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73816 White Sands Dr
C Composite 59.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$312,000

73816 White Sands Dr · Thousand Palms, CA 92276
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,766 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1990 5,663 sqft lot Est $547k · 43% under $284/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a charming, HUD- Owned getaway in 55+ Tri-Palms Estates, Thousand Palms. This cozy 1,766 sqft home is CONVENTIONAL BUILT (Not a manufactured home) and offers a comfortable and relaxed lifestyle with 4 bedrooms and 2 baths that accommodate family and friends with ease. The welcoming living room features a fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy stunning views of the nearby golf course and the surrounding mountains, providing a serene backdrop for your everyday living. Situated right on the fairway, this home offers the perfect mix of peace and a touch of activity. Ideal for those who appreciate the balance of simplicity and natural beauty, this home provides the c

Key facts

  • Golf course views
  • Fireplace
  • 5,663 sq ft lot

Tags

FIREPLACEGOLF COURSE VIEWSSITUATED ON THE FAIRWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sold as Real Estate Owned; Listing accepts Conventional, FHA, and Cash financing; CC&R and Planned Development disclosures; property sold as-is
  • HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee (about $284); Association amenities: Clubhouse, greenbelt/park, golf course; Senior community; Development has golf course

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Direct entrance; 2 total parking spaces
  • Security: Other security/safety features
  • Utilities: PUD: Yes; Sewer: Unknown
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One story
  • Construction: Year built (per assessor)
  • Exterior features: Private portable above-ground spa/hot tub; Has view of golf course and mountains; Fee simple land

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Decorative fireplace in the great room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $312k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $312k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.2% in Thousand Palms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#950 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, schools F, crime F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $150k; list at $312k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $312,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.17%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$547,460
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
73811 Boca Chica Trl 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,622 (-8%) 13mo $394,000 $243 67
73951 White Sands Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (-11%) 9mo $359,000 $229 62
73578 Raphael Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,750 (-1%) 2mo $571,118 $326 60
33934 Palm Lake Cir 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,507 (-15%) 12mo $353,000 $234 58
73606 Raphael Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,750 (-1%) 6mo $615,878 $352 56
73718 Raphael Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,750 (-1%) 9mo $633,628 $362 53
33859 Palm Lake Cir 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,507 (-15%) 20mo $370,000 $246 52
73620 Raphael Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,942 (+10%) 1mo $593,958 $306 44
73693 Raphael Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,757 (-0%) 19mo $597,770 $340 43
73595 Raphael Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,942 (+10%) 1mo $601,741 $310 42
73690 Raphael Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,942 (+10%) 6mo $686,303 $353 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-29,487
Equity at exit
$46,520
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$2,139
Equity at exit
$26,976

Cash invested: $87,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92276

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,541 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,636
Tax from tax record
$298 /mo · $3,574/yr
Insurance
$130
Flood insurance flood zone
−$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
HOA
$284
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$744
Net cashflow
$327

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,127
Max offer price $312,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $504 -5% $415 +0% $327 +5% $239 +10% $150
Rent -10% $47 -5% $187 +0% $327 +5% $467 +10% $607
Rate -1.0pp $484 -0.5pp $406 base $327 +0.5pp $246 +1.0pp $164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,000
Closing costs
$9,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
73951 White Sands Dr Thousand Palms, CA 3.0 2.0 1517 $3,200 $2.11 0d 1 0.18mi
32420 Sonoma Cir Thousand Palms, CA 4.0 2.0 1368 $2,100 $1.54 45d 1 0.73mi
32373 Chiricahua Dr Thousand Palms, CA 3.0 2.0 1344 $2,500 $1.86 45d 1 0.74mi
73757 Picasso Dr Palm Desert, CA 4.0 2.5 2620 $5,000 $1.91 19d 1 0.83mi
73528 Cierra St Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1547 $2,995 $1.94 16d 1 0.95mi
35515 Bains Ave Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.5 1705 $3,399 $1.99 45d 1 1.03mi
35460 Domani Dr Palm Desert, CA 3.0 3.0 1705 $2,800 $1.64 9d 1 1.04mi
35751 Gateway Dr Palm Desert, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1170 $3,245 $2.77 45d 1 1.11mi
74198 Storke Dr Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.5 2000 $3,400 $1.70 9d 1 1.16mi
74222 Storke Dr Palm Desert, CA 4.0 2.5 2311 $3,350 $1.45 5d 1 1.16mi
74246 Storke Dr Palm Desert, CA 4.0 3.5 2465 $3,000 $1.22 18d 1 1.17mi
74189 Storke Dr Palm Desert, CA 3.0 3.0 1650 $2,995 $1.82 21d 1 1.18mi
74225 Storke Dr Palm Desert, CA 4.0 3.5 2328 $3,700 $1.59 45d 1 1.19mi
35722 McCarthy St Palm Desert, CA 4.0 2.0 2189 $3,800 $1.74 45d 1 1.24mi
1 Picasso Ct Rancho Mirage, CA 3.0 3.0 2450 $5,200 $2.12 45d 1 1.26mi
35821 Cannon Dr Palm Desert, CA 4.0 3.5 2343 $5,000 $2.13 9d 1 1.33mi
74356 Nichols Dr Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1992 $3,600 $1.81 45d 1 1.36mi
162 Saint Thomas Pl Rancho Mirage, CA 3.0 2.5 2477 $6,000 $2.42 45d 1 1.43mi
34 Paris Way Rancho Mirage, CA 3.0 3.0 2101 $6,000 $2.86 45d 1 1.46mi
73774 Mojave Desert Dr Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 2235 $4,950 $2.21 45d 1 1.47mi
74699 Technology Dr Palm Desert, CA 3.0 1.0–3.0 1057 $3,840 $3.63 0d 24 1.49mi
75189 Aldrich Dr Palm Desert, CA 4.0 3.0 2362 $3,450 $1.46 9d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$284 · $3,408/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $312,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $312,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $312,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $312,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $312,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $312,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $312,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,574 · $298/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,574 · $298/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,490
− Mortgage interest
−$17,477
− Property taxes
−$3,574
− Insurance
−$3,028
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,399
− Management
−$3,399
− HOA
−$3,408
− Depreciation
−$9,076
Taxable loss
−$871
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$209
After-tax cash flow
$4,133/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Thousand Palms

Score
53/100
State rank
#950
US rank
#24426

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Thousand Palms, CA
City population
7,662
Population (ZIP)
7,662

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 43% White 32% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 62%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 43% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.86%
Current HPI
382.4439
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+107.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $312,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $349,900 CRMLS
  • 1991-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $150,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,574 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…