115 W 30th St · Lorain, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and take a look at this three-bedroom, two-bathroom colonial home!! Whether you are looking to buy a home for yourself, or if you are an investor looking for a great investment property, this one is perfect for both choices. This home has been updated with new carpet/flooring throughout, new kitchen lighting, cabinets and countertops, all new master bathroom, and much more! Previously used as a rental property, this home is MOVE-IN READY! Hurry and schedule a showing today so you don't miss out on this great opportunity!!
Key facts
- Two story colonial
- Spacious kitchen
- Central air
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area reported as 1,404 (source: assessor)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener and electricity; Unpaved areas for parking; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2 stories; North-facing
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50.57 x 150
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heating options include baseboard, electric, forced air, and gas
- Interior features: Partial, unfinished basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.75%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,692
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 W 30th St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (0%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $78 | 91 |
| 3225 Broadway | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $90 | 80 |
| 3869 Dayton Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (+0%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $142 | 61 |
| 917 Highland Park Blvd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,393 (-1%) | 6mo | $171,900 | $123 | 58 |
| 3026 Caroline Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,264 (-10%) | 8mo | $173,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 213 W 23rd St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (-5%) | 5mo | $164,000 | $123 | 57 |
| 719 E 34th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,326 (-6%) | 7mo | $134,000 | $101 | 56 |
| 909 W 29th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (+1%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $147 | 52 |
| 807 W 21st St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+7%) | 3mo | $137,000 | $91 | 48 |
| 3402 Amherst Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,544 (+10%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $139 | 46 |
| 3522 Oakdale Ave Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,231 (-12%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $122 | 44 |
| 606 W 21st St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (+11%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $99 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,199
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,144
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44055
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,187 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,163/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $229 | -5% $195 | +0% $161 | +5% $127 | +10% $93 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $67 | -5% $114 | +0% $161 | +5% $208 | +10% $255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $222 | -0.5pp $192 | base $161 | +0.5pp $130 | +1.0pp $98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 W 30th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $925 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3132 Elyria Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1109 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2715 Apple Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,311 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 336 W 29th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2909 Denver Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1597 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 612 E 33rd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $995 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 509 W 24th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 128 W 22nd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1402 | $1,470 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 944 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2307 Washington Ave Lorain, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,224 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 939 W 22nd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1724 Lexington Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,215 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1703 Oakdale Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1237 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 521 W 14th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $950 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1637 E 29th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $979 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1639 E 31st St Unit 1637 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 420 W 12th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1053 Washington Ave Unit 4 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $899 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1053 Washington Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $799 | $0.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1730 E 30th St Unit 1730 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4850 Oneil Blvd Lorain, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 981 | $815 | $0.83 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-02status $120,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,163 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,518 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$354/yr (+$30/mo · 30.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,163
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$16
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,937/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lorain City
- NCES district ID
- 3904426
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,823
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9266
- State rank
- #633 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lorain
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #10183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorain, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 69,409
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,043
- Household income
- $40,636
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1140.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 24% Black 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.26%
- Current HPI
- 180.9309
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+77.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $120,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-05-02 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-04-29 Sold (MLS) $89,500 MLSNOW
- 2022-04-04 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2022-03-30 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2006-12-21 Listed $67,500 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,163 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…