-04-28
    listed $145,000 Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom bungalow, ideal for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. Features include a partially finished basement for added flexibility, detached garage, and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. A great opportunity to own instead of rent.

  5. 2026-04-28
    listed $145,000 Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom bungalow, ideal for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. Features include a partially finished basement for added flexibility, detached garage, and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. A great opportunity to own instead of rent.

  6. 2026-04-28
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom bungalow, ideal for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. Features include a partially finished basement for added flexibility, detached garage, and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. A great opportunity to own instead of rent.

  7. 2010-09-03
    soldstatus $31,700
  8. 2010-01-26
    listed $30,000
  9. 2001-10-26
    soldstatus $115,500
  10. 2001-06-27
    soldstatus $115,500
  11. 2001-05-23
    historical
  12. 2001-05-02
    listed $114,900
  13. 1999-03-16
    soldstatus $89,500
  14. 1996-05-22
    soldstatus $72,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,371 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,371 · $198/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,180
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,371
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,534
− Management
−$1,534
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$162
After-tax cash flow
$2,769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Redford Union Schools District No. 1
NCES district ID
2629460
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,778
Composite
14.1/100
National rank
#9460
State rank
#489 of 540 in MI

Livability — Livonia

Score
77/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#2784

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
56,806
Population (ZIP)
17,097

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 40% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.98%
Current HPI
236.2958
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $145,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-09-03 Sold (MLS) $31,700 REALCOMP
  • 2010-01-26 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $115,500 Public Records
  • 2001-06-27 Sold (MLS) $115,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-05-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-05-02 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
  • 1996-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,371 · -45.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…