Fourplex
3317 15th St SE · Washington, DC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $631 – $1,173
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$599,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
Key facts
- 4,008 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 77 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Assessed land value and improvement assessment recorded
- Financial info: Total of 4 units; 4 units currently listed as vacant
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership; Assessor-reported year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Tidal water: none; Soil type: Chillum-Urban Land Complex; Other structures noted above and below grade
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four-unit property consisting of two 1-bedroom units and two 2-bedroom units; All unit identifiers: Unit 1, Unit 2, Unit 3, Unit 4
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: No basement; Assessor-reported living area and finished area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×1bd/1ba + 2×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $599k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $184/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $571k (4.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $563k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Johnson Ms (298 students, 0% FRL); Ballou Hs (657 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,711/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 4530% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($563k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $599k implies a 286% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.28%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $698,040
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3315 15th St SE | 0.01mi | 6/— | 2,520 (0%) | 20mo | $699,000 | $277 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.96% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-44,674
- Equity at exit
- $89,313
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $44,307
- Equity at exit
- $51,791
Cash invested: $167,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State District of Columbia
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Washington
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
ZIP-level market 20032
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 36.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,711 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,141
- Tax from tax record
- −$384 /mo · $4,603/yr
- Insurance
- −$250
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,199
- Net cashflow
- $737
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $2,728 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,364 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,364 |
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,982 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,491 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,491 |
| Total (4 units) | $5,711 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $149,750
- Closing costs
- $17,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2530 Elvans Rd SE Washington, DC | 7.0 | 3.5 | 2760 | $8,500 | $3.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2530 Elvans Rd SE Unit B Washington, DC | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2760 | $7,500 | $2.72 | 8d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1726 Gainesville St SE Unit 1726 20020 Washington, DC | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $7,000 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1433 Howard Rd SE Washington, DC | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2000 | $7,500 | $3.75 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1953 19th Pl SE Unit 204-205 Washington, DC | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $7,550 | $3.85 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1953 19th Pl SE Apt B2 Washington, DC | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $7,365 | $3.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1953 19th Pl SE Unit 304 Washington, DC | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $8,100 | $4.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1616 Marion Barry Ave SE Washington, DC | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2080 | $5,500 | $2.64 | 2d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $599,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $599,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $599,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $599,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $599,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $599,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $599,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $599,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $599,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $599,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $599,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $599,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $599,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-02$599,000 Active
-
2012-06-14soldstatus $155,000
-
2012-06-08soldstatus $155,000 Sold 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2012-06-08soldstatus $155,000 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2012-04-17status Contract 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2012-04-17historical 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2012-03-26status Active 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2012-01-07status Contract 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2011-11-29price $165,000 Active 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2011-11-29status Active 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2011-11-15status Contingent (No Kick Out) 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2011-10-16price $175,000 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2011-09-28$205,000 Active 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
2011-09-27$165,000 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Great Potential. .. Seller MOTIVATED!!!. .. Must Sell NOW!!! This property is currently being used as a Church. Can be converted back to a 4 unit apartment building. Shown by appoinment only. Priced below market. .. .THIS IS NOT A SHORT SALE OR F/C. .. CASH ONLY. .. READY TO CLOSE IMMEDIATELY!!!
-
1994-04-20soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,603 · $384/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,603 · $384/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $68,532
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,553
- − Property taxes
- −$4,603
- − Insurance
- −$2,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,483
- − Management
- −$5,483
- − Depreciation
- −$17,425
- Taxable loss
- −$1,010
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- District Of Columbia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1100030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,671
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #8 of 32 in DC
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #5327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, DC
- County
- District of Columbia · 671,873 people
- City population
- 671,873
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,920
- Household income
- $49,139
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4530.0
Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 821,926 people
- By 2030
- 899,517 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 1,061,162 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 1,231,493 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 1,603,312 · +95.1%
- By 2100
- 1,847,141 · +124.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.34%
- Current HPI
- 326.4077
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.96%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $153B |
|
||
| Life Sciences / Industrials | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+1497.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $599,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2012-06-08 Sold (MLS) $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-06-08 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MRIS
- 2012-04-17 Pending — MRIS
- 2012-04-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-03-26 Relisted — MRIS
- 2012-01-07 Pending — MRIS
- 2011-11-29 Relisted — MRIS
- 2011-11-29 Price Changed $165,000 MRIS
- 2011-11-15 Pending — MRIS
- 2011-10-16 Price Changed $175,000 MRIS
- 2011-09-28 Listed $205,000 MRIS
- 2011-09-27 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,603 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…