654 W Clinton Way · Martinez, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 654 Clinton Way in Martinez, GA -- where space, style, and comfort come together beautifully! This fully renovated 5-bedroom, 3.5-bath home offers the perfect blend of modern upgrades and flexible living. From the moment you step inside, you'll appreciate the fresh finishes, thoughtful updates, and move-in-ready appeal. The kitchen shines with brand-new appliances and stunning quartz countertops, creating a sleek and functional space perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Need extra space? This home delivers! A versatile bonus area can easily transform into a private man cave, chic she-room, or even a comfortable mother-in-law suite or AirBnB Rental-- giving you th
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- Built 1986
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-430 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (25.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (38.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (38.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#23 in GA, #3,514 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Evans Middle School (math 36% / reading 51%, grade D, #114 of 470 statewide, top 24%, 980 students, 34% FRL); Evans High School (math 12% / reading 31%, grade F, #218 of 424 statewide, top 53%, 1,887 students, 30% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.15%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 13.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-79,504
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -36.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.41×
- Total profit
- $-118,350
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30907
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 13.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,833 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $-430
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 636 Bridgton Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,950 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4104 Spencer St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4104 Spencer St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4082 Spencer St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,795 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4081 Melrose Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $1,731 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4537 Shawnee Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,795 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 913 Cabot Cv Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1677 | $1,895 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1447 Collins Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $1,790 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1426 Collins Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $2,000 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1422 Collins Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2102 | $1,949 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 109 Highview Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,600 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 327 Oak Lake Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1619 | $1,600 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4565 Rockdale Ct Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1886 | $1,900 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4565 Rockdale Ct Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1886 | $1,900 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 157 Moss Creek Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $1,775 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 139 Springlakes Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2094 | $2,195 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 299 Ashbrook Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2080 | $2,295 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 303 Meadowlake Dr Martinez, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1951 | $1,700 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4139 Fair Oaks Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4460 Whisperwood Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 231 Knollcrest Rd Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2302 | $2,600 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 640 Vista Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $1,700 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 640 Vista Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $1,700 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 135 Shawns Way Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1910 | $2,081 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 170 Shadowmoor Ct Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1944 | $2,200 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4724 Brookgreen Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $2,175 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 148 Shawns Way Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,695 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 517 Scenic Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1746 | $1,795 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 134 Holiday Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $1,900 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 801 Trailside Ct Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1478 | $1,770 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-03-26soldstatus $310,000
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-03-02historical
-
2026-03-02historical
-
2026-02-27$299,900 Active
-
2026-02-25$299,900
-
2024-11-13soldstatus $75,000
-
1986-09-01soldstatus $92,000
-
1986-07-01soldstatus $18,000
-
1986-04-01soldstatus $13,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,174 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,759 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$585/yr (+$49/mo · 26.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$2,174
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,760
- − Management
- −$1,760
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$10,715
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,572
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia County
- NCES district ID
- 1301410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,358
- Composite
- 45.04/100
- National rank
- #2695
- State rank
- #13 of 174 in GA
Livability — Martinez
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #3514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Martinez, GA
- County
- Columbia County · 154,184 people
- City population
- 46,975
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,975
- Household income
- $81,912
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 983.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,073 people
- By 2030
- 212,277 · +12.3%
- By 2040
- 259,480 · +37.2%
- By 2050
- 306,991 · +62.4%
- By 2075
- 421,213 · +122.8%
- By 2100
- 496,722 · +162.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 13% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.93%
- Current HPI
- 233.5167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.12%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+2130.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-23 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-02 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-02 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $299,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $299,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1986-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 1986-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,174 · -17.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…