19844 Eagle Trace Ct · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THIS IS YOUR CHANCE TO OWN ONE OF THE BEST PRICED HOMES IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD! This 1580 square foot mobile / manufactured home has 2 bedrooms and 2.0 bathrooms. This home is located at 19844 Eagle Trace Ct, North Fort Myers, FL 33903.
Key facts
- 7,958 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of Pine Lakes Country Club development; Zoning: PUD
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Master HOA fee $2,109 semi-annually; HOA fee $40 semi-annually; Professional management; HOA maintenance covers recreation facilities and trash removal; Community amenities include billiards, bocce court, community pool and spa, exercise room, golf course, hobby room, pickleball, putting green, restaurant, shuffleboard, sidewalk, streetlight, and tennis court; Community is gated and built around golf; mobile/manufactured friendly; Total annual recurring fees $4,298
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Water assessment paid; Sewer assessment paid; Electric service for heat and cooling
- Home design: Manufactured residential home; 1 story / ranch
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Built in 1993
- Exterior features: Decorative shutters; Patio; Single-hung windows; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Cul-de-sac lot; Rear exposure faces southwest; View: see remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Two master bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Breakfast room and family dining area; Laundry in residence; Screened lanai/porch; Split bedroom floor plan; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Auto garage door
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; list at $160k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.69%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,940
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19844 Eagle Trace Ct | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,580 (0%) | 0mo | $147,000 | $93 | 100 |
| 19851 Eagle Trace Ct S | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,519 (-4%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $69 | 83 |
| 19808 Frenchmans Ct | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,552 (-2%) | 20mo | $180,000 | $116 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-25,097
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-35,115
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33903
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 472
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,988 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,488/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$358
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $100
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10401 Circle Pine Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $3,000 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 19477 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,499 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 19421 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,499 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 19414 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,499 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 19621 N Tamiami Trl North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 19152 Meadowbrook Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,499 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1701 NE 44th Ter Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1701 NE 44th Ter Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4421 NE 15th Pl Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 20038 Fiddlewood Ave North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $1,999 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4215 E Gator Cir Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,725 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1670 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,700 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 20056 Sweetbay Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $4,000 | $2.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1900 Corona del Sire Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4125 NE 15th Pl Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,000 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 20919 Villareal Way North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $4,000 | $2.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 20559 Long Pond Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1805 | $2,295 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2130 Rio Nuevo Dr Unit 1546442P North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $4,682 | $3.75 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2117 NE 40th St Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1776 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $358 · $4,296/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-08status $159,900 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,488 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,488 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,488
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,909
- − Management
- −$1,909
- − HOA
- −$4,296
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,150
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$276
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,479/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,655
- Household income
- $56,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 468.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.26%
- Current HPI
- 256.773
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.94%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+50.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $159,900 BEARMLS
- 2026-02-12 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $199,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-10-27 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2025-09-26 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-09-17 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $199,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-05-15 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2025-03-27 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2025-03-19 Price Changed $209,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-01-18 Price Changed $219,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-11-20 Listed $239,000 FORTMLS
- 2003-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-29 Sold (MLS) $103,000 FORTMLS
- 2003-05-14 Price Changed $106,500 FORTMLS
Property tax history
+12.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,488 · +213.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…