4219 W 700 South · Letts, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Four bedroom, one and a half bath Victorian home on 2.53 acres. This home needs some love and care. Beautiful woodwork throughout home and many built-ins show the excellent craftmanship of this 125+ year old home. Room measurements are approximate. Furnace is not functioning.
Key facts
- 2.53 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage (approximately 432 sq ft)
- Utilities: Private water source; Septic system
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Wood siding; Rock foundation
- Exterior features: Property on approximately 2.53 acres; North-facing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level (sizes include 13x24; 12x12; 12x13; 10x14); Total of 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Attic stairway; Hardwood floors; Stained woodwork; Cellar; Daylight basement areas; Interior-entry basement; Unfinished basement; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (5x8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $147k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Decatur County Community Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #107 of 301 in IN (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South Decatur Elementary School (math 40% / reading 34%, grade F, #550 of 994 statewide, top 57%, 436 students, 63% FRL); South Decatur Jr-Sr High School (math 20% / reading 44%, grade F, #295 of 369 statewide, top 82%, 387 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 36% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Decatur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Decatur County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.54%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $7,905
- Equity at exit
- $21,918
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $47,606
- Equity at exit
- $12,710
Cash invested: $41,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47240
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,767 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$771
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $778/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $499
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,750
- Closing costs
- $4,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $147,000 Pending 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $147,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $147,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $147,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $147,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $147,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $147,000
-
2026-04-24$159,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,014 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$236/yr (+$20/mo · 30.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,234
- − Property taxes
- −$778
- − Insurance
- −$735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,696
- − Management
- −$1,696
- − Depreciation
- −$4,276
- Taxable income
- $3,786
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$909
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur County Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1802610
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,731
- Composite
- 37.43/100
- National rank
- #4415
- State rank
- #107 of 301 in IN
Livability — Letts
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,514
Population outlook (Decatur County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,709 people
- By 2030
- 28,278 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 29,195 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 29,512 · +6.5%
- By 2075
- 29,835 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 27,192 · -1.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Decatur
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.5) · D 19.9% · R 78.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -58.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.5 2020: R+58.1 2016: R+57.4 2012: R+40.5 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.13%
- Current HPI
- 210.3591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-7.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $147,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $159,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2023): $778 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…