4932 S 34th St · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Screened-in porch
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Raymond F. Orr Elem. School (math 36% / reading 33%, grade F, #254 of 454 statewide, top 59%, 306 students, 77% FRL); Ramsey Junior High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 832 students, 67% FRL); Southside High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 1,956 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.32%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,508
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4932 S 34th St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,124 (0%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $80 | 99 |
| 2923 Quincy St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (+2%) | 7mo | $145,500 | $127 | 73 |
| 4422 S 29th St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,126 (+0%) | 10mo | $74,000 | $66 | 64 |
| 5115 S 33rd St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,205 (+7%) | 17mo | $154,900 | $129 | 63 |
| 5114 S 32nd St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,015 (-10%) | 5mo | $111,300 | $110 | 63 |
| 4820 S 28th St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+2%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $117 | 58 |
| 4610 S 26 St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (+6%) | 5mo | $129,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 4913 S 32nd St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (-13%) | 22mo | $126,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 2901 Memphis St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,231 (+10%) | 11mo | $152,000 | $123 | 49 |
| 5117 S 24 St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,027 (-9%) | 3mo | $33,000 | $32 | 46 |
| 5215 24th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (-10%) | 8mo | $132,000 | $130 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,265
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $13,347
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72903
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,031 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $193 | -5% $159 | +0% $124 | +5% $90 | +10% $55 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $43 | -5% $83 | +0% $124 | +5% $165 | +10% $205 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $174 | -0.5pp $149 | base $124 | +0.5pp $98 | +1.0pp $72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5024 S 34th St Unit 5024A Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $925 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5024 S 34th St Unit 5028A Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $925 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4801 S 31st St Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 22d | 2 | 0.18mi |
| 4719 S 28th St Unit 4719B So 28th Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5019 S 28th St Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $2,175 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5124 S 29th St Unit B Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4711 S 27th St Unit 4711B So 27th Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2851 Xavier St Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $925 | $0.94 | 14d | 2 | 0.53mi |
| 2308 Savannah St Unit 11 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $750 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2212 Savannah St Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 916 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5401 Jenny Lind Rd Fort Smith, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $865 | $1.29 | 14d | 3 | 0.97mi |
| 1813 Osage St Unit A Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $975 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1439 Brazil Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5100 S Zero St Fort Smith, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 755 | $785 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1624 Fresno St Fort Smith, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $895 | $1.14 | 14d | 3 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-17$99,900 Active
-
2023-04-03soldstatus $55,000 4-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
Sold
-
2021-09-034-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
Sold
-
2021-09-03soldstatus $55,000
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
Sold
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$990
- − Management
- −$990
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$109
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$26
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,514/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,242
- Household income
- $61,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1009.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.19%
- Current HPI
- 201.125
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+81.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2026-04-17 Listed $99,900 WRVBOR
- 2023-04-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 WRVBOR
- 2021-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-03 Listed — WRVBOR
Property tax history
-12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $117 · -47.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…