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977 Mapp St
C Composite 56.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

977 Mapp St · Madison, GA 30650
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,110 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1960 8,712 sqft lot $140/sqft · 36% below area Est $241k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute circa 1960 cottage/bungalow close to downtown Madison GA. Calling all savvy investors, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for! This 3-bedrooms, 1-bath home is ripe with potential! Just needing a little TLC to make this one move-in ready. Located on a quiet street in an established neighborhood. Sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 132 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 1.9% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#88 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Morgan County (town): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #20 of 174 in GA (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 164 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.54%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$240,962
List price
$155,000
Delta
-35.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1004 Mapp St 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,188 (+7%) 10mo $103,000 $87 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-14,702
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$492
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30650

Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,079/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $252 -5% $208 +0% $164 +5% $120 +10% $76
Rent -10% $51 -5% $108 +0% $164 +5% $221 +10% $277
Rate -1.0pp $242 -0.5pp $204 base $164 +0.5pp $124 +1.0pp $83

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1200 Wheat St Madison, GA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1058 $788 $0.74 4d 2 0.53mi
1201 Currybury DR Madison, GA 3.0 2.0 1114 $942 $0.85 6d 1 0.56mi
363 E Jefferson St Apt 201 Madison, GA 2.0 2.5 950 $1,595 $1.68 14d 1 0.72mi
483 Vine St Unit B Madison, GA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,500 $1.72 22d 1 0.85mi
1110 Bramblewood Dr Madison, GA 3.0 2.0 1149 $1,760 $1.53 22d 1 1.37mi
1030 Overlook St Madison, GA 3.0 2.0 1149 $1,720 $1.50 14d 1 1.43mi
1050 Overlook St Madison, GA 3.0 2.0 1149 $1,715 $1.49 22d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $155,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $155,000 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $155,000 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 114 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 113 DOM
  16. 2026-02-07
    listed $155,000 New 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Cute circa 1960 cottage/bungalow close to downtown Madison GA. Calling all savvy investors, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for! This 3-bedrooms, 1-bath home is ripe with potential! Just needing a little TLC to make this one move-in ready. Located on a quiet street in an established neighborhood. Sold AS-IS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,079 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,426 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$347/yr (+$29/mo · 32.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,187
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,079
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$608
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$146
After-tax cash flow
$2,116/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morgan County
NCES district ID
1303780
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,713
Composite
40.39/100
National rank
#3731
State rank
#20 of 174 in GA

Livability — Madison

Score
71/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#7252

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, GA
City population
13,398
Population (ZIP)
13,398

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,277 people
By 2030
18,213 · -0.4%
By 2040
17,709 · -3.1%
By 2050
16,761 · -8.3%
By 2075
14,143 · -22.6%
By 2100
10,523 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.0) · D 26.8% · R 72.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -46.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.0 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+38.0 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.25%
Current HPI
282.7041
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $155,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,079 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…