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66 Winter St
B- Composite 67.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,999

66 Winter St · Newport, NH 03773
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,890 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1920 0.81 ac lot $63/sqft · 64% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks!! Calling all investors and contractors!! Large 5 Bed/1 bath home with a detached 2 car garage. This is a fixer upper with a TON of potential. Buyer/Buyer agent must conduct their own due diligence, verifications, investigation, analysis, and research. SOLD in its "AS-IS WHERE-IS" CONDITION.

Key facts

  • 0.81 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.4% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#26 in NH, #3,805 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Newport School District (town): math 10% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #98 of 98 in NH (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 98 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sullivan County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,199 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
13.69%
Cash-on-cash
26.43%
DSCR
2.18
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$334,242
List price
$119,999
Delta
-64.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Linden Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,944 (+3%) 10mo $420,000 $216 64
162 N Main St 0.38mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,920 (+2%) 8mo $300,000 $156 64
222 N Main St 0.52mi 4/1.0 (-1) 2,080 (+10%) 1mo $284,000 $137 54
37 Oak St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,790 (-5%) 14mo $350,000 $196 48
47 Summer St 0.17mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,628 (-14%) 16mo $110,000 $68 47
92 S Main St 0.64mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,028 (+7%) 13mo $409,000 $202 38
59 Middle St 0.50mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,122 (+12%) 14mo $423,000 $199 34
207 Maple St 0.65mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,610 (-15%) 1mo $335,000 $208 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$23,695
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$76,860
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03773

Home prices YoY
-6.0%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,333 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$424 /mo · $5,083/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$674

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,480
Max offer price $119,999
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    listed $119,999 Active 321-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,083 · $424/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,083 · $424/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,992
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$5,083
− Insurance
−$1,397
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,239
− Management
−$2,239
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$6,820
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,637
After-tax cash flow
$6,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport School District
NCES district ID
3305310
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$49,710
Composite
14.12/100
National rank
#9459
State rank
#98 of 98 in NH

Livability — Newport

Score
76/100
State rank
#26
US rank
#3805

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport, NH
City population
7,905
Population (ZIP)
7,905

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,322 people
By 2030
39,910 · -3.4%
By 2040
36,447 · -11.8%
By 2050
32,917 · -20.3%
By 2075
25,997 · -37.1%
By 2100
19,479 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 14% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: -0.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.7 2020: D+3.6 2016: R+2.6 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.59%
Current HPI
352.2789
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,083 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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