19 Glendale Rd · Caribou, ME
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
✨ Charming Caribou Fixer-Upper With Endless Potential! ✨ Tucked away on a quiet, quaint side street yet just minutes from shopping and daily conveniences, this home is the perfect canvas for your imagination and creativity. Inside, you'll find 2 bedrooms — a spacious master suite with private bath — plus a large loft that's ideal for a home office, studio, or bonus living space. The open-concept kitchen, dining, and living area makes entertaining a breeze, while first-floor laundry keeps life simple with true one-level living. Outside, a detached two-car garage offers plenty of storage and workspace. Bring your vision and turn this well-located property into the home you've always dreamed of!
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1927
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($944 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.6% in Caribou — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#46 in ME, #4,849 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
- RSU 39 (town): math 82% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #79 of 112 in ME (top 70%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Aroostook County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Aroostook County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.40%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,029
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -54.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $5,727
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $26,998
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04736
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $944 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $980/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $268
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $288 | +0% $268 | +5% $248 | +10% $228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $193 | -5% $231 | +0% $268 | +5% $305 | +10% $342 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $303 | -0.5pp $286 | base $268 | +0.5pp $250 | +1.0pp $231 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-01-28$70,000 Active 713-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
✨ Charming Caribou Fixer-Upper With Endless Potential! ✨ Tucked away on a quiet, quaint side street yet just minutes from shopping and daily conveniences, this home is the perfect canvas for your imagination and creativity. Inside, you'll find 2 bedrooms — a spacious master suite with private bath — plus a large loft that's ideal for a home office, studio, or bonus living space. The open-concept kitchen, dining, and living area makes entertaining a breeze, while first-floor laundry keeps life simple with true one-level living. Outside, a detached two-car garage offers plenty of storage and workspace. Bring your vision and turn this well-located property into the home you've always dreamed of!
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2026-01-15price $27,400
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2025-12-31price $29,900
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2025-12-09price $32,000
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2025-12-01price $39,900
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2023-09-13soldstatus $50,000 Closed
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2023-08-18historical Active Under Contract
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2023-08-17price $50,000
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2023-08-07$65,000 Active
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2020-05-22soldstatus $7,000 Closed
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2020-05-06status Pending
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2020-03-05price $12,900
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2019-12-05price $14,900
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2019-10-30$24,900 Active
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2019-06-14price $29,000
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2019-05-14price $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $980 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $980 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$980
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$906
- − Management
- −$906
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $2,228
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$535
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 39
- NCES district ID
- 2314794
- Math proficiency
- 82% ▲ 55.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 83% ▲ 39.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,159
- Composite
- 68.6/100
- National rank
- #341
- State rank
- #79 of 112 in ME
Livability — Caribou
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #4849
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Caribou, ME
- City population
- 9,107
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,107
Population outlook (Aroostook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,905 people
- By 2030
- 57,815 · -6.6%
- By 2040
- 49,240 · -20.5%
- By 2050
- 41,386 · -33.1%
- By 2075
- 27,664 · -55.3%
- By 2100
- 18,974 · -69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 28% Slovak 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Aroostook
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.2) · D 36.2% · R 62.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: -26.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.2 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+17.3 2012: D+7.7 2008: D+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.06%
- Current HPI
- 219.5142
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+118.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-28 Listed $70,000 MREIS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $27,400 MREIS
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $29,900 MREIS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $32,000 MREIS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $39,900 MREIS
- 2023-09-13 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MREIS
- 2023-08-18 Contingent — MREIS
- 2023-08-17 Price Changed $50,000 MREIS
- 2023-08-07 Listed $65,000 MREIS
- 2020-05-22 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MREIS
- 2020-05-06 Pending — MREIS
- 2020-03-05 Price Changed $12,900 MREIS
- 2019-12-05 Price Changed $14,900 MREIS
- 2019-10-30 Listed $24,900 MREIS
- 2019-06-14 Price Changed $29,000 MREIS
- 2019-05-14 Price Changed $32,000 MREIS
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $980 · -39.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…