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19844 Eagle Trace Ct
D+ Composite 45.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

19844 Eagle Trace Ct · North Fort Myers, FL 33903
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,580 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1993 7,958 sqft lot Est $147k · 9% over $358/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THIS IS YOUR CHANCE TO OWN ONE OF THE BEST PRICED HOMES IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD! This 1580 square foot mobile / manufactured home has 2 bedrooms and 2.0 bathrooms. This home is located at 19844 Eagle Trace Ct, North Fort Myers, FL 33903.

Key facts

  • 7,958 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of Pine Lakes Country Club development; Zoning: PUD
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Master HOA fee $2,109 semi-annually; HOA fee $40 semi-annually; Professional management; HOA maintenance covers recreation facilities and trash removal; Community amenities include billiards, bocce court, community pool and spa, exercise room, golf course, hobby room, pickleball, putting green, restaurant, shuffleboard, sidewalk, streetlight, and tennis court; Community is gated and built around golf; mobile/manufactured friendly; Total annual recurring fees $4,298

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Water assessment paid; Sewer assessment paid; Electric service for heat and cooling
  • Home design: Manufactured residential home; 1 story / ranch
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Built in 1993
  • Exterior features: Decorative shutters; Patio; Single-hung windows; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Cul-de-sac lot; Rear exposure faces southwest; View: see remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Two master bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Breakfast room and family dining area; Laundry in residence; Screened lanai/porch; Split bedroom floor plan; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Auto garage door

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $102k; list at $160k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.69%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,940
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19844 Eagle Trace Ct 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,580 (0%) 0mo $147,000 $93 100
19851 Eagle Trace Ct S 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,519 (-4%) 9mo $105,000 $69 83
19808 Frenchmans Ct 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,552 (-2%) 20mo $180,000 $116 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-25,097
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-35,115
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,988 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$207 /mo · $2,488/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$358
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,861
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10401 Circle Pine Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1294 $3,000 $2.32 24d 1 0.58mi
19477 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,499 $1.03 2d 1 0.58mi
19421 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,499 $1.25 2d 1 0.61mi
19414 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,499 $1.20 2d 1 0.64mi
19621 N Tamiami Trl North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,300 $1.08 24d 1 0.70mi
19152 Meadowbrook Ct North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,499 $1.20 2d 1 0.84mi
1701 NE 44th Ter Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1147 $1,800 $1.57 16d 1 0.88mi
1701 NE 44th Ter Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1147 $1,800 $1.57 14d 1 0.88mi
4421 NE 15th Pl Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1240 $2,000 $1.61 24d 1 0.91mi
20038 Fiddlewood Ave North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1519 $1,999 $1.32 20d 1 0.95mi
4215 E Gator Cir Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1385 $1,725 $1.25 3d 1 1.07mi
1670 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1604 $2,700 $1.68 3d 1 1.08mi
20056 Sweetbay Dr North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1672 $4,000 $2.39 24d 1 1.12mi
1900 Corona del Sire Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1449 $2,400 $1.66 24d 1 1.13mi
4125 NE 15th Pl Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1556 $2,000 $1.29 24d 1 1.22mi
20919 Villareal Way North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1428 $4,000 $2.80 24d 1 1.23mi
20559 Long Pond Rd North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1805 $2,295 $1.27 24d 1 1.34mi
2130 Rio Nuevo Dr Unit 1546442P North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1248 $4,682 $3.75 15d 1 1.35mi
2117 NE 40th St Cape Coral, FL 3.0 3.0 1776 $2,100 $1.18 16d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$358 · $4,296/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $159,900 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,488 · $207/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,488 · $207/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,860
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,488
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,909
− Management
−$1,909
− HOA
−$4,296
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,150
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$276
After-tax cash flow
$1,479/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.1% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $159,900 BEARMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $199,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $199,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-05-15 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2025-03-27 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2025-03-19 Price Changed $209,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-01-18 Price Changed $219,000 FORTMLS
  • 2024-11-20 Listed $239,000 FORTMLS
  • 2003-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-29 Sold (MLS) $103,000 FORTMLS
  • 2003-05-14 Price Changed $106,500 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,488 · +213.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…